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← Back to GamesNov 8, 2020Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 13.8

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 79%

Market (consensus)

Iowa State -14

Edge: Baylor +14 (0.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 8, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BaylorBaylor
1473731
Iowa StateIowa State
01021738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-147-1410-2124-2431-2438-31
Iowa StateBaylor

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISISBAYBAYBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISBAYISTO216ydTD689ydTO1261ydTD636ydPUNT36ydTO22ydTD535ydPUNT1029ydTD33ydFG940ydEND414ydPUNT34ydFG42ydTD233ydPUNT3-2ydTD580ydPUNT39ydTD1171ydPUNT57ydTD317ydTD680ydPUNT824ydTO971ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Baylor and Iowa State
StatisticBaylorIowa State
Passing22-3315-24
Pass Yards295164
Rush Yards71198
Total Yards366362
Turnovers24
3rd Down4-117-13
Penalties7-651-5
Possession26:5533:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Baylor
passing
Charlie Brewer
22/33, 295 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Charlie Brewer
10 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
R.J. Sneed
6 REC, 93 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Iowa State
passing
Brock Purdy
15/24, 164 YDS, 3 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Breece Hall
31 CAR, 133 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Charlie Kolar
3 REC, 45 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Mike Rose
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Breece Hall run for 11 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Purdy, Brock pass complete to Hutchinson, Xavier for 7 yards to the ISU41 (Pitre,Jalen), PENALTY BU offside defense (Logan,Ashton) 5 yards to the ISU39, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.21

Brock Purdy pass intercepted Kalon Barnes return for no gain to the Bayl 11

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Craig Williams run for 9 yds to the Bayl 20

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Craig Williams run for 3 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+62 ydsPPA +3.65

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jared Atkinson for 62 yds to the IowSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Craig Williams run for no gain to the IowSt 15

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the IowSt 9

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.76

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 9 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Brock Purdy pass complete to Johnnie Lang Jr. for 8 yds to the IowSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 3 yds to the IowSt 39

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brock Purdy run for 5 yds to the IowSt 44

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.63

Kene Nwangwu run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Breece Hall run for 15 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.58

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 13 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Joe Scates

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Bayl 14

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return+56 ydsPPA -4.07

Brock Purdy pass intercepted Raleigh Texada return for 56 yds to the IowSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Drake Dabney for 14 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Craig Williams run for 2 yds to the IowSt 20

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Craig Williams run for 7 yds to the IowSt 13

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.07

Craig Williams run for 1 yd to the IowSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the IowSt 9

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.63

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Drake Dabney for 9 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the IowSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr., broken up by Kalon Barnes

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Joe Rivera punt for 49 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 2 yds to the Bayl 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Craig Williams run for 2 yds to the Bayl 24

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.33

Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Tayvonn Kyle return for no gain to the Bayl 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Brock Purdy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 11 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Kene Nwangwu run for 8 yds to the Bayl 14

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.18

Breece Hall run for 14 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 20 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Craig Williams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 49

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.36

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 14 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Bayl 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Yusuf Terry, broken up by Anthony Johnson Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.96

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 13 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 39

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 44

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the IowSt 42

3rd & 14Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.20

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 46

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr.

3rd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+30 ydsPPA -6.94

Brock Purdy pass intercepted for a TD Jalen Pitre return for 30 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 38

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Purdy, Brock pass incomplete to Hutchinson, Xavier, PENALTY BU pass interference (Milton,Mark) 15 yards to the BU47, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the Bayl 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Breece Hall run for no gain to the Bayl 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 11 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.27

Breece Hall run for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 31

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Brock Purdy run for 6 yds to the Bayl 25

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Breece Hall run for no gain to the Bayl 25

4th & 10Field Goal Good+42 yds

Connor Assalley 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Qualan Jones run for 9 yds to the Bayl 35

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Qualan Jones run for 4 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Qualan Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 36

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Qualan Jones run for 4 yds to the Bayl 40

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Bayl 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Qualan Jones run for 1 yd to the Bayl 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jared Atkinson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 44 yds , Greg Eisworth II returns for no gain to the IowSt 21 Greg Eisworth II fumbled, recovered by Bayl Gunnar Royer

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Qualan Jones run for 1 yd to the IowSt 20

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the IowSt 19

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

John Mayers 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 11 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 22 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Yusuf Terry for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 19

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 61 yds, downed at the IowSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Brock Purdy pass complete to Johnnie Lang Jr. for 10 yds to the IowSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.51

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 21 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.96

Brock Purdy run for 29 yds to the Bayl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Breece Hall run for 17 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for 3 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Bayl 38

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Bayl 38

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 33 yds, downed at the IowSt 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Sean Shaw Jr., broken up by William Bradley-King

3rd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.79

Brock Purdy run for 16 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the Bayl 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Joe Scates, broken up by Raleigh Texada

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.78

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 9 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Breece Hall run for 12 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the Bayl 17

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.20

Breece Hall run for 8 yds to the Bayl 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 10 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 9 yds to the Bayl 31

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.75

Charlie Brewer sacked by Eyioma Uwazurike for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 24

2nd & 19Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.13

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for no gain to the Bayl 24

3rd & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for 5 yds to the Bayl 29

4th & 14Blocked Punt+6 yds

Issac Power punt blocked by Landen Akers blocked by Landen Akers Landen Akers return for 6 yds to the Bayl 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Bayl 8

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Bayl 6

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.78

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 6 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Taye McWilliams run for no gain to the Bayl 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.99

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 18 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Taye McWilliams

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, false start (Jake Burton) to the Bayl 33

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Yusuf Terry

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Drake Dabney for 9 yds to the Bayl 42

4th & 6Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +6.81

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 58 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 5 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 40

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.85

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 14 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Breece Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 49

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.29

Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 49

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Charlie Kolar

4th & 14Punt+36 yds

Joe Rivera punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IOWAST 25 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Bayl 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.61

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 11 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 4 yds to the Bayl 30

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.17

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 8 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Trestan Ebner

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Charlie Brewer run for 16 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for 5 yds to the IowSt 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.87

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 24 yds to the IowSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the IowSt 14

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.31

Charlie Brewer pass intercepted, touchback. Mike Rose return for no gain

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, false start (Darrell Simmons Jr.) to the IowSt 15

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Breece Hall run for no gain to the IowSt 15

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 18

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.09

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 17

Situational Analysis

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
31%
26 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
55%
11 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
64%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th