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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2020Week 8
BaylorBaylor
16
-Final
27
TexasTexas
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas by 3

Home Win Probability

Texas 55%

Market (consensus)

Texas -11

Edge: Baylor +11 (8.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 24, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BaylorBaylor
3001316
TexasTexas
01314027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-33-36-313-320-327-927-16
TexasBaylor

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXBAYTEXPUNT630ydPUNT34ydDOWNS3-4ydPUNT622ydFG1267ydFG1152ydPUNT545ydFG975ydPUNT39ydTD780ydPUNT724ydEND10ydTD1275ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-1ydMISS946ydTD675ydTD975ydTO34ydTD525ydPUNT517ydDOWNS516ydEND617yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Baylor and Texas
StatisticBaylorTexas
Passing31-4415-23
Pass Yards252270
Rush Yards64159
Total Yards316429
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-148-16
Penalties4-265-50
Possession26:2332:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Baylor
passing
Charlie Brewer
30/43, 256 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
John Lovett
4 CAR, 21 YDS
receiving
R.J. Sneed
4 REC, 62 YDS
defense
Terrel Bernard
2 TFL, 1 PD
Texas
passing
Sam Ehlinger
15/23, 270 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Keaontay Ingram
16 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Tarik Black
1 REC, 72 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Charlie Brewer pass complete to John Lovett for 3 yds to the Bayl 17

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.87

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 17 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 2 yds to the Bayl 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 7 yds to the Bayl 44

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 43 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 13

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kelvontay Dixon for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 12

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 36

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.50

Trestan Ebner pass complete to Gavin Holmes for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 40

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

3rd & 14Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.58

Charlie Brewer sacked by Moro Ojomo for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 48

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 33 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 20

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 24

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.84

Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the Texas 34

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Texas 37

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the Texas 37

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 29

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.02

John Lovett run for 11 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 13 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

John Lovett run for 5 yds to the Texas 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 9 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 8 yds to the Texas 25

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 1 yd to the Texas 24

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Charlie Brewer run for 3 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.12

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 11 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton, broken up by Josh Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Texas 4

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Texas 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

John Mayers 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the Texas 26

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Keaontay Ingram run for 10 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the Texas 43

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.82

Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 48

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Bayl 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.99

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 12 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 4 yds to the Bayl 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Bayl 23

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 28

4th & 7Penalty+5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Bayl 23

4th & 2Field Goal Good+41 yds

Cameron Dicker 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 20 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Brewer, Charlie pass incomplete to Sneed, R.J., PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Green, Jalen) 15 yards to the TEXAS40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 12 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 29

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 30

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed, broken up by B.J. Foster

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 30 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.97

Sam Ehlinger sacked by William Bradley-King for a loss of 12 yards to the Texas 8

2nd & 22Pass Reception+72 ydsPPA +4.74

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Tarik Black for 72 yds to the Bayl 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Bayl 15

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Bayl 14

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Bayl 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 4 yds to the Bayl 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake Smith

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Cameron Dicker 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 5 yds to the Bayl 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

John Lovett run for 4 yds to the Bayl 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Charlie Brewer run for no gain to the Bayl 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 66 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Malcolm Epps, broken up by Mark Milton

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.60

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 10 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Sam Ehlinger run for 19 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.57

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 42 yds to the Bayl 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Sam Ehlinger run for 4 yds to the Bayl 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 3 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 12 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 4 yds to the Bayl 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.31

Charlie Brewer run for 8 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed, broken up by D'Shawn Jamison

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 41 yds, downed at the Texas 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Sam Ehlinger run for no gain to the Texas 10

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Bijan Robinson run for 8 yds to the Texas 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Bijan Robinson run for 12 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the Bayl 44

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Jake Smith

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.72

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 16 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua Moore, broken up by Kalon Barnes

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Bayl 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jake Smith for 14 yds to the Bayl 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

Ehlinger, Sam pass incomplete to Woodard, Al'Vonte, PENALTY BAYLOR pass interference 11 yards to the BAYLOR2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS.

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the Bayl 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the Bayl 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 6 yds to the Bayl 28

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin Holmes

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 36

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 31

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Roschon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Texas 32

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 7 yds to the Texas 39

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.72

Sam Ehlinger sacked by Terrel Bernard for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 35

4th & 11Punt+14 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 50 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 14 yds to the Bayl 29

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 7 yds to the Bayl 46

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Craig Williams run for 8 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Craig Williams run for 8 yds to the Texas 38

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.05

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 7 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Trestan Ebner run for 10 yds to the Texas 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Trestan Ebner run for 3 yds to the Texas 18

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.71

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 25

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+43 yds

John Mayers 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Keaontay Ingram run for 8 yds to the Texas 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Keaontay Ingram run for 6 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.31

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jared Wiley for 47 yds to the Bayl 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kelvontay Dixon for 4 yds to the Bayl 10

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Keaontay Ingram run for 1 yd to the Bayl 9

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Sam Ehlinger run for 9 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 13 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Craig Williams run for 1 yd to the Bayl 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.15

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 13 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 14 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Texas 39

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 11 yds to the Texas 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.51

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 21 yds to the Texas 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Charlie Brewer run for 4 yds to the Texas 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton, broken up by DeMarvion Overshown

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Charlie Brewer pass complete to John Lovett for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 29

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return+32 ydsPPA -0.16

Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted JT Woods return for 32 yds to the Texas 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 8 yds to the Texas 17

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.30

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 6 yds to the Texas 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Texas 5

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 7

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.84

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 7 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the Texas 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.69

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Jared Wiley for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Keaontay Ingram run for 8 yds to the Bayl 42

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the Bayl 42

3rd & 2Rush-16 ydsPPA -3.01

Joshua Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 43 TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Texas 42

4th & 18Punt-2 yds

Ryan Bujcevski punt for 47 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 13 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 5 yds to the Bayl 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Charlie Brewer pass complete to John Lovett for 3 yds to the Bayl 30

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan Thornton

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 25

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.24

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed, broken up by Chris Brown

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 26

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Bayl 20

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 17

4th & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 13 yds to the Bayl 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 6

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 8

Situational Analysis

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
62%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
20%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
0%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play