Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 21, 2020Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 10.7

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 74%

Market (consensus)

Iowa State -13.5

Edge: Kansas State +13.5 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 21, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kansas StateKansas State
00000
Iowa StateIowa State
7283745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-035-038-045-0
Iowa StateKansas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSKSISKSISKSISKSISKSISKSISTD675ydDOWNS1162ydTD1197ydPUNT314ydPUNT520ydPUNT3-1ydTD646ydPUNT30ydTD388ydTO10ydTD638ydEND314ydDOWNS728ydFG637ydPUNT65ydDOWNS1043ydTO320ydMISS43ydTO14ydTD332ydPUNT30ydPUNT30ydPUNT38ydEND851yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kansas State and Iowa State
StatisticKansas StateIowa State
Passing9-1919-25
Pass Yards76299
Rush Yards73240
Total Yards149539
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-125-12
Penalties4-204-30
Possession23:0536:55

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kansas State
passing
Nick Ast
6/10, 44 YDS
rushing
Deuce Vaughn
7 CAR, 44 YDS
receiving
Chabastin Taylor
2 REC, 37 YDS
defense
Iowa State
passing
Brock Purdy
16/20, 236 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Breece Hall
15 CAR, 135 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Xavier Hutchinson
6 REC, 111 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Lawrence White
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.55

Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.75

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 20 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 9 yds to the KanSt 48

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.28

Breece Hall run for 15 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Brock Purdy pass complete to Joe Scates for 33 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.23

Will Howard pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 29 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the IowSt 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Will Howard pass complete to Keyon Mozee for 5 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Harry Trotter run for 7 yds to the IowSt 18

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the IowSt 16

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Will Howard run for 13 yds to the IowSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Will Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Howard pass incomplete to Chabastin Taylor

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Will Howard run for 3 yds to the IowSt 2

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.15

Will Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 5

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 9

3rd & 4Penalty+6 yds

Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Hutchinson, Xavier, PENALTY KS pass interference (Boye-Doe, Ekow) 6 yards to the ISU15, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.16

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 28 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.28

Brock Purdy run for 17 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.45

Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 13 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the KanSt 25

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Dylan Soehner) to the KanSt 30

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the KanSt 25

3rd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.39

Brock Purdy run for 18 yds to the KanSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the KanSt 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brock Purdy run for no gain to the KanSt 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 6 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Howard, Will pass incomplete, PENALTY ISU personal foul (Uwazurike, Eyioma) 15 yards to the KS26, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 28

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Keenan Garber run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 26

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.27

Will Howard sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 25 Will Howard fumbled, recovered by KanSt Cooper Beebe , return for 0 yards

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Dylan Soehner, broken up by Jahron McPherson

4th & 2Punt+51 yds

Joe Rivera punt for 47 yds, downed at the IOWAST 8 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (D.J. Render) to the KanSt 4

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brock Purdy pass incomplete, broken up by Drew Wiley

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 8 yds to the IowSt 45

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 3

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce Vaughn, broken up by Jake Hummel

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Will Howard pass incomplete to Briley Moore

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the KanSt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 13 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the KanSt 28

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the KanSt 24

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Kene Nwangwu run for no gain to the KanSt 21

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Xavier Hutchinson 21 Yd pass from Brock Purdy (Connor Assalley Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Will Howard pass incomplete to Chabastin Taylor, broken up by Lawrence White IV

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Will Howard pass incomplete to D.J. Render

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 41 yds, downed at the IowSt 12

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.78

Breece Hall run for 26 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.05

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 29 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Breece Hall 33 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -1.57

Will Howard pass intercepted Mike Rose return for 2 yds to the KanSt 38

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 42

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the KanSt 40

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 11 yds to the KanSt 29

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.20

Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Kene Nwangwu run for 6 yds to the KanSt 21

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.54

Breece Hall 21 Yd Run (Connor Assalley Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 30

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Ast run for 5 yds to the KanSt 35

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.28

Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST down

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Deuce Vaughn run for 10 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.92

Nick Ast sacked by Mike Rose for a loss of 12 yards to the KanSt 22

2nd & 22Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.89

Nick Ast pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 22 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Nick Ast pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 8 yds to the IowSt 48

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Nick Ast pass incomplete to Chabastin Taylor, broken up by Greg Eisworth II

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Nick Ast pass incomplete to Briley Moore

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Brock Purdy run for 19 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.32

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 16 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Brock Purdy run for 2 yds to the KanSt 15

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Joe Scates, broken up by Daniel Green

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson, broken up by Kiondre Thomas

4th & 8Field Goal Good+32 yds

Connor Assalley 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Harry Trotter run for 3 yds to the KanSt 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Nick Ast pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 6 yds to the KanSt 30

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.00

Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Nick Ast pass complete to D.J. Render for 1 yd to the KanSt 35

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 40

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Cooper Beebe) to the KanSt 35

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.55

Nick Ast sacked by JaQuan Bailey for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 26

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.56

Breece Hall run for 10 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 8 yds to the KanSt 34

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.44

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 9 yds to the KanSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the KanSt 18

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kene Nwangwu run for no gain to the KanSt 18

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Brock Purdy pass complete to Jirehl Brock for 7 yds to the KanSt 11

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.00

Kene Nwangwu run for no gain to the KanSt 11

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.43

Deuce Vaughn run for 23 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nick Ast pass incomplete to Briley Moore

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Nick Ast run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 31 Nick Ast fumbled, forced by Will McDonald IV, recovered by IowSt JaQuan Bailey

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 5 yds to the KanSt 26

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Brock, Jirehl rush for 4 yards to the KS19 (Henington, Ryan), PENALTY ISU illegal shift (Dean, Easton) 5 yards to the KS28, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Connor Assalley 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyler Burns run for no gain to the KanSt 32 Tyler Burns fumbled, forced by Zach Petersen, recovered by IowSt Dae'Shawn Davis

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Hunter Dekkers pass incomplete to Joe Scates

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.95

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Joe Scates for 20 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Hunter Dekkers run for 12 yds for a TD, (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the KanSt 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Nick Ast pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 20

3rd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Nick Ast pass complete to Keenan Garber for 1 yd to the KanSt 21

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ty Zentner punt for 43 yds, downed at the IowSt 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jirehl Brock run for 2 yds to the IowSt 38

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jirehl Brock run for 5 yds to the IowSt 43

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.43

Hunter Dekkers sacked by Spencer Trussell for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Joe Rivera punt for 38 yds, downed at the KanSt 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Keyon Mozee run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Keyon Mozee run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 28

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Nick Ast pass complete to Konner Fox for 6 yds to the KanSt 34

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jack Blumer punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Greg Eisworth II at the IowSt 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the IowSt 32

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Brock, Jirehl rush for 3 yards to the ISU35 (Duke, Khalid;Allen, Nick), PENALTY ISU illegal formation 5 yards to the ISU27, NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.86

Hunter Dekkers pass complete to Aidan Bitter for 38 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the KanSt 32

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.77

Jirehl Brock run for 6 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jirehl Brock run for 3 yds to the KanSt 20

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the KanSt 20

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jirehl Brock run for no gain to the KanSt 20

Situational Analysis

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
18 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
33 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays