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← Back to GamesNov 14, 2020Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

West Virginia by 8.5

Home Win Probability

West Virginia 69%

Market (consensus)

West Virginia -3

Edge: West Virginia -3 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 14, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TCUTCU
03306
West VirginiaWest Virginia
773724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-317-317-624-6
West VirginiaTCU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUWVWVTCUWVTCUWVTCUPUNT1140ydTD1599ydFG1059ydTD675ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT515ydPUNT934ydEND516ydFG1250ydFG1057ydPUNT414ydPUNT744ydPUNT58ydTD242ydPUNT3-14ydMISS638ydTO871ydPUNT33ydEND321yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing TCU and West Virginia
StatisticTCUWest Virginia
Passing16-2919-26
Pass Yards161212
Rush Yards134180
Total Yards295392
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-148-15
Penalties3-2510-85
Possession25:4034:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

TCU
passing
Max Duggan
16/29, 161 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Kendre Miller
8 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Emari Demercado
4 REC, 66 YDS
defense
West Virginia
passing
Jarret Doege
19/26, 212 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Leddie Brown
24 CAR, 156 YDS
receiving
T.J. Simmons
4 REC, 90 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the TCU 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Max Duggan pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.61

Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 17 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Max Duggan run for 5 yds to the TCU 48

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Darwin Barlow run for 5 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.26

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 10 yds to the WVirg 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Emari Demercado run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Max Duggan pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Max Duggan pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 34 yds, downed at the WVirg 1

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 7

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 7

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.89

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 15 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jarret Doege pass incomplete, broken up by Ar'Darius Washington

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 17

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.26

Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 9 yds to the WVirg 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.18

Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 14 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.08

T.J. Simmons run for 15 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.73

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 23 yds to the TCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 3 yds to the TCU 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 5 yds to the TCU 12

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 8 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jarret Doege run for 1 yd for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Max Duggan run for 4 yds to the TCU 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Max Duggan pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty+15 yds

Sandy, Jordy punt 55 yards to the WVU14, Alec Sinkfield return to the WVU24 (Demercado, E.), PENALTY WVU roughing the kicker (Tony Mathis Jr.) 15 yards to the TCU46, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 2 yds to the TCU 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 23 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 15 yds to the WVirg 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Max Duggan run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 16

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 3 yds to the WVirg 13

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Max Duggan run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 14

4th & 10Field Goal Good+32 yds

Griffin Kell 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.30

Leddie Brown run for 30 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 16 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the TCU 23

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Sam James) to the TCU 38

2nd & 19Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the TCU 36

3rd & 17Penalty+10 yds

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sean Ryan (Hod-Tomlinson), PENALTY TCU holding (Hod-Tomlinson) 10 yards to the TCU26, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 26 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quentin Johnston run for no gain to the TCU 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Evans run for no gain to the TCU 25

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Max Duggan run for 1 yd to the TCU 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

T.J. Simmons run for 1 yd to the WVirg 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 36

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam James, broken up by Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson

4th & 11Punt+24 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 39 yds, downed at the WESTVIR 25 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the TCU 40

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Taye Barber run for 7 yds to the TCU 47

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.37

Darwin Barlow run for 5 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the WVirg 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Darwin Barlow

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 6 yds to the WVirg 15

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton, broken up by Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson

3rd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Leddie Brown run for 18 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 33

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.61

Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 5 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 48

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 48

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (Jarret Doege) to the WVirg 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trevon Moehrig at the TCU 17

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.77

Emari Demercado run for 3 yds to the TCU 20 TCU Penalty, Offensive holding (Pro Wells) to the TCU 10

1st & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 5 yds to the TCU 15

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Emari Demercado run for 9 yds to the TCU 24

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.94

Taye Barber run for 4 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zach Evans run for 5 yds to the TCU 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 1 yd to the WVirg 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 7 yds to the WVirg 33

3rd & 2Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.39

Leddie Brown run for 34 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton, broken up by Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 31

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 10 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the TCU 14

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Zach Frazier) to the TCU 15

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 16

2nd & 16Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.79

Jarret Doege sacked by Parker Workman for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 18

3rd & 18Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

Leddie Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 20

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (Brandon Yates) to the TCU 25

4th & 25Field Goal Good+42 yds

Casey Legg 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 13 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye Barber, broken up by Alonzo Addae

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.36

Max Duggan run for 15 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Kendre Miller run for 11 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Max Duggan pass complete to Carter Ware for 7 yds to the WVirg 25

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.45

Kendre Miller run for 19 yds to the WVirg 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.75

Kendre Miller run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.63

Max Duggan pass complete to Kendre Miller for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 14

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Taye Barber

4th & 14Field Goal Good+32 yds

Griffin Kell 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 65Penalty0 yds

PENALTY TCU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY WVU U off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 12 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jarret Doege pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 49

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 48 yds, downed at the TCU 1

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Duggan, Max pass incomplete to Johnston, Q., PENALTY WVU pass interference (Dreshun Miller) 15 yards to the TCU16, 1ST DOWN TCU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Max Duggan run for 2 yds to the TCU 18

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Max Duggan pass complete to Blair Conwright for 10 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Kendre Miller run for 13 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kendre Miller run for 4 yds to the TCU 45

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Taye Barber run for no gain to the TCU 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Savion Williams

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Alec Sinkfield run for 5 yds to the WVirg 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 32

3rd & 21Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the WVirg 28

2nd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.80

Jarret Doege sacked by Earl Barquet for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 22 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, intentional grounding (Jarret Doege) to the WVirg 22

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 36 yds , Trevon Moehrig returns for no gain to the TCU 42 Trevon Moehrig fumbled, recovered by WVirg Sean Mahone

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Sam James run for 4 yds to the TCU 38

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.40

Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 38 yds for a TD (Casey Legg KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Zach Evans, broken up by Sean Mahone

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Evans run for 1 yd to the TCU 29

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.38

Max Duggan sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 19

4th & 19Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, false start (Deshawn McCuin) to the TCU 14

4th & 24Punt+45 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 45 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43

2nd & 7Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.47

Leddie Brown run for 31 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 24

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.21

Leddie Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 28

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the TCU 22

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Casey Legg 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kendre Miller run for 5 yds to the TCU 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.69

Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for no gain to the TCU 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.19

Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 52 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 4 yds to the WVirg 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Max Duggan pass complete to Emari Demercado for 5 yds to the WVirg 11

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Max Duggan run for 3 yds to the WVirg 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Emari Demercado run for 2 yds to the WVirg 6

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return+42 ydsPPA -4.47

Max Duggan pass intercepted Tykee Smith return for 42 yds to the WVirg 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the WVirg 45

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Alec Sinkfield run for 3 yds to the WVirg 48

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyler Sumpter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trevon Moehrig at the TCU 12

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Zach Evans run for 11 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Kendre Miller run for 7 yds to the TCU 30

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.21

Kendre Miller run for 3 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
20%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th

West Virginia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th