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← Back to GamesSep 12, 2020Week 2
DukeDuke
13
-Final
27
Notre DameNotre Dame
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 24

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 92%

Market (consensus)

Notre Dame -21.5

Edge: Notre Dame -21.5 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
DukeDuke
337013
Notre DameNotre Dame
01071027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-610-617-624-1327-13
Notre DameDuke

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDUKNDDOWNS745ydPUNT3-1ydFG1079ydPUNT31ydPUNT68ydPUNT30ydPUNT39ydTD1296ydPUNT33ydPUNT419ydFG1180ydTO275ydPUNT421ydEND954ydPUNT414ydTO317ydTD759ydPUNT420ydPUNT36ydTD639ydTD1583ydPUNT3-8ydFG640ydTO935ydUncategorized411yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Duke and Notre Dame
StatisticDukeNotre Dame
Passing20-3719-31
Pass Yards259263
Rush Yards75178
Total Yards334441
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-157-16
Penalties4-314-39
Possession25:5733:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Duke
passing
Chase Brice
20/37, 259 YDS
rushing
Deon Jackson
15 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Eli Pancol
3 REC, 78 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
19/31, 263 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kyren Williams
19 CAR, 112 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kyren Williams
2 REC, 93 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.63

Chase Brice pass complete to Noah Gray for 22 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 41

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.76

Deon Jackson run for 12 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Eli Pancol

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the NDame 42

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the NDame 39

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jake Marwede

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 40

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.04

Ian Book sacked by Rocky Shelton II and Ben Frye for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 38

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ian Book pass incomplete to Kyren Williams

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 52 yds, downed at the Duke 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Deon Jackson run for 11 yds to the Duke 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 11 yds to the Duke 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 5 yds to the Duke 37

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Mataeo Durant run for no gain to the Duke 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +4.07

Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Pancol for 55 yds to the NDame 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Deon Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 12

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the NDame 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Chase Brice pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Charlie Ham 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 40

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kyren Williams run for 4 yds to the NDame 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Ian Book pass incomplete to Kyren Williams

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDame 39

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 45 yds , Josh Blackwell returns for no gain to the Duke 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Duke 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.02

Chase Brice pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 10 yds to the Duke 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.78

Chase Brice run for 3 yds to the Duke 31 DUKE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Duke 21

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Chase Brice run for 3 yds to the Duke 24

4th & 14Punt+3 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 60 yds , Lawrence Keys III returns for 3 yds to the NDame 19

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Chris Tyree run for no gain to the NDame 19

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.41

Ian Book sacked by Rocky Shelton II for a loss of 10 yards to the NDame 9

3rd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.05

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 10 yds to the NDame 19

4th & 10Punt+8 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 53 yds , Josh Blackwell returns for 8 yds to the Duke 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Chase Brice pass complete to Noah Gray for 1 yd to the Duke 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jake Bobo

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 8 yds to the Duke 45

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 51 yds, downed at the NDame 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 6

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 9

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 10 yds to the NDame 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 21

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Ian Book pass incomplete

4th & 8Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.05

Jay Bramblett run for 14 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 17 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +0.53

Kyren Williams run for 11 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST down DUKE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Duke 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Kyren Williams run for no gain to the Duke 22

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 20 yds to the Duke 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty+1 yds

DUKE Penalty, Defensive Offside (1 Yards) to the Duke 1

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Damond Philyaw-Johnson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jake Marwede

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 13 yds to the NDame 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kyren Williams run for 4 yds to the Duke 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for no gain to the Duke 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Josh Blackwell at the Duke 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 10

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 8 yds to the Duke 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 12 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Deon Jackson run for 11 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.72

Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 25 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Pancol for 16 yds to the NDame 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Damond Philyaw-Johnson

2nd & 10Penalty+9 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Holding (9 Yards) to the NDame 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Pancol for 7 yds to the NDame 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the NDame 2

3rd & 2Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.23

Chase Brice sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 10 yards to the NDame 12

4th & 12Field Goal Good+30 yds

Charlie Ham 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+75 ydsPPA +4.14

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 75 yds to the Duke 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.48

Ian Book pass intercepted, touchback. Lummie Young IV return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 15 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the Duke 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Lawrence Keys III at the NDame 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

DUKE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NDame 21

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ian Book pass complete to Joe Wilkins for 4 yds to the NDame 25

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.05

Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Ian Book pass complete to Joe Wilkins for 15 yds to the Duke 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Ian Book pass complete to Joe Wilkins for 13 yds to the Duke 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Ian Book run for 3 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Ian Book pass incomplete

3rd & 7Field Goal Good+48 yds

Jonathan Doerer 48 yd FG GOOD

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Kyren Williams run for 10 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 26

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ian Book pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 37 yds , Josh Blackwell returns for 6 yds to the Duke 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chase Brice pass complete to Noah Gray for 3 yds to the Duke 45

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 47

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Kyren Williams run for 12 yds to the Duke 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 4 yds to the Duke 43

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Ian Book run for 8 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Chris Tyree run for 1 yd to the Duke 34

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Ian Book pass complete to Joe Wilkins for 7 yds to the Duke 27

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Ian Book run for 1 yd to the Duke 26

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.72

Kyren Williams run for 26 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.39

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun for a 1ST down NOTRE DAME Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Duke 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Deon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Duke 48

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Duke 48

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Chase Brice pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Lawrence Keys III at the NDame 8

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Chris Tyree run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 6

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 3 yds to the NDame 9

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Ian Book run for 5 yds to the NDame 14

4th & 4Punt+9 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 34 yds , Josh Blackwell returns for 9 yds to the NDame 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the NDame 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.90

Chase Brice pass complete to Jontavis Robertson for 13 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Chase Brice pass complete to Noah Gray for 19 yds to the NDame 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Mataeo Durant run for no gain to the NDame 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the NDame 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Chase Brice run for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Ham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ian Book pass incomplete to Kyren Williams

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.41

Kyren Williams run for 14 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Ian Book sacked by Shaka Heyward for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 29

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Ian Book run for 4 yds to the NDame 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.26

Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 9 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jafar Armstrong run for 3 yds to the NDame 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.37

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 7 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the Duke 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jafar Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Duke 39

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Jahmir Smith run for 4 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.39

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 18 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Ian Book pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.32

Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 17 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Chase Brice pass complete to Deon Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 22

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.26

Deon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Brice pass complete to Deon Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Lawrence Keys III at the NDame 44

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.53

Chris Tyree run for 25 yds to the Duke 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 14 yds to the Duke 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Chris Tyree run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 19

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.76

Chris Tyree run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 21

3rd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ian Book run for 5 yds to the Duke 16

4th & 9Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jonathan Doerer 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jake Bobo

3rd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.12

Chase Brice run for 23 yds to the Duke 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.17

Chase Brice sacked by Kurt Hinish for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 43

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the Duke 47

3rd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.49

Chase Brice pass complete to Noah Gray for 23 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.01

Chase Brice sacked by Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 36

3rd & 16Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.39

Chase Brice sacked by TEAM for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 40 Chase Brice fumbled, recovered by NDame Adetokunbo Ogundeji , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jahmir Smith run for 2 yds to the NDame 42

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jahmir Smith run for 7 yds to the NDame 49

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Jahmir Smith run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jahmir Smith run for 1 yd to the Duke 49

Situational Analysis

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
29 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
46%
13 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
33 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
29%
14 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play