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← Back to GamesNov 27, 2020Week 13
Iowa StateIowa State
23
-Final
20
TexasTexas
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Texas 61%

Market (consensus)

Texas +1.5

Edge: Texas +1.5 (6.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 27, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
7331023
TexasTexas
1307020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-713-1020-1020-1320-1620-23
TexasIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXISTEXFG872ydPUNT37ydTD663ydTD675ydTO563ydPUNT36ydFG632ydFG1567ydPUNT58ydDOWNS1560ydPUNT621ydTD889ydFG963ydDOWNS47ydFG537ydDOWNS1368ydPUNT624ydPUNT34ydTD569ydUncategorized937yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and Texas
StatisticIowa StateTexas
Passing25-3618-30
Pass Yards312303
Rush Yards121145
Total Yards433448
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-144-11
Penalties7-557-56
Possession32:5727:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Brock Purdy
25/36, 312 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Breece Hall
20 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Charlie Kolar
6 REC, 131 YDS
defense
Mike Rose
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
Texas
passing
Sam Ehlinger
17/29, 298 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Sam Ehlinger
15 CAR, 65 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brennan Eagles
5 REC, 142 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +4.19

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 59 yds to the IowSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Bijan Robinson

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Cameron Dicker 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the IowSt 30

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Breece Hall

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 3 yds to the IowSt 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joe Rivera punt for 31 yds, downed at the Texas 37

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Bijan Robinson run for 10 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 18 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Bijan Robinson run for 18 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 17

2nd & 13Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.07

Sam Ehlinger run for 17 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 5 yds to the IowSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 7 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 1 yd to the Texas 40 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jacoby Jones) to the Texas 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brock Purdy pass complete to Johnnie Lang Jr. for 5 yds to the Texas 40

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

Hall, Breece rush for 1 yard to the TEXAS39, PENALTY TEXAS offside (Ossai, Joseph) 5 yards to the TEXAS35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 35 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Sam Ehlinger run for 8 yds to the Texas 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.93

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 13 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Roschon Johnson run for 11 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brenden Schooler

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+31 ydsPPA -2.24

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tarik Black for 31 yds Tarik Black fumbled, forced by Isheem Young, recovered by IowSt Lawrence White IV , return for no gain to the IowSt 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 6 yds to the IowSt 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

Joe Rivera punt for 37 yds , D'Shawn Jamison returns for 4 yds to the Texas 44

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Moore, Joshua, PENALTY IOWAST pass interference (Kyle, Tayvonn) 15 yards to the IOWAST41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jordan Whittington

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Sam Ehlinger run for 12 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 27

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.98

Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 29

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake Smith

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (5 Yards) to the IowSt 24

4th & 5Field Goal Good+42 yds

Cameron Dicker 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 5 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.73

Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 20 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the Texas 37 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Derek Schweiger) to the Texas 47

1st & 13Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.08

Brock Purdy run for 13 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kene Nwangwu run for 5 yds to the Texas 29

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Brock Purdy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 21

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the Texas 18

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Brock Purdy run for 7 yds to the Texas 11

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.11

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the Texas 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Texas 2

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Darrell Simmons Jr.) to the Texas 7

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Brock Purdy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Chase Allen

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Connor Assalley 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.14

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 11 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jordan Whittington for no gain to the Texas 49

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.45

Sam Ehlinger sacked by Latrell Bankston for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 43

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 17

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Jake Remsburg) to the IowSt 12

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 14 yds to the IowSt 26

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.76

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique Milton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 9 yds to the IowSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 11 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 9 yds to the Texas 40

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique Milton

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.66

Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the Texas 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.48

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 16 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Connor Assalley 41 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 6 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 4 yds to the IowSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kene Nwangwu run for 5 yds to the IowSt 48

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 46

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Joe Rivera punt for 43 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 5 yds to the Texas 16

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.67

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 17 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Texas 40

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +1.85

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 45 yds to the IowSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the IowSt 7

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.54

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jared Wiley for 7 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds to the IowSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.04

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 31 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Texas 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.44

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 17 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Breece Hall run for no gain to the Texas 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 4 yds to the Texas 5

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.02

Brock Purdy sacked by Keondre Coburn for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 12

4th & 12Field Goal Good+29 yds

Connor Assalley 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan Eagles

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua Moore

4th & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.57

Cameron Dicker pass complete to Cade Brewer for 5 yds to the IowSt 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +1.93

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 44 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brock Purdy run for 3 yds to the Texas 10

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Purdy, Brock pass incomplete, PENALTY IOWAST holding (Simmons Jr., Darrell) 10 yards to the TEXAS20, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Tarique Milton

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar

4th & 17Field Goal Good+38 yds

Connor Assalley 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua Moore

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Texas 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.03

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 15 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 39

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Texas 45

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Johnson, Roschon rush for 4 yards to the IOWAST48, PENALTY TEXAS illegal motion (Eagles, Brennan) 5 yards to the TEXAS43, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the Texas 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.28

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 30 yds to the IowSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.05

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 3 yds to the IowSt 18 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tarik Black) to the IowSt 28

1st & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the IowSt 18

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 14

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the IowSt 13

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -3.87

Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the IowSt 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 18

2nd & 5Penalty+6 yds

Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Shaw Jr., Sean, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Jamison, D'Shawn) 6 yards to the IOWAST24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 25

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.47

Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 10 yds to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 41

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the IowSt 42

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 37

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Joe Rivera punt for 39 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 28

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake Smith

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua Moore

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 31

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Breece Hall run for 18 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.14

Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 22 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.26

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 17 yds to the Texas 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the Texas 3

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.92

Breece Hall run for 3 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ehlinger, Sam rush for no gain to the TEXAS23, PENALTY TEXAS holding (Jones, Christian) 10 yards to the TEXAS13, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake Smith

2nd & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.11

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 9 yds to the Texas 22

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 13 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 13 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 9 yds to the IowSt 43

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.15

Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan Eagles

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake Smith

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.71

Sam Ehlinger sacked by Latrell Bankston for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 40

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
58%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
36%
25 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play