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← Back to GamesDec 5, 2020Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas by 5.5

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 36%

Market (consensus)

Kansas State +7.5

Edge: Kansas State +7.5 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 5, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TexasTexas
171435369
Kansas StateKansas State
71014031

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256700-77-177-2410-3117-3124-3831-5231-5931-6631-69
Kansas StateTexas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSTEXKSPUNT36ydTD781ydMISS740ydFG954ydTO10ydTD13ydTD864ydTD459ydFG746ydTD870ydTO1-9ydMISS43ydTD1280ydPUNT3-2ydEND12ydTD275ydTD876ydTD11ydTD475ydTD675ydPUNT31ydTD886ydTO317ydTD132ydDOWNS942ydFG663ydPUNT622ydPUNT38ydUncategorized21yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas and Kansas State
StatisticTexasKansas State
Passing20-2716-27
Pass Yards274174
Rush Yards334274
Total Yards608448
Turnovers03
3rd Down3-84-11
Penalties4-553-21
Possession24:2034:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas
passing
Sam Ehlinger
20/27, 274 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Bijan Robinson
9 CAR, 172 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Jake Smith
4 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Kansas State
passing
Will Howard
16/27, 174 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Deuce Vaughn
10 CAR, 125 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Malik Knowles
6 REC, 95 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Will Howard pass complete to Phillip Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 24

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Harry Trotter run for no gain to the KanSt 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the KanSt 31

4th & 4Punt+10 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 10 yds to the Texas 41 TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (Chris Brown) to the Texas 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 4 yds to the Texas 23

2nd & 6Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.05

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 32 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 5 yds to the KanSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.68

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 15 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.17

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 13 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Bijan Robinson run for 12 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Will Howard run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the Texas 47

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Phillip Brooks run for 9 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Howard pass complete to D.J. Render for 3 yds to the Texas 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Blake Lynch 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 34

2nd & 11Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.01

Roschon Johnson run for 22 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Roschon Johnson run for 12 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.23

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 15 yds to the KanSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 14

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 3 yds to the KanSt 11

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua Moore, broken up by Bronson Massie

4th & 8Field Goal Good+28 yds

Cameron Dicker 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+21 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Howard pass intercepted Jerrin Thompson return for 21 yds to the KanSt 3

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Will Howard run for 4 yds to the KanSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malik Knowles run for 5 yds to the KanSt 45

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.85

Will Howard run for 12 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Will Howard pass incomplete to Chabastin Taylor, broken up by Chris Brown

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 44

3rd & 11Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.96

Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 25 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.97

Deuce Vaughn run for 19 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 44

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.85

Bijan Robinson run for 15 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 11 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Bijan Robinson run for 30 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Will Howard run for 6 yds to the KanSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.98

Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 20 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.02

Deuce Vaughn run for 22 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Phillip Brooks run for 7 yds to the Texas 20

3rd & 3Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.32

Will Howard sacked by Joseph Ossai for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 29

4th & 12Field Goal Good+47 yds

Blake Lynch 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 15 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.67

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 27 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan Eagles, broken up by Kiondre Thomas

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jake Smith run for 4 yds to the KanSt 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 10 yds to the KanSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jared Wiley for 7 yds to the KanSt 7

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.24

Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Will Howard run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 16 Will Howard fumbled, recovered by Texas Jacoby Jones

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 11

2nd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.79

Sam Ehlinger sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 16

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 3 yds to the KanSt 13

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Cameron Dicker 30 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Howard pass complete to Harry Trotter for 6 yds to the KanSt 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 12 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Deuce Vaughn run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Will Howard run for 1 yd to the Texas 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Will Howard run for 5 yds to the Texas 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.85

Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 15 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 10 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Howard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.77

Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 12 yds to the Texas 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Knowles run for 3 yds to the Texas 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the Texas 31

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.61

Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 29

3rd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.17

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jordan Whittington for no gain to the Texas 29

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Bijan Robinson, broken up by Wayne Jones

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.78

Bijan Robinson run for 75 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.29

Will Howard run for 15 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Will Howard pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.55

Will Howard run for 2 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Juwan Mitchell) to the Texas 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Will Howard pass complete to Briley Moore for 12 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Harry Trotter run for 6 yds to the Texas 26

2nd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.33

Deuce Vaughn run for 18 yds to the Texas 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Howard run for 1 yd to the Texas 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Will Howard pass complete to Harry Trotter for 12 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.97

Deuce Vaughn run for 31 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 29 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 30

2nd & 5Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.63

Bijan Robinson run for 27 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan Eagles, broken up by Justin Gardner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 11 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 17 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Jordan Whittington run for 15 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Will Howard run for 4 yds to the Texas 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Will Howard pass complete to Harry Trotter for 2 yds to the Texas 38

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Christian Duffie) to the Texas 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 29 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 14

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Roschon Johnson run for 9 yds to the Texas 23

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan Eagles

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.22

Roschon Johnson run for 10 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Roschon Johnson run for 13 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kai Money for 6 yds to the KanSt 48

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Roschon Johnson

3rd & 4Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.47

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 33 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 15 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Harry Trotter run for 8 yds to the KanSt 14

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Will Howard run for 9 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.79

Will Howard pass intercepted David Gbenda return for no gain to the KanSt 32

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 32 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Vaughn, Deuce rush for 13 yards to the KS38 (Brown,Chris), PENALTY KS holding (Poitier, Taylor) 10 yards to the KS15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Phillip Brooks run for 5 yds to the KanSt 20

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 19

3rd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Will Howard run for 6 yds to the KanSt 25

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ta'Quon Graham) to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Will Howard run for 2 yds to the KanSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.20

Deuce Vaughn run for 17 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Will Howard run for 7 yds to the Texas 34

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the Texas 32

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 33

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.58

Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Roschon Johnson run for 16 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +1.60

Roschon Johnson run for 43 yds to the KanSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Casey Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 7

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Cameron Dicker 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Malik Knowles run for 8 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyler Burns run for 10 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Burns run for 3 yds to the Texas 49

2nd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.17

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 45

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Phillip Brooks run for 2 yds to the KanSt 47

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 49 yds, downed at the Texas 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Gabriel Watson run for 2 yds to the Texas 6

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Casey Thompson run for 3 yds to the Texas 9

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Gabriel Watson run for 3 yds to the Texas 12

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tyler Burns run for no gain to the KanSt 40

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyler Burns run for 1 yd to the KanSt 41

Situational Analysis

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
58%
31 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
36 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
69%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play