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← Back to GamesOct 31, 2020Week 9
TCUTCU
33
-Final
23
BaylorBaylor
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Baylor by 10.8

Home Win Probability

Baylor 76%

Market (consensus)

Baylor +2.5

Edge: Baylor +2.5 (13.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 31, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TCUTCU
20103033
BaylorBaylor
077923

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-140-200-307-307-3314-3317-3323-33
BaylorTCU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCUBAYTCUBAYBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUBAYTCUPUNT30ydPUNT30ydTD573ydTD32ydTO419ydTD460ydPUNT34ydPUNT54ydPUNT3-8ydTD248ydDOWNS49ydFG825ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT30ydPUNT522ydTO310ydTD535ydEND1-4ydPUNT3-17ydFG680ydPUNT3-9ydDOWNS752ydTD1169ydPUNT39ydFG961ydPUNT31ydTD571ydPUNT49ydDOWNS749ydEND1242yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing TCU and Baylor
StatisticTCUBaylor
Passing14-2317-37
Pass Yards138203
Rush Yards24775
Total Yards385278
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-133-16
Penalties7-646-58
Possession31:2328:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

TCU
passing
Max Duggan
14/23, 138 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Darwin Barlow
16 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Quentin Johnston
3 REC, 64 YDS
defense
Baylor
passing
Charlie Brewer
17/37, 203 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Craig Williams
10 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Yusuf Terry
2 REC, 43 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darwin Barlow run for 5 yds to the TCU 35

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.43

Darwin Barlow run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 30

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, False Start (Austin Myers) to the TCU 25

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Max Duggan pass complete to Daimarqua Foster for 5 yds to the TCU 30

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 25

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Lovett, John rush for no gain to the BAYLOR25, PENALTY BAYLOR holding (Newman-Johnson, Xavier) 10 yards to the BAYLOR15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.20

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 11

2nd & 24Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.08

Charlie Brewer pass complete to John Lovett for 11 yds to the Bayl 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 48 yds , Derius Davis returns for no gain to the TCU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 15 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.32

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 17 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 1 yd to the Bayl 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.45

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 37 yds to the Bayl 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jared Atkinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 14

4th & 8Punt+67 yds

Issac Power punt for 53 yds , Derius Davis returns for 67 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Craig Williams run for 5 yds to the Bayl 40

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

TCU Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Terrell Cooper) to the TCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.90

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 49 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Bayl

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Trestan Ebner run for 3 yds to the TCU 46

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.25

Charlie Brewer pass intercepted La'Kendrick Van Zandt return for no gain to the TCU 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Duggan, Max pass incomplete to Foster, Daimarqua, PENALTY BAYLOR offside (Franklin, TJ) 5 yards to the BAYLOR45, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.31

Daimarqua Foster run for 10 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.86

Daimarqua Foster run for 8 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Targeting (Jalen Pitre) to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST down, Pitre disqualified

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 13 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 5 yds to the Bayl 31

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Craig Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh Fleeks

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Issac Power punt for 42 yds , Derius Davis returns for 3 yds to the TCU 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Darwin Barlow run for 1 yd to the TCU 32

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.88

Darwin Barlow run for 11 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Darwin Barlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 42

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Darwin Barlow, broken up by Dillon Doyle

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.69

Max Duggan sacked by Ryan Miller for a loss of 7 yards to the TCU 35

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Ben Sims

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Bayl 17

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.18

Charlie Brewer sacked by Kee'yon Stewart for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 8

4th & 18Punt0 yds

TEAM punt for 40 yds, downed at the Bayl 48

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Duggan, Max pass incomplete to Johnston, Quentin, PENALTY BAYLOR pass interference (Texada, Raleigh) 15 yards to the BAYLOR33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Taye Barber run for 3 yds to the Bayl 30

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.10

Zach Evans run for 30 yds for a TD (Griffin Kell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Craig Williams run for 7 yds to the Bayl 39

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Craig Williams run for 2 yds to the Bayl 41

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Yusuf Terry, broken up by Trevon Moehrig

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Max Duggan pass complete to Quentin Johnston for 12 yds to the Bayl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Max Duggan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 31

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Max Duggan run for 7 yds to the Bayl 24

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Darwin Barlow run for 7 yds to the Bayl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Darwin Barlow run for 1 yd to the Bayl 16

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Pro Wells

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Emari Demercado

4th & 9Field Goal Good+33 yds

Griffin Kell 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.65

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 14

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh Fleeks, broken up by Ar'Darius Washington

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 34 yds, downed at the Bayl 48

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Max Duggan sacked by TEAM for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 48

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 3 yds to the Bayl 49

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

TCU Penalty, False Start (Austin Myers) to the TCU 46

3rd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Max Duggan pass complete to Mikel Barkley for 6 yds to the Bayl 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Bayl 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.26

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 27 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 34

1st & 15Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.20

Charlie Brewer sacked by Terrell Cooper for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 26

2nd & 23Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.14

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 23

3rd & 26Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.09

Trestan Ebner run for 11 yds to the Bayl 34

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Derius Davis at the TCU 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Zach Evans run for 4 yds to the TCU 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Zach Evans run for 7 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -1.85

Max Duggan run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 35 Max Duggan fumbled, recovered by Bayl Brayden Utley

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.99

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 40 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Bayl

3rd & 15Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +4.71

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 39 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the TCU 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 1 yd for a TD (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.49

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 6

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.83

Charlie Brewer sacked by Dee Winters for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 43

2nd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Bayl 43

3rd & 19Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.38

Charlie Brewer sacked by Earl Barquet for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 35

4th & 27Punt+1 yds

Issac Power punt for 60 yds , Derius Davis returns for 1 yd to the TCU 36 TCU Penalty, Personal Foul (3 Yards) to the TCU 3

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Darwin Barlow run for 7 yds to the TCU 10

2nd & 3Rush+74 ydsPPA +4.08

Darwin Barlow run for 74 yds to the Bayl 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the Bayl 16

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Daimarqua Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 17

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Quentin Johnston

4th & 11Field Goal Good+34 yds

Griffin Kell 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh Fleeks

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Yusuf Terry

3rd & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.61

TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 29

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 44 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the TCU 29 TCU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the TCU 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Max Duggan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.18

Zach Evans run for 33 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Max Duggan pass complete to Zach Evans for 10 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Zach Evans run for 3 yds to the Bayl 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Max Duggan pass complete to Pro Wells for 4 yds to the Bayl 33

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Darwin Barlow run for 2 yds to the Bayl 31

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.89

Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the Bayl 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds to the Bayl 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 2 yds to the Bayl 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.09

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 10 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.17

Charlie Brewer sacked by Khari Coleman for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 43

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Yusuf Terry

3rd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.56

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 16 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Trestan Ebner run for 3 yds to the TCU 38

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 11 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.86

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 22 yds to the TCU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the TCU 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 3 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Max Duggan pass complete to Derius Davis for 4 yds to the TCU 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Derius Davis run for 5 yds to the TCU 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emari Demercado run for no gain to the TCU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 29

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

TCU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Trevon Moehrig) to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Brewer, Charlie pass incomplete to Sneed, R.J. (Stewart, Kee'yon), PENALTY TCU pass interference 15 yards to the TCU45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the TCU 45

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Craig Williams run for 2 yds to the TCU 43

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Trestan Ebner run for 5 yds to the TCU 38

4th & 3Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.72

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 30 yds to the TCU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh Fleeks

2nd & 8Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 10

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh Fleeks

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

John Mayers 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Pro Wells

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Max Duggan pass complete to Taye Barber for 1 yd to the TCU 32

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Blair Conwright

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Charlie Brewer run for 9 yds to the TCU 41

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.12

Craig Williams run for 9 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.48

Craig Williams run for 32 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Max Duggan run for 12 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Max Duggan sacked by Dillon Doyle for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 33

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Zach Evans

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Max Duggan pass incomplete to Blair Conwright

4th & 13Punt+58 yds

Jordy Sandy punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the BAYLOR 18 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (9 Yards) to the Bayl 9

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Craig Williams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 13

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.93

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 14 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.09

Craig Williams run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed, broken up by Ar'Darius Washington

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Jared Atkinson

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Craig Williams run for 8 yds to the TCU 42

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.71

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Ben Sims, broken up by Trevon Moehrig

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Darwin Barlow run for 9 yds to the Bayl 48

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Max Duggan run for 13 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Darwin Barlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 36

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Darwin Barlow run for 4 yds to the Bayl 32

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Max Duggan run for 10 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the Bayl 20

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Zach Evans run for 2 yds to the Bayl 18

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Emari Demercado run for 5 yds to the Bayl 13

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.01

Emari Demercado run for 7 yds to the Bayl 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 8

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.48

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 11

3rd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.12

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 15

Situational Analysis

TCU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
38%
29 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
29%
24 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
4th
33%
3 plays