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← Back to GamesNov 27, 2020Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 4.8

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 40%

Market (consensus)

North Carolina +4.5

Edge: Notre Dame -4.5 (0.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 27, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
1437731
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
1430017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-714-1417-1417-1717-2417-31
North CarolinaNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDNCNDNCNDNCNDNCNDNCNDNCNDNCNDNCNDNCNDNCNDNCNDPUNT3-11ydTD750ydTD975ydTD775ydTD482ydPUNT412ydPUNT630ydPUNT36ydPUNT618ydFG1272ydEND761ydPUNT411ydTD1397ydPUNT35ydMISS557ydPUNT422ydPUNT34ydPUNT37ydPUNT519ydPUNT79ydTD889ydDOWNS44ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and North Carolina
StatisticNotre DameNorth Carolina
Passing23-3317-27
Pass Yards279211
Rush Yards19987
Total Yards478298
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-112-12
Penalties4-249-90
Possession35:0424:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
23/33, 279 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kyren Williams
23 CAR, 124 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Javon McKinley
6 REC, 135 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Sam Howell
17/27, 211 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Michael Carter
8 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Dyami Brown
4 REC, 84 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ian Book run for no gain to the NDame 27

3rd & 8Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.38

Ian Book sacked by Chazz Surratt for a loss of 13 yards to the NDame 14

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 36 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Sam Howell run for 4 yds to the NDame 46

2nd & 6Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.37

Michael Carter run for 26 yds to the NDame 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Javonte Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 17

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.05

Sam Howell run for 13 yds to the NDame 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.49

Javonte Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 6 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 8 yds to the NDame 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kyren Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kyren Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.78

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 16 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Kyren Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 41

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Chris Tyree run for 16 yds to the NCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.50

Ian Book run for 18 yds to the NCaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 14 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 14 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NDame 44

2nd & 7Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.63

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 42 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NCaro 48

2nd & 15Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +4.84

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 51 yds to the NDame 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Sam Howell run for 1 yd for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 43 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.09

Ian Book run for 33 yds to the NCaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NCaro 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Javonte Williams run for 10 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Sam Howell sacked by Adetokunbo Ogundeji for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 34

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Javonte Williams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the NDame 21

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NDame 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Ian Book pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 9 yds to the NDame 35

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kyren Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 44

2nd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.62

Ian Book sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 4 yds to the NDame 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 51 yds, downed at the NCaro 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd to the NCaro 4

2nd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.18

Sam Howell sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 1

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.06

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 8 yds to the NCaro 9

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Ian Book pass incomplete to Tommy Tremble

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ian Book run for 5 yds to the NDame 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.46

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 12 yds to the NCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NCaro 42

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Chris Tyree run for no gain to the NCaro 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ian Book pass incomplete to Michael Mayer

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 39 yds, downed at the NCaro 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.42

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 14 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Sam Howell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.35

Sam Howell sacked by Marist Liufau for a loss of 8 yards to the NCaro 9

3rd & 18Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.60

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 20 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Michael Carter run for no gain to the NCaro 29

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marcus McKethan) to the NCaro 19

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

3rd & 20Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.73

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 10 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Hamilton) to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.47

Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 23 yds to the NDame 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 5 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Javonte Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 25

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the NDame 25

4th & 2Field Goal Good+42 yds

Grayson Atkins 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NDame 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 6 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 11 yds to the NCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 10 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.79

Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the NCaro 29

3rd & 1Penalty+15 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Don Chapman) to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ian Book pass incomplete to Ben Skowronek

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+32 yds

Jonathan Doerer 32 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 10 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Michael Carter run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 32

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Michael Carter run for 9 yds to the NCaro 41

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 36

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 62 yds, downed at the NDame 2

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kyren Williams run for no gain to the NDame 3

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.60

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 12 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 1 yd to the NDame 16

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 5 yds to the NDame 24

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Ian Book pass incomplete to Ben Skowronek

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.76

Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Ian Book pass incomplete to Tommy Tremble

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Ian Book pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.01

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 15 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Ian Book pass incomplete to Kyren Williams

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Tony Grimes) to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Ian Book pass complete to Joe Wilkins Jr. for 7 yds to the NCaro 13

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.30

Ben Skowronek run for 13 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Sam Howell sacked by Justin Ademilola for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 23

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Javonte Williams run for 7 yds to the NCaro 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Javonte Williams

4th & 5Punt+8 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 49 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 8 yds to the NDame 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.18

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 53 yds to the NCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 1 yd to the NCaro 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Ian Book pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins Jr.

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ian Book run for 3 yds to the NCaro 14

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Jonathan Doerer 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Michael Carter run for 16 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Carter run for 5 yds to the NCaro 41

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Sam Howell pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd to the NCaro 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 11

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 6

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 8

2nd & 13Penalty-4 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the NDame 4

2nd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 7 yds to the NDame 11

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ian Book run for 4 yds to the NDame 15

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 57 yds, downed at the NCaro 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Michael Carter run for 1 yd to the NCaro 29

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 1 yd to the NCaro 30

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sam Howell run for 5 yds to the NCaro 35

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 1 yd to the NDame 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.47

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 11 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kyren Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 35

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Illegal Touching ( Yards) to the NDame 35 for a 1ST down

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ian Book pass incomplete to Avery Davis

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 2 yds to the NCaro 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.84

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 11 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 5 yds to the NDame 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 8 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Sam Howell run for no gain to the NDame 41

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Sam Howell sacked by Myron Tagovailoa-Amosa for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 43

4th & 12Penalty-15 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dyami Brown) to the NCaro 42

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 10

1st & 10Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.47

Kyren Williams run for 47 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 9 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Kyren Williams run for 11 yds to the NCaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 14

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Kyren Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 14

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Howell sacked by Adetokunbo Ogundeji for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.14

Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 9 yds to the NCaro 29

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.16

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 30

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 31

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
47%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
4th

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
39%
23 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play