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← Back to GamesOct 10, 2020Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 25

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 92%

Market (consensus)

Notre Dame -20.5

Edge: Notre Dame -20.5 (4.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 10, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida StateFlorida State
1736026
Notre DameNotre Dame
14217042

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-314-314-1021-1728-2035-2042-26
Notre DameFlorida State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDFSNDFSNDFSFSNDFSNDFSNDFSNDFSNDFSFSNDFSNDFSNDFSNDFSTO24ydFG48ydTD375ydPUNT534ydTD576ydTO35ydTD319ydPUNT38ydTD471ydTD875ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydPUNT32ydTD481ydFG1367ydTD857ydEND1-3ydTD775ydTD873ydPUNT33ydMISS930ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT32ydTO1273ydDOWNS1275ydUncategorized845yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida State and Notre Dame
StatisticFlorida StateNotre Dame
Passing17-3116-25
Pass Yards251201
Rush Yards160353
Total Yards411554
Turnovers12
3rd Down2-142-8
Penalties7-594-28
Possession32:0627:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida State
passing
Jordan Travis
13/24, 204 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jordan Travis
19 CAR, 96 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tamorrion Terry
9 REC, 146 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
16/25, 201 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kyren Williams
19 CAR, 185 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Javon McKinley
5 REC, 107 YDS
defense
TaRiq Bracy
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Ian Book pass complete to Brock Wright for 3 yds to the NDame 31

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 32 Kyren Williams fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Asante Samuel Jr.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 33

2nd & 11Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.73

Jordan Travis run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 37

3rd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.68

Jordan Travis run for 13 yds to the NDame 24

4th & 2Field Goal Good+42 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+65 ydsPPA +3.56

Kyren Williams run for 65 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 8 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.01

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 31 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan Travis pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 5 yds to the NDame 39

2nd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.34

Jordan Travis sacked by Adetokunbo Ogundeji for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 45

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonald

4th & 11Punt+21 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Lawrence Keys III at the NDame 9 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Kevon Glenn) to the NDame 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 9 yds to the NDame 33

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 4 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 14 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.54

Kyren Williams run for 46 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 28

2nd & 4Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.21

Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 22

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jordan Travis run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 27

4th & 5Punt-6 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 48 yds , Lawrence Keys III returns for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 19 Lawrence Keys III fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Deonte Sheffield

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the NDame 17

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jordan Travis run for 13 yds to the NDame 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ian Book pass incomplete to Kevin Austin Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Ian Book run for 8 yds to the NDame 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Ian Book pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlaSt 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 17 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jordan Travis pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 6 yds to the NDame 48

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +5.03

Jordan Travis pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 48 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.36

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 36 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 5 yds to the FlaSt 31

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 28

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.51

Kyren Williams run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.76

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 17 yds to the FlaSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ian Book run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.96

La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaSt 16

2nd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Jordan Travis run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Lawrance Toafili

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Lawrence Keys III at the NDame 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Braden Lenzy run for 2 yds to the NDame 33

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the NDame 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ian Book pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Keyshawn Helton at the FlaSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan Travis pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 3 yds to the FlaSt 31

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Travis, Jordan pass complete to Wilson, Ontaria for 5 yards to the FLORIDAST36, PENALTY FLORIDAST ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the FLORIDAST26, NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 21

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan Travis pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.12

Jordan Travis run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 30

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 51 yds, downed at the NDame 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the NDame 25

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 17 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Chris Tyree run for 13 yds to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +3.48

Chris Tyree run for 45 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Keyshawn Helton

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.50

La'Damian Webb run for 16 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

La'Damian Webb run for 8 yds to the NDame 38

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.14

La'Damian Webb run for 16 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the NDame 20

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jordan Travis run for 3 yds to the NDame 17

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NDame 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonald

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordan Travis pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 4 yds to the NDame 8

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ian Book pass incomplete to Tommy Tremble

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.08

Ian Book run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Ian Book run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 45 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Ian Book run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Ian Book run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 12

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 6 yds to the FlaSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ian Book pass incomplete to Michael Mayer

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Jordan Travis pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 30 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the NDame 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 9 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 13 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Jordan Travis run for 9 yds to the NDame 12

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.19

Jordan Travis run for 5 yds to the NDame 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

La'Damian Webb run for 7 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Penalty-13 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (-13 Yards) to the NDame 14

1st & 23Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

Kyren Williams run for no gain to the NDame 14

2nd & 23Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 11 yds to the NDame 25

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the NDame 32

4th & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.02

Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.35

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 38 yds to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kyren Williams run for no gain to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 13 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+9 yds

Book, Ian pass incomplete to McKinley, Javon, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference 9 yards to the FLORIDAST3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Ian Book run for 3 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Lawrance Toafili

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jashaun Corbin run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 16

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan Travis run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 19

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 14

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ian Book pass incomplete to Kyren Williams

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Ian Book pass complete to Brock Wright for 7 yds to the FlaSt 39

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ian Book run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Ian Book pass incomplete to Tommy Tremble

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Ian Book pass incomplete to Kyren Williams

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Jonathan Doerer 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.12

La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 23

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 26

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Travis run for no gain to the FlaSt 26

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 42 yds, downed at the NDame 32

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Chris Tyree run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 31

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinley

3rd & 11Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 26

3rd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.12

Ian Book run for 8 yds to the NDame 34

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Keyshawn Helton at the FlaSt 22

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.80

Jordan Travis run for 33 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Lawrance Toafili run for 1 yd to the NDame 44

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jordan Travis run for no gain to the NDame 44

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the NDame 44

4th & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +3.27

Jordan Travis pass complete to Warren Thompson for 9 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Webb, La'Damian rush for 4 yards to the NOTREDAME31, PENALTY NOTREDAME 12 men on the field 5 yards to the NOTREDAME30, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonald

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the NDame 26

3rd & 1Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.22

Jordan Travis sacked by Bo Bauer for a loss of 7 yards to the NDame 33

4th & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.86

Jordan Travis pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 25 yds to the NDame 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jordan Travis pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 4 yds to the NDame 4

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Travis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 5

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA -4.24

Jordan Travis pass intercepted Shaun Crawford return for 23 yds to the NDame 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kyren Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 29

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.65

Kyren Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Kyren Williams run for 13 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 7 yds to the FlaSt 45

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Chris Tyree run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Chris Tyree run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 26

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.17

Chris Tyree run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Tyree run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Braden Lenzy run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chris Tyree run for no gain to the FlaSt 2

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -4.15

Chris Tyree run for no gain to the FlaSt 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

James Blackman pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

James Blackman pass complete to Camren McDonald for 4 yds to the FlaSt 6

3rd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.14

James Blackman sacked by Adetokunbo Ogundeji for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 4

4th & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.86

James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 14 yds to the FlaSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 11 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.51

James Blackman pass complete to Jordan Young for 18 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

TEAM pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
38%
29 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
60%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
67%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
78%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play