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← Back to GamesSep 12, 2020Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 23.2

Home Win Probability

App State 91%

Market (consensus)

App State -16.5

Edge: App State -16.5 (6.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CharlotteCharlotte
7310020
App StateApp State
01471435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-714-1014-1328-2035-20
App StateCharlotte

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CHAASCHAASCHAASCHAASCHAASASCHAASCHAASCHAASCHAASCHAASCHAASPUNT38ydTO646ydTD1291ydPUNT425ydPUNT417ydTD867ydPUNT38ydTD1079ydFG770ydMISS958ydPUNT30ydTO742ydTO517ydFG1255ydTD575ydTD00ydTD1475ydPUNT58ydTO18ydDOWNS40ydTD680ydTO514ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Charlotte and App State
StatisticCharlotteApp State
Passing11-3014-21
Pass Yards140204
Rush Yards146308
Total Yards286512
Turnovers23
3rd Down4-146-10
Penalties5-637-65
Possession28:3731:23

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Charlotte
passing
Chris Reynolds
11/30, 140 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Tre Harbison
17 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Taylor Thompson
2 REC, 62 YDS
defense
Ben DeLuca
0.5 TFL
App State
passing
Zac Thomas
14/21, 204 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marcus Williams Jr.
14 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Hennigan
5 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Trey Cobb
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous Elder

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 24

3rd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the Charl 33 Chris Reynolds fumbled, forced by Shaun Jolly,

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Connor Bowler punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.19

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 22 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 8 yds to the Charl 22

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.21

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 12 yds to the Charl 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Charl 9

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Charl 1

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.55

Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Charl 9 Marcus Williams Jr. fumbled, forced by Ben DeLuca, recovered by Charl Tyler Murray , return for 3 yds to the Charl 9

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tre Harbison III run for 6 yds to the Charl 15

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Tre Harbison III run for 1 yd to the Charl 16

3rd & 3Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.72

Tre Harbison III run for 29 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 8 yds to the AppSt 47

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous Elder

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 48

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Jordon Earle) to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Tre Harbison III run for 2 yds to the AppSt 41

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Victor Tucker run for 9 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Micaleous Elder for 5 yds to the AppSt 27

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Chris Reynolds run for 13 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Tre Harbison III run for 14 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 20 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

Harrington, D. rush for 4 yards to the CLT46 (DELUCA, Ben), PENALTY APP personal foul (Hannon, Noah) 15 yards to the APP35, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the AppSt 39

3rd & 16Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Zac Thomas run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nafees Lyon at the Charl 16

1st & 10Penalty-8 yds

REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to TUCKER, Victor, dropped pass, PENALTY CLT pass interference 8 yards to the CLT8, NO PLAY.

1st & 18Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.36

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 20 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Ryan Carriere

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chris Reynolds run for 5 yds to the Charl 33

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Aaron McAllister, broken up by Shemar Jean-Charles

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Connor Bowler punt for 34 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for no gain to the AppSt 33 Thomas Hennigan fumbled, recovered by AppSt Thomas Hennigan

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 33

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.29

Camerun Peoples run for 14 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the Charl 48

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Camerun Peoples run for 10 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.20

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 14 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Camerun Peoples run for 8 yds to the Charl 16

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.21

Camerun Peoples run for 16 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tre Harbison III run for 1 yd to the Charl 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tre Harbison III run for 5 yds to the Charl 31

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Charl 33

4th & 2Punt+1 yds

Connor Bowler punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 21 , Thomas Hennigan returns for 1 yd to the AppSt 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 22

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Zac Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 20

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 15

3rd & 16Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.91

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 18 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Camerun Peoples run for 16 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Hennigan, T., PENALTY CLT pass interference (LYON, Nafees) 15 yards to the CLT35, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Charl 32

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Charl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Charl 9

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.19

Zac Thomas run for 8 yds to the Charl 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Tre Harbison III run for 22 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tre Harbison III run for 3 yds to the Charl 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.09

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 41 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Aaron McAllister

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Tre Harbison III run for 1 yd to the AppSt 9

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chris Reynolds run for 3 yds to the AppSt 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Jonathan Cruz 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Zac Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 24

2nd & 11Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 17 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Zac Thomas pass complete to Marcus Williams Jr. for 3 yds to the AppSt 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.01

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 15 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 10 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Hennigan, T., PENALTY CLT pass interference (MCMILLIAN,Lance) 15 yards to the CLT17, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Blocked Field Goal+34 yds

Chandler Staton 34 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Damon Weldon Siah Sa'o return for 20 yds to the Charl 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams

4th & 10Punt+7 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 52 yds , Victor Tucker returns for 7 yds to the Charl 32 CHARLOTTE Penalty, IB (10 Yards) to the Charl 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Rico Arnold for 15 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Tre Harbison III run for 1 yd to the Charl 36

2nd & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.00

Tre Harbison III run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 32

3rd & 13Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.46

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 21 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the AppSt 40

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38

3rd & 1Pass Interception Return+46 ydsPPA -3.36

Chris Reynolds pass intercepted Brendan Harrington return for 46 yds to the Charl 36

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 10 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Charl 21

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 26

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Zac Thomas run for 2 yds to the Charl 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Zac Thomas pass complete to Mike Evans for 5 yds to the Charl 19

4th & 3Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -3.52

Zac Thomas pass intercepted Tyler Murray return for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 13

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.00

Aaron McAllister run for 17 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tre Harbison III run for 5 yds to the Charl 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.83

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Cameron Dollar for 5 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous Elder, broken up by Shemar Jean-Charles

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Rico Arnold

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Taylor Thompson, broken up by Steven Jones

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

BOWLER, Connor punt 44 yards to the APP16, Hennigan, T. return to the APP17, out-of-bounds (FAISON-WALDEN,B), PENALTY APP roughing the kicker (Brown, KeSean) 15 yards to the APP45, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Tre Harbison III run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.96

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 12 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 3 yds to the AppSt 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Ryan Carriere

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron Dollar, broken up by Brendan Harrington

4th & 7Field Goal Good+49 yds

Jonathan Cruz 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the AppSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.11

Camerun Peoples run for 8 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 51 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.68

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 12 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Daetrich Harrington run for no gain to the AppSt 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.49

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 16 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the Charl 33

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 35

3rd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.05

Zac Thomas run for 13 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Daetrich Harrington run for 7 yds to the Charl 15

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the Charl 13

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.08

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the Charl 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Daetrich Harrington run for 8 yds to the Charl 3

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 4

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tre Harbison III run for 1 yd to the Charl 38

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Tre Harbison III run for 2 yds to the Charl 40

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to TUCKER, Victor, PENALTY APP pass interference (Jackson, D.) 15 yards to the APP45, 1ST DOWN CLT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 49

2nd & 14Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.58

Chris Reynolds sacked by Caleb Spurlin for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 45

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Rico Arnold, broken up by Shemar Jean-Charles

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Connor Bowler punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 12

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 20 Camerun Peoples fumbled, forced by Tyler Murray, recovered by Charl Nafees Lyon

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Micaleous Elder

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Tre Harbison III run for no gain to the AppSt 20

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the AppSt 20

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.80

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Cameron Dollar, broken up by Kaiden Smith

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the AppSt 20

2nd & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.40

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 34 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.86

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 22 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the Charl 20

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the Charl 15

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.64

Daetrich Harrington run for 15 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.08

Chris Reynolds pass complete to Tre Harbison III for 14 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Rico Arnold, broken up by Shemar Jean-Charles

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -2.34

Chris Reynolds pass intercepted Kaiden Smith return for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 20

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 17

Situational Analysis

Charlotte

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
36%
14 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
53%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play