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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2020Week 4
AlabamaAlabama
38
-Final
19
MissouriMissouri
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 15.8

Home Win Probability

Missouri 14%

Market (consensus)

Missouri +28.5

Edge: Missouri +28.5 (12.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 26, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
14147338
MissouriMissouri
0331319

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-213-213-286-3513-3519-38
MissouriAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISALAMISMISALAMISALAMISALAALAMISPUNT36ydPUNT3-10ydTD1266ydDOWNS641ydTD466ydUncategorized513ydTD891ydPUNT517ydPUNT3-4ydFG1250ydTD1075ydEND51ydTO512ydTD537ydFG1855ydTO1240ydTD257ydTO815ydFG42ydEND1475yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Missouri
StatisticAlabamaMissouri
Passing23-3226-39
Pass Yards303253
Rush Yards11169
Total Yards414322
Turnovers12
3rd Down9-148-16
Penalties7-493-20
Possession31:4828:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Mac Jones
18/24, 249 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Najee Harris
17 CAR, 98 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jaylen Waddle
8 REC, 134 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Missouri
passing
Shawn Robinson
19/25, 185 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Larry Rountree III
14 CAR, 67 YDS
receiving
Jalen Knox
5 REC, 63 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jaylen Waddle

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kris Abrams-Draine at the Misso 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Damon Hazelton run for no gain to the Misso 36

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.54

Shawn Robinson sacked by Christian Harris for a loss of 10 yards to the Misso 26

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 40 yds, downed at the Alab 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 3 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.38

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 20 yds to the Misso 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Najee Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 45

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the Misso 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Mac Jones run for 4 yds to the Misso 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Najee Harris run for 13 yds to the Misso 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Misso 12

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds to the Misso 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Misso 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Misso 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Najee Harris 1 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Knox for 23 yds to the Misso 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Richard Taylor) to the Alab 46

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Knox for 11 yds to the Alab 35

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Tyler Badie

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 2 yds to the Alab 33

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.58

Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +2.72

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 46 yds to the Misso 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Misso 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.24

Jaylen Waddle 18 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Tyler Badie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 44

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 49

3rd & 6Penalty+9 yds

Robinson, Shawn pass sacked for loss of 12 yards to the MISSOURI37 (Moses, Dylan), PENALTY ALABAMA holding 9 yards to the ALABAMA42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.91

Shawn Robinson run for no gain to the Alab 42 Shawn Robinson fumbled, forced by Josh Jobe, recovered by Misso Shawn Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Keke Chism

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Larry Rountree III

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 9

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Najee Harris run for 8 yds to the Alab 17

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.01

Najee Harris run for 18 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Mac Jones pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 33

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.54

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 22 yds to the Misso 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +0.95

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 34 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 10 yds to the Misso 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Najee Harris 1 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 6 yds to the Misso 21

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Tyler Badie run for 10 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 1 yd to the Misso 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton, broken up by Josh Jobe

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 24

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.19

DeVonta Smith run for a loss of 12 yards to the Alab 12

2nd & 22Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Emil Ekiyor Jr.) to the Alab 7

2nd & 27Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 8 yds to the Alab 15

3rd & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 5 yds to the Alab 20

4th & 14Punt+39 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 39 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 4 yds to the Misso 44

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Shawn Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.79

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 13 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Dominic Gicinto

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 9 yds to the Alab 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Shawn Robinson run for 3 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Larry Rountree III run for 9 yds to the Alab 23

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.40

Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Alab 13

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Shawn Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 16

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jalen Knox run for 6 yds to the Alab 10

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 yds

Harrison Mevis 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Alex Leatherwood) to the Alab 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 13 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Evan Neal) to the Alab 32

1st & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 3 yds to the Alab 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.44

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 13 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 14 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 2 yds to the Misso 36

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 9 yds to the Misso 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Misso 23

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr.

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.31

Jaylen Waddle 23 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Shawn Robinson run for 2 yds to the Misso 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.54

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Barrett Banister for 7 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kris Abrams-Draine run for 3 yds to the Misso 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception-17 ydsPPA -1.19

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Shawn Robinson for a loss of 12 yards to the Misso 31 MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Shawn Robinson) to the Misso 26

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Knox run for 3 yds to the Misso 28

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Robinson, Shawn pass complete to Knox, Jalen for 20 yards to the MISSOURI48, PENALTY MISSOURI holding (Maietti, Michael) 10 yards to the MISSOURI18, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Keke Chism for 9 yds to the Misso 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Knox for 14 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for 6 yds to the Misso 47

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-10 ydsPPA -2.74

Shawn Robinson run for a loss of 10 yards to the Misso 37 Shawn Robinson fumbled, recovered by Alab Patrick Surtain II

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Misso 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 10 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Misso 19

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the Misso 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Najee Harris 8 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Niko Hea for 9 yds to the Misso 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 42

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Misso 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Alab 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.53

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 9 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Alab 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Daniel Parker Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 40

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Alab 34

4th & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.13

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Barrett Banister for 12 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Alab 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Knox for no gain to the Alab 21

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 13 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Alab 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Daniel Parker Jr.

3rd & 4Sack-16 ydsPPA -2.60

Shawn Robinson sacked by LaBryan Ray for a loss of 16 yards to the Alab 20

4th & 0Field Goal Good+37 yds

Harrison Mevis 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trey Sanders run for no gain to the Alab 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Bryce Young pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 6 yds to the Alab 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.07

Bryce Young pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 23 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Bryce Young pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the Misso 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.58

Bryce Young pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 14 yds to the Misso 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 30

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Bryce Young run for 7 yds to the Misso 23

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Trey Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 21

2nd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Bryce Young pass complete to Trey Sanders for a loss of 2 yards to the Misso 23

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Misso 28

3rd & 19Sack+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Bryce Young sacked by Tre Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Misso 43 Bryce Young fumbled, forced by Tre Williams, recovered by Misso Nick Bolton , return for 0 yards , return for 8 yds to the Misso 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Keke Chism for 3 yds to the Misso 46

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.90

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Tyler Badie for 54 yds for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Trey Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 24

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Trey Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.06

Bryce Young pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 13 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Trey Sanders run for no gain to the Alab 36

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Bryce Young run for 12 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Bryce Young pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.49

Bryce Young sacked by Trajan Jeffcoat for a loss of 10 yards to the Alab 40

4th & 18Punt+3 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 45 yds , Barrett Banister returns for 3 yds to the Misso 18 Barrett Banister fumbled, recovered by Alab Thomas Fletcher

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Trey Sanders run for 2 yds to the Misso 16

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Trey Sanders run for no gain to the Misso 16

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jaylen Waddle

4th & 8Field Goal Good+34 yds

Will Reichard 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler Badie

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Elijah Young

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.37

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 15 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Connor Bazelak run for 9 yds to the Misso 49

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.40

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton, broken up by Josh Jobe

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Dawson Downing run for 2 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Barrett Banister for 8 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dawson Downing for 7 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.40

Connor Bazelak sacked by Josh Jobe for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.76

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 22 yds to the Alab 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Dominic Gicinto

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Dominic Gicinto for 9 yds to the Alab 7

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler Badie

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.90

Connor Bazelak run for 7 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
27%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
64%
11 plays
57%
7 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
4th

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
43%
14 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play