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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2020Week 4
KentuckyKentucky
13
-Final
29
AuburnAuburn
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Auburn by 10.4

Home Win Probability

Auburn 75%

Market (consensus)

Auburn -6.5

Edge: Auburn -6.5 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 26, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
706013
AuburnAuburn
8071429

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-78-715-715-1329-13
AuburnKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBKENAUBPUNT521ydTD1193ydTD770ydDOWNS1036ydDOWNS845ydPUNT936ydPUNT34ydTO1164ydEND1-2ydPUNT32ydPUNT535ydPUNT3-1ydTD976ydTD1173ydPUNT413ydTO34ydTD523ydDOWNS42ydTD227ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT36ydTO1080ydEND56yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Auburn
StatisticKentuckyAuburn
Passing24-3816-27
Pass Yards239233
Rush Yards14591
Total Yards384324
Turnovers30
3rd Down12-194-10
Penalties4-407-55
Possession36:2923:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Terry Wilson
24/37, 239 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kavosiey Smoke
7 CAR, 62 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Josh Ali
9 REC, 98 YDS
defense
Auburn
passing
Bo Nix
16/26, 233 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Bo Nix
5 CAR, 34 YDS
receiving
Seth Williams
6 REC, 112 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.14

Bo Nix run for 12 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Bo Nix pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 8 yds to the Kent 46

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Bo Nix pass incomplete, broken up by Yusuf Corker

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Kent 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Bo Nix punt for 38 yds, downed at the Kent 7

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Asim Rose run for 7 yds to the Kent 14

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 16

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.36

Asim Rose run for 2 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 17

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 3 yds to the Kent 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.68

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 23 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Terry Wilson run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Asim Rose run for 8 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Asim Rose run for no gain to the Aub 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Terry Wilson pass complete to Kavosiey Smoke for 2 yds to the Aub 40

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Terry Wilson RSC pass complete to Josh Ali for 4 yards to the AU36 (Colby Wooden;Jaylin Simpson), PENALTY AU offside (T.D. Moultry) 5 yards to the AU35, NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.71

Kavosiey Smoke run for 35 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Aub 25

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Aub 32

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.78

Shaun Shivers run for 11 yds to the Aub 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.62

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 26 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Eli Stove run for 7 yds to the Kent 24

2nd & 3Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.54

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 23 yds to the Kent 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

D.J. Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Grant Loy pass to John Samuel Shenker for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 19

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.18

Terry Wilson run for 8 yds to the Kent 27

3rd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Terry Wilson run for 12 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Terry Wilson run for 5 yds to the Kent 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.35

Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 10 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Terry Wilson RF pass complete to Asim Rose for no gain to the AU46 (K.J. Britt), PENALTY AU offside (Caleb Johnson) 5 yards to the AU41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Aub 39

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Terry Wilson run for no gain to the Aub 39

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.87

Terry Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Christian Tutt

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 14 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Kent 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.89

Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 17 yds to the Kent 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Bo Nix run for 9 yds to the Kent 16

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

D.J. Williams run for no gain to the Kent 16

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony Schwartz

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.83

D.J. Williams run for no gain to the Kent 16

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Kavosiey Smoke run for 14 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Terry Wilson pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 2 yds to the Kent 32

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the Kent 27

2nd & 13Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.70

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 33 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Aub 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 6 yds to the Aub 31

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.38

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Aub 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Terry Wilson LF pass complete to Asim Rose for 8 yards to the AU22, out-of-bounds (Zakoby McClain), PENALTY UK holding (Keaton Upshaw) 10 yards to the AU40, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 44

2nd & 24Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.01

Terry Wilson sacked by DaQuan Newkirk for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 48

3rd & 28Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Terry Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Jaylin Simpson

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Aub 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 2 yds to the Aub 25

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Bo Nix sacked by Jamin Davis for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 41 yds, downed at the Kent 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 39

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.13

Asim Rose run for 6 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.28

Terry Wilson pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 40 yds to the Aub 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Aub 8

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Aub 3

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.26

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Aub 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Aub 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Terry Wilson run for no gain to the Aub 1

3rd & 1Pass Interception Return+45 ydsPPA -4.55

Terry Wilson pass intercepted for a 1ST down Roger McCreary return for 30 yds to the Aub 0 for a 1ST down AUBURN Penalty, personal foul (Derick Hall) to the Aub 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 13

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Asim Rose run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 19

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 4 yds to the Kent 23

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Justin Rigg

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 53 yds, downed at the Aub 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Bo Nix run for 1 yd to the Aub 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.36

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 32 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ze'Vian Capers

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Bo Nix punt for 39 yds, downed at the Kent 2

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Kent 2

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.12

Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 1

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 75 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.22

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 25 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Kent 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.52

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 12 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tank Bigsby run for 5 yds to the Kent 32

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, false start (Ze'Vian Capers) to the Kent 37

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Kelvin Joseph) to the Kent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, false start (Alec Jackson) to the Kent 27

1st & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Bo Nix run for 13 yds to the Kent 14

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.24

Tank Bigsby run for 5 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 11

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.15

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 11 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Terry Wilson run for 9 yds to the Kent 36

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.11

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.49

Terry Wilson pass complete to Akeem Hayes for 16 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Josh Ali pass incomplete to Terry Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Terry Wilson pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 6 yds to the Aub 39

3rd & 4Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.62

Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 25 yds to the Aub 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Terry Wilson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 3 yds to the Aub 11

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Aub 8

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.75

Terry Wilson pass complete to Akeem Hayes for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 17 yds to the Aub 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 5 yds to the Aub 47

2nd & 5Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.49

N/A run for a loss of 9 yards to the Aub 38

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Bo Nix pass incomplete to D.J. Williams

4th & 14Punt+6 yds

Aidan Marshall punt for 42 yds , Josh Ali returns for 6 yds to the Kent 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Kent 27

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 32

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -0.43

Terry Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 23 Terry Wilson fumbled, recovered by Aub Jamien Sherwood , return for 7 yds to the Kent 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

D.J. Williams run for 8 yds to the Kent 15

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 9 yds to the Kent 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

D.J. Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

D.J. Williams run for 3 yds to the Kent 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 4 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 2 yds to the Kent 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr., broken up by Roger McCreary

4th & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA +0.11

Max Duffy run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 27

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the Kent 21

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.54

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 21 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 30

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.37

Terry Wilson sacked by Owen Pappoe for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 24

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony Schwartz

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 39

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Bo Nix pass complete to D.J. Williams for 7 yds to the Aub 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 45 yds, downed at the Kent 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 6 yds to the Kent 15

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Terry Wilson pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 12 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Terry Wilson pass complete to Kavosiey Smoke for 8 yds to the Kent 35

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to DeMarcus Harris, broken up by Nehemiah Pritchett

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Terry Wilson LSL pass incomplete to Keaton Upshaw, PENALTY AU pass interference (Jamien Sherwood) 15 yards to the AU44, 1ST DOWN UK, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Terry Wilson pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 3 yds to the Aub 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 12 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.25

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 16 yds to the Aub 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Terry Wilson run for 8 yds to the Aub 5 KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (Allen Dailey Jr.) to the Aub 15

1st & 12Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -4.31

Terry Wilson pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 4 yds DeMarcus Harris fumbled, forced by Owen Pappoe, recovered by Aub Owen Pappoe

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

N/A pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

D.J. Williams run for 4 yds to the Aub 15

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.82

D.J. Williams run for 6 yds to the Aub 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 19

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.24

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 17

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
22%
27 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
54%
13 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
75%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
22 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play