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← Back to GamesDec 12, 2020Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Miami by 4

Home Win Probability

Miami 55%

Market (consensus)

Miami -3

Edge: Miami -3 (1.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
211372162
MiamiMiami
378826

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256703-03-73-143-243-313-3410-4118-4118-4826-4826-62
MiamiNorth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCNCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCMIANCFG1050ydTD675ydPUNT31ydTD1171ydDOWNS740ydTD165ydPUNT45ydFG676ydPUNT3-10ydTD367ydPUNT58ydFG584ydTD1275ydEND16ydTD1375ydTD275ydMISS655ydTO29ydTD876ydTD668ydTD446ydPUNT30ydTD1075ydPUNT3-7ydEND45yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina and Miami
StatisticNorth CarolinaMiami
Passing15-2018-32
Pass Yards224239
Rush Yards55475
Total Yards778314
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-114-12
Penalties5-507-68
Possession40:1719:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina
passing
Sam Howell
14/19, 223 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Michael Carter
24 CAR, 308 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dyami Brown
4 REC, 167 YDS
defense
Miami
passing
D'Eriq King
18/30, 239 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
D'Eriq King
11 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Brevin Jordan
6 REC, 140 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mark Pope

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.77

D'Eriq King run for 15 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 17 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Cam'Ron Harris run for 6 yds to the NCaro 41

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

D'Eriq King pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

D'Eriq King run for 5 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

D'Eriq King run for 7 yds to the NCaro 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.72

D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for no gain to the NCaro 29

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Cam'Ron Harris run for no gain to the NCaro 29

4th & 3Field Goal Good+47 yds

Jose Borregales 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Michael Carter run for 12 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +2.52

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 51 yds to the MiaFl 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 15

2nd & 13Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 12 yds to the MiaFl 3

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.26

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 18

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mark Pope

3rd & 17Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.07

D'Eriq King run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 3 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.46

Javonte Williams run for 9 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.65

Javonte Williams run for 23 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.81

Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 40

3rd & 14Penalty+5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.83

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 14 yds to the MiaFl 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 13 yds to the MiaFl 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Sam Howell run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 3 yds to the MiaFl 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the MiaFl 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 19 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brevin Jordan run for no gain to the MiaFl 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.12

D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 12 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike Harley

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

D'Eriq King run for 7 yds to the NCaro 37

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCaro 35

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.53

Donald Chaney Jr. run for no gain to the NCaro 35

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

Michael Carter run for 65 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.26

Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MiaFl 16

1st & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 6 yds to the MiaFl 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

D'Eriq King pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

D'Eriq King run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 50 yds, downed at the NCaro 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Javonte Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 25

2nd & 5Rush+65 ydsPPA +3.79

Javonte Williams run for 65 yds to the MiaFl 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Michael Carter run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 7

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Grayson Atkins 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mark Pope

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 4 yds to the MiaFl 29

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 24

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.22

D'Eriq King sacked by Tomon Fox and Tyrone Hopper for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaFl 15

4th & 20Punt+8 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 50 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for 8 yds to the NCaro 23 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the NCaro 33

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 15 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Michael Carter run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Michael Carter run for 25 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cam'Ron Harris run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 30

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.23

D'Eriq King run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 38

2nd & 12Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.91

D'Eriq King sacked by Ja'Qurious Conley for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 33

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike Harley

4th & 17Punt-6 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 53 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+87 ydsPPA +4.96

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 87 yds to the MiaFl 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty+3 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (DJ Ivey) to the MiaFl 2

1st & 2Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.46

Sam Howell sacked by Quincy Roche and Jaelan Phillips for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 8

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the MiaFl 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Javonte Williams

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Grayson Atkins 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

D'Eriq King pass complete to Donald Chaney Jr. for 5 yds to the MiaFl 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Donald Chaney Jr. run for no gain to the MiaFl 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 14 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

D'Eriq King run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.70

D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 11 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCaro 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.60

D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 11 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

D'Eriq King run for 5 yds to the NCaro 9

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.01

D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 6 yds to the NCaro 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the NCaro 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 2 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Javonte Williams run for 6 yds to the NCaro 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Michael Carter run for 23 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Michael Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.31

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 12 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Sam Howell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 5 yds to the MiaFl 37

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 36

4th & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.13

Sam Howell run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Michael Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 32

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 37

2nd & 16Penalty-10 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MiaFl 47

2nd & 26Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.79

Javonte Williams run for 27 yds to the MiaFl 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MiaFl 30

1st & 20Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.54

Michael Carter run for 19 yds to the MiaFl 11

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Michael Carter run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Sam Howell run for 2 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.88

D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 76 yds for a TD Timeout NORTH CAROLINA, clock 06:49 (D'Eriq King pass to Dee Wiggins for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Javonte Williams run for 15 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +2.18

Javonte Williams run for 43 yds to the MiaFl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 14

2nd & 7Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.00

Michael Carter run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 20

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Grayson Atkins 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 9 yds to the MiaFl 29

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.73

D'Eriq King pass intercepted Tony Grimes return for no gain to the NCaro 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 27

2nd & 7Rush+58 ydsPPA +3.87

Michael Carter run for 58 yds to the MiaFl 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 14

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the MiaFl 14

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.94

Michael Carter run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the MiaFl 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Rontavius Groves pass complete to Sam Howell for 1 yd for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 2 yds to the MiaFl 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

D'Eriq King pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.64

D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 27 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Cam'Ron Harris run for 14 yds to the NCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.65

D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 19 yds to the NCaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Cam'Ron Harris run for 6 yds for a TD (D'Eriq King pass to Will Mallory for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.22

Michael Carter run for 38 yds to the MiaFl 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Rontavius Groves

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Sam Howell pass complete to Kamari Morales for 5 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

D'Eriq King pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

D'Eriq King pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Brevin Jordan

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 27

2nd & 8Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.84

Javonte Williams run for 25 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 10 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Michael Carter run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 31

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.01

Michael Carter run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Michael Carter run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 17

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Michael Carter run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 7

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.31

Javonte Williams run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Donald Chaney Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Will Mallory

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Van Dyke sacked by Clyde Pinder Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 12

4th & 17Punt+28 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 43 yds, downed at the MIAMI 45 MIAMI FL Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the MiaFl 40

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Josh Henderson run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 32

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

British Brooks run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 31

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.40

Elijah Green run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.50

Jacolby Criswell run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 35 Jacolby Criswell fumbled, recovered by NCaro

Situational Analysis

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
59%
34 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
43%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play