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← Back to GamesOct 10, 2020Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 9.1

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 74%

Market (consensus)

North Carolina -3.5

Edge: North Carolina -3.5 (5.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 10, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
01423845
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
211471456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-721-1428-1435-1742-1742-3149-3756-45
North CarolinaVirginia Tech

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCVTNCVTNCVTNCVTNCVTNCVTNCVTVTNCVTVTNCVTNCVTNCVTNCVTTD1175ydPUNT37ydTD583ydPUNT36ydTD766ydTD1175ydPUNT38ydPUNT34ydPUNT32ydTD970ydTD575ydDOWNS721ydTD458ydEND312ydFG1137ydTD675ydTD475ydTD354ydPUNT36ydTD877ydTD675ydPUNT44ydTD478ydTD877ydDOWNS935ydEND1-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Virginia Tech and North Carolina
StatisticVirginia TechNorth Carolina
Passing15-2918-23
Pass Yards235257
Rush Yards261399
Total Yards496656
Turnovers00
3rd Down6-146-10
Penalties3-239-86
Possession32:0627:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Virginia Tech
passing
Hendon Hooker
7/13, 136 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Khalil Herbert
18 CAR, 138 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
James Mitchell
4 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD
defense
North Carolina
passing
Sam Howell
18/23, 257 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Michael Carter
17 CAR, 214 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Dyami Brown
3 REC, 86 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Carter run for 5 yds to the NCaro 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 3 yds to the NCaro 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.54

Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 7 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Howell, Sam pass incomplete to Brown, Dyami, PENALTY UNC holding (Richards, Asim) 10 yards to the UNC30, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 34

2nd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.19

Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 12 yds to the NCaro 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.98

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 7 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.74

Javonte Williams run for 15 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 12 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.93

Michael Carter run for 16 yds to the VTech 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the VTech 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the VTech 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 2 yds to the VTech 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tre Turner

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Braxton Burmeister punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 17

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Joshua Ezeudu) to the NCaro 12

1st & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.12

Michael Carter run for 15 yds to the NCaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.22

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 28 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 8 yds to the VTech 37

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +2.75

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 37 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Braxton Burmeister run for 3 yds to the VTech 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to James Mitchell

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Braxton Burmeister run for 3 yds to the VTech 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Oscar Bradburn punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 34

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Javonte Williams run for 9 yds to the NCaro 43

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Beau Corrales

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Javonte Williams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 11 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 45

2nd & 12Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.48

Sam Howell run for 11 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Targeting (Chamarri Conner) to the VTech 19 for a 1ST down. Conner ejected for targeting.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Javonte Williams run for 19 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd to the VTech 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 1 yd to the VTech 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.45

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Nick Gallo for 15 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the VTech 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.87

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 36 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the NCaro 15

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Braxton Burmeister run for 7 yds to the NCaro 8

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.48

Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the NCaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the NCaro 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

James Mitchell run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Joshua Ezeudu) to the NCaro 20

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Sam Howell pass complete to Khafre Brown for 10 yds to the NCaro 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the VTech 47

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.41

Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 46

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to James Mitchell

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Oscar Bradburn punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Michael Carter run for 6 yds to the NCaro 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami Brown

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.47

Sam Howell sacked by Amare Barno for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 22

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Braxton Burmeister run for 5 yds to the VTech 35

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the VTech 39

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.32

Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Khalil Herbert run for 11 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the NCaro 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.26

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 15 yds to the NCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Braxton Burmeister run for 14 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Khalil Herbert run for 8 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Javonte Williams run for 29 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the VTech 44

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Michael Carter run for 11 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.85

Michael Carter run for 27 yds to the VTech 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Dazz Newsome run for 6 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Nick Gallo

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Braxton Burmeister run for no gain to the VTech 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 9 yds to the VTech 46

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jeremiah Gemmel) to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the NCaro 47

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds to the NCaro 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 1 yd to the NCaro 42

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.58

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tre Turner

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 4 yds to the NCaro 46

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Carter run for 5 yds to the VTech 49

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.27

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 6 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 43 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Nick Gallo

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Jalen Holston run for 12 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the VTech 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the VTech 30

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Turner, Tre, PENALTY UNC pass interference (McMichael, Kyler) 15 yards to the VATECH45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the VTech 45

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Herbert, Khalil rush for 8 yards to the UNC47, PENALTY UNC substitution infraction 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the NCaro 46

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.14

Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 8 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the NCaro 29

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 34

2nd & 15Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 38

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete

4th & 19Field Goal Good+55 yds

Brian Johnson 55 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 32

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.81

Javonte Williams run for 9 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Javonte Williams run for 14 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.91

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 29 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Michael Carter run for 16 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.49

Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 57 yds to the NCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Khalil Herbert run for 8 yds to the NCaro 10

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.25

Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the NCaro 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the VTech 48

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.93

Khalil Herbert run for 52 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Javonte Williams run for 1 yd to the NCaro 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Javonte Williams run for 5 yds to the NCaro 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Michael Carter

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 50 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 4 yds to the VTech 23

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the VTech 26

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Hendon Hooker run for 12 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the VTech 45

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the NCaro 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 12 yds to the NCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.54

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 33 yds for a TD Timeout NORTH CAROLINA, clock 00:15 (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Javonte Williams run for no gain to the NCaro 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Javonte Williams run for 7 yds to the NCaro 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.37

Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 15 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.12

Michael Carter run for 18 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.44

Javonte Williams run for 23 yds to the VTech 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 12 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Khalil Herbert run for 11 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tre Turner

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.51

Hendon Hooker sacked by Tomari Fox for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 29

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Oscar Bradburn punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.22

Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 15 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 40

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Michael Carter run for 13 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Dyami Brown) to the NCaro 38

1st & 25Rushing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +6.61

Michael Carter run for 62 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 4 yds to the VTech 27

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.98

Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Tayvion Robinson pass complete to Hendon Hooker for 20 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the NCaro 43

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.87

Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the NCaro 33

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 26 yds for a TD NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the NCaro 1 (H. Hooker Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Sam Howell run for 12 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Javonte Williams run for 5 yds to the VTech 33

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Javonte Williams run for 6 yds to the VTech 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Javonte Williams run for 4 yds to the VTech 23

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Javonte Williams run for 10 yds to the VTech 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Javonte Williams run for 8 yds to the VTech 5

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Javonte Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 6

3rd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 10

4th & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -3.67

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 15

1st & 10Penalty-3 yds

VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-3 Yards) to the VTech 12

1st & 13Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.34

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 9

Situational Analysis

Virginia Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
44%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
47%
15 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
71%
31 plays
75%
4 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
83%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play