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← Back to GamesSep 8, 2020Week 1
BYUBYU
55
-Final
3
NavyNavy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 12.6

Home Win Probability

Navy 77%

Market (consensus)

Navy +1

Edge: Navy +1 (13.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 8, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BYUBYU
141717755
NavyNavy
00303

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-140-210-240-380-453-483-55
NavyBYU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVBYUNAVBYUNAVBYUNAVBYUNAVBYUNAVBYUNAVBYUNAVBYUNAVBYUNAVBYUNAVBYUNAVBYUNAVPUNT33ydTD774ydPUNT30ydTD352ydPUNT617ydTO10ydPUNT3-9ydTD889ydDOWNS523ydFG1143ydPUNT3-9ydTD1056ydEND11ydTD483ydDOWNS852ydTD480ydPUNT3-12ydFG733ydFG644ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-13ydTD643ydTO313ydDOWNS929ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing BYU and Navy
StatisticBYUNavy
Passing16-224-8
Pass Yards27930
Rush Yards301119
Total Yards580149
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-112-12
Penalties1-56-54
Possession37:2022:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

BYU
passing
Zach Wilson
13/18, 232 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Allgeier
14 CAR, 132 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Gunner Romney
4 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Navy
passing
Dalen Morris
2/4, 16 YDS
rushing
Myles Fells
3 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Mark Walker
2 REC, 20 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Navy 22

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Navy 25

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Dalen Morris run for 3 yds to the Navy 28

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 46 yds, downed at the BYU 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner Romney

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Lopini Katoa run for 8 yds to the BYU 34

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Dax Milne run for 3 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner Romney

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the BYU 42

3rd & 5Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.57

Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the NAVY 49 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Tyler Allgeier 34 Yd Run (Jake Oldroyd Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dalen Morris run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Myles Fells

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.21

Dalen Morris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 11 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Lopini Katoa 39 Yd Run (Jake Oldroyd Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chance Warren run for 5 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Navy 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (Jamale Carothers) to the Navy 33

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 36

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Dalen Morris run for 4 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 42

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the BYU 26

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -0.99

Zach Wilson pass intercepted Evan Fochtman return for 9 yds to the BYU 33

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-15 ydsPPA -3.49

Chance Warren sacked by Isaiah Kaufusi for a loss of 15 yards to the BYU 48 Chance Warren fumbled, forced by Isaiah Kaufusi, recovered by Navy Sean Rattay , return for 0 yards

2nd & 25Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Dalen Morris pass complete to Myles Fells for 6 yds to the BYU 42

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Dalen Morris pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the BYU 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the BYU 16

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 17 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the BYU 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BYU 47

3rd & 2Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.51

Tyler Allgeier run for 29 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the Navy 15

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.04

Lopini Katoa 15 Yd pass from Zach Wilson (Jake Oldroyd Kick)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Myles Fells run for 14 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 40

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.04

Dalen Morris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 38

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.76

Dalen Morris pass complete to Mark Walker for 10 yds to the Navy 48

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Dalen Morris run for no gain to the Navy 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zach Wilson pass complete to Masen Wake for 5 yds to the Navy 43

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Neil Pau'u run for 3 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Lopini Katoa run for 9 yds to the Navy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 5 yds to the Navy 16

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Dax Milne run for 9 yds to the Navy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the Navy 4

2nd & 4Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.74

Neil Pau'u run for a loss of 6 yards to the Navy 10

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 5 yds to the Navy 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Jake Oldroyd 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Dalen Morris sacked by Bracken El-Bakri for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 22

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 25

3rd & 10Penalty-12 yds

Morris, Dalen pass complete to Warren, Chance for 12 yards to the NAVY37, PENALTY NAVY personal foul (Fratianne, Luca) 12 yards to the NAVY13, NO PLAY.

3rd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 16

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the BYU 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Zach Wilson run for 4 yds to the BYU 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.06

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 7 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, False Start (Isaac Rex) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.02

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 14 yds to the Navy 36

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner Romney

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the Navy 36

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.66

Zach Wilson run for 3 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 13 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner Romney

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.05

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 19 yds to the Navy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Lopini Katoa 1 Yd Run (Jake Oldroyd Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the BYU 22

2nd & 5Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.98

Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 33 yds to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Chris Jackson run for no gain to the Navy 45

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.47

Gunner Romney 45 Yd pass from Zach Wilson (Jake Oldroyd Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Jamale Carothers run for 6 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the Navy 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.89

Perry Olsen run for 31 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Perry Olsen run for 2 yds to the BYU 26

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Justin Smith run for no gain to the BYU 26

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Perry Olsen run for 4 yds to the BYU 22

4th & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -3.24

Mark Walker run for 2 yds to the BYU 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the BYU 25

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.54

Dax Milne run for 15 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.18

Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 43 yds to the Navy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Tyler Allgeier 17 Yd Run (Jake Oldroyd Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Perry Olsen pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Perry Olsen run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.28

Perry Olsen sacked by Isaiah Kaufusi for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 25

4th & 10Penalty-12 yds

NAVY Penalty, Personal Foul (Myles Fells) to the Navy 13

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Baylor Romney pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 12 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Lopini Katoa run for 8 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA -0.09

Baylor Romney pass complete to Chris Jackson for 13 yds to the Navy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.77

Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 22

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Baylor Romney pass incomplete to Tyler Allgeier

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the Navy 17

4th & 10Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jake Oldroyd 34 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Perry Olsen pass complete to Mark Walker for 10 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.37

Myles Fells run for 33 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Perry Olsen pass incomplete to Mark Walker

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.46

Perry Olsen run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 35

3rd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Perry Olsen pass complete to Devon High for 4 yds to the BYU 31

4th & 9Field Goal Good+48 yds

Bijan Nichols 48 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jackson McChesney run for 7 yds to the BYU 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jackson McChesney run for no gain to the BYU 32

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jackson McChesney run for 1 yd to the BYU 33

4th & 2Punt+12 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 56 yds , Mark Walker returns for 12 yds to the Navy 23

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.97

Perry Olsen sacked by Seleti Fevaleaki for a loss of 5 yards to the Navy 18

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Myles Fells run for 8 yds to the Navy 26

3rd & 7Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.40

Perry Olsen sacked by George Udo for a loss of 11 yards to the Navy 15

4th & 18Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 10

4th & 23Punt-2 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 31 yds , Dax Milne returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Talmage Gunther run for 4 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Baylor Romney run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 41

3rd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.30

Baylor Romney pass complete to Keanu Hill for 22 yds to the Navy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jackson McChesney run for 7 yds to the Navy 12

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jackson McChesney run for 3 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Jackson McChesney 9 Yd Run (Jake Oldroyd Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Nelson Smith run for 7 yds to the Navy 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Perry Olsen run for 6 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -2.05

Perry Olsen run for 1 yd to the Navy 39 Perry Olsen fumbled, forced by Drew Jensen, recovered by BYU Morgan Pyper

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Jackson McChesney run for 1 yd to the Navy 38

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Jackson McChesney run for 15 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jackson McChesney run for 6 yds to the Navy 17

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Terence Fall run for 2 yds to the Navy 15

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.21

Chase Wester run for 4 yds to the Navy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jackson McChesney run for 8 yds to the Navy 3

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jackson McChesney run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 4

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 7

4th & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -3.84

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 10

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 9

Situational Analysis

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
63%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
100%
6 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
57%
7 plays
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play