Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 17, 2020Week 7
LibertyLiberty
38
-Final
21
SyracuseSyracuse

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Syracuse 38%

Market (consensus)

Syracuse +3

Edge: Liberty -3 (2.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 17, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LibertyLiberty
14714338
SyracuseSyracuse
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-1414-2114-2814-3521-38
SyracuseLiberty

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SYRLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRSYRLIBLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBSYRLIBPUNT39ydPUNT37ydTD961ydTD275ydPUNT833ydTD1188ydPUNT513ydDOWNS49ydPUNT3-2ydTD336ydTD378ydPUNT3-5ydEND223ydEND130ydTD478ydPUNT1027ydPUNT36ydTO30ydTD759ydPUNT612ydPUNT617ydTD765ydFG744ydDOWNS415ydEND79yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Liberty and Syracuse
StatisticLibertySyracuse
Passing16-2019-40
Pass Yards182211
Rush Yards33897
Total Yards520308
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-123-14
Penalties4-5010-80
Possession30:2929:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Liberty
passing
Malik Willis
16/20, 182 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Shedro Louis
10 CAR, 170 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
DJ Stubbs
4 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Syracuse
passing
Rex Culpepper
19/40, 211 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Sean Tucker
21 CAR, 111 YDS
receiving
Taj Harris
9 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 37

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 40

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus Haskins

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nolan Cooney punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 7 yds to the Liber 15

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.52

Peytton Pickett run for no gain to the Liber 15

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Malik Willis pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.39

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 13 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 48

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 47

1st & 20Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.26

Sean Tucker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 44

2nd & 23Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.37

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 13 yds to the Liber 43

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 8 yds to the Liber 35

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.84

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 7 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Sean Tucker run for 11 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 17 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Willis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.78

Shedro Louis run for 75 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Syrac 26

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj Harris

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.39

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 8 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.08

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 32 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley, broken up by Emanuel Dabney

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-16 ydsPPA -2.90

Rex Culpepper sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 16 yards to the Liber 48

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Nolan Cooney punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Liber 15

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the Liber 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 4 yds to the Liber 32

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.08

Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 15 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.02

Peytton Pickett run for 22 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Malik Willis pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 10 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 9 yds to the Syrac 8

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Syrac 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Malik Willis run for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the Syrac 25

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.19

Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj Harris, broken up by Emanuel Dabney

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Aaron Hackett, broken up by Anthony Butler

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nolan Cooney punt for 52 yds , Demario Douglas returns for no gain to the Liber 14 Demario Douglas fumbled, recovered by Syrac Isaiah Jones

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Liber 13

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 23

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley

3rd & 19Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 18 yds to the Liber 5

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.15

Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Liber 5

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Liber 6

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the Liber 10

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.21

Malik Willis sacked by Marlowe Wax for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 3

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 36

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Sean Tucker run for 20 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Liber 12

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.59

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 12 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Malik Willis run for 17 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the Liber 48

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +3.50

Shedro Louis run for 52 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.19

Sean Tucker run for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 45

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 6 yds to the Liber 49

3rd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.30

Rex Culpepper sacked by Tre'Shaun Clark for a loss of 6 yards to the SYRACUSE 45 SYRACUSE Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the Syrac 45

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.30

Sean Tucker run for 11 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 12 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 7 yds to the Liber 13

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.37

Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 18

3rd & 13Penalty+5 yds

SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Liber 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 7 yds to the Liber 30

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.59

Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Peytton Pickett run for 14 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Peytton Pickett run for 11 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Syrac 40

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 18

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 15

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -4.27

Malik Willis run for 12 yds to the Syrac 3 Malik Willis fumbled, forced by Mikel Jones, recovered by Syrac Mikel Jones

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.09

Shedro Louis run for 24 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 49

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.24

Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 36

1st & 15Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.47

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 36 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.60

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 17 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Cooper Lutz run for 8 yds to the Liber 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for no gain to the Liber 44

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.29

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 4 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 45

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Rex Culpepper run for 1 yd to the Liber 44

2nd & 14Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.64

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Cooper Lutz for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 48

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Justin Barron, broken up by Marcus Haskins

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Nolan Cooney punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 9

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 4 yds to the Liber 13

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ Daniels

4th & 4Punt+32 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the SYRACUSE 40 LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Liber 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Nykeim Johnson, broken up by Anthony Butler

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.46

Rex Culpepper pass intercepted Chris Megginson return for no gain to the Liber 41

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Shedro Louis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 39

2nd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 8 yds Demario Douglas fumbled, recovered by Liber

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.21

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 11 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Syrac 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.29

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 16 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 9 yds to the Syrac 16

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.05

Peytton Pickett run for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 35

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.22

Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj Harris

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Cooper Lutz run for 1 yd to the Syrac 45

3rd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Rex Culpepper sacked by Aaron Pierre and Mason Wolk for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 43

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nolan Cooney punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 8

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Shedro Louis run for 8 yds to the Liber 16

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Liber 17

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.39

Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 1 yd to the Liber 20

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.43

Malik Willis sacked by Lee Kpogba for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 15

3rd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 10 yds to the Liber 25

4th & 4Punt+7 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 47 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 7 yds to the Syrac 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 9 yds to the Syrac 44

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 9 yds to the Liber 41

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.30

Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 9 yds to the Liber 28

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.36

Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 21 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 48

2nd & 12Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.41

Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 28 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Malik Willis run for 10 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Syrac 8

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the Syrac 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Syrac 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Alex Barbir 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj Harris

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Sean Tucker

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj Harris

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the Syrac 44

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Syrac 43

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Syrac 40

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.98

Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 37

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 39

3rd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 40

Situational Analysis

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
60%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Syracuse

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
25 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play