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← Back to GamesNov 28, 2020Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Coastal Carolina by 22.3

Home Win Probability

Texas State 9%

Market (consensus)

Texas State +16.5

Edge: Coastal Carolina -16.5 (5.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 28, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina
14217749
Texas StateTexas State
700714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-147-217-287-427-4914-49
Texas StateCoastal Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCPUNT34ydTD781ydTO317ydTD545ydTD777ydPUNT628ydPUNT618ydTD855ydPUNT38ydTD778ydPUNT32ydTD877ydEND39ydTD975ydDOWNS737ydPUNT33ydDOWNS1075ydTD1394ydTD566ydEND1043yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Coastal Carolina and Texas State
StatisticCoastal CarolinaTexas State
Passing12-2020-26
Pass Yards166202
Rush Yards406116
Total Yards572318
Turnovers01
3rd Down8-134-10
Penalties4-254-37
Possession37:3122:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Coastal Carolina
passing
Grayson McCall
11/18, 154 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
CJ Marable
16 CAR, 157 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Isaiah Likely
4 REC, 73 YDS
defense
Texas State
passing
Brady McBride
20/26, 202 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jahmyl Jeter
7 CAR, 47 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Calvin Hill
3 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.82

Brady McBride sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSt 25

2nd & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 5 yds to the TexSt 30

3rd & 14Penalty+5 yds

McBride, Brady sideline pass incomplete to Banks,Javen, PENALTY CCU offside (Gunter, J.) 5 yards to the TXST35, NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Brady McBride run for 3 yds to the TexSt 38

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 43 yds, downed at the CCaro 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the CCaro 24

3rd & 5Rush+42 ydsPPA +4.00

CJ Marable run for 42 yds to the TexSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

CJ Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 35

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the TexSt 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 14 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

CJ Marable run for 14 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 2 yds to the TexSt 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.61

Brady McBride pass complete to Calvin Hill for 10 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -2.24

Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 4 yds Jeremiah Haydel fumbled, forced by Alex Spillum, recovered by CCaro Alex Spillum

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.84

CJ Marable run for 24 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Shermari Jones run for 8 yds to the TexSt 13

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.52

Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for no gain CJ Marable fumbled, forced by Hal Vinson, recovered by CCaro CJ Marable

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.27

Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

CJ Marable run for 9 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 5 yds to the TexSt 28

2nd & 5Penalty+5 yds

McBride, Brady deep out pass incomplete to GrahamJr, T, PENALTY CCU offside (Clark, J.) 5 yards to the TXST33, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Brock Sturges run for 3 yds to the TexSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.81

Brady McBride pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 12 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Brady McBride pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.96

Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 12 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.64

Brady McBride pass complete to Drue Jackson for 26 yds to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 14 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 16 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Grayson McCall run for 13 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Jones, S. rush over right tackle for 4 yards to the TXST37 (Anderson,Kevin;Coleman,M), PENALTY CCU holding (Likely, I.) 10 yards to the CCU49, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Reese White run for 4 yds to the TexSt 47

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Grayson McCall pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 44 yds, downed at the TexSt 3

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Brady McBride pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 6 yds to the TexSt 9

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Calvin Hill run for no gain to the TexSt 9

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.48

Brady McBride pass complete to Calvin Hill for 5 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 13

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Calvin Hill run for 8 yds to the TexSt 21

3rd & 3Sack0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brady McBride sacked by Tarron Jackson and Silas Kelly for 0 yards to the TexSt 21

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.23

Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 18 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Reese White run for 10 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah Likely

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the TexSt 21

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the TexSt 18

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.70

Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the TexSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the TexSt 10

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Reese White run for 10 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 2 yds to the TexSt 24

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Brady McBride run for 7 yds to the TexSt 31

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Brock Sturges run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 30

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 48 yds, downed at the CCaro 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the CCaro 28

2nd & 4Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.82

Reese White run for 33 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Reese White run for 5 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.25

Grayson McCall run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 36

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Grayson McCall run for 9 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.19

Shermari Jones run for 13 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 14 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Calvin Hill

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Hill,Calvin rush over right tackle for 11 yards to the TXST36 (Strong, D.;Kelly, S.), PENALTY TXST holding (Heitmeier,Tate) 10 yards to the TXST15, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Brady McBride pass complete to Chandler Speights for 5 yds to the TexSt 20

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 15

3rd & 20Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.13

Calvin Hill run for 12 yds to the TexSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 50 yds, downed at the CCaro 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the CCaro 31

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

CJ Marable run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.33

Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 15 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Greg Latushko

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

McCall, G. sideline pass complete to Heiligh, J. for 13 yards to the TXST43, out-of-bounds (Morris, Jarron), PENALTY CCU ineligible downfield on pass (Carter, T.) 5 yards to the CCU39, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the CCaro 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 14 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.59

Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 25 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

McCall, G. pass incomplete to Heiligh, J., PENALTY TXST roughing passer (Tupou,Sione) 7 yards to the TXST7, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 7 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Jeremiah Haydel

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.90

Brock Sturges run for 11 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Brock Sturges run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 39

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.00

Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 26 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the TexSt 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Grayson McCall pass complete to Bryce Carpenter for 5 yds to the TexSt 29

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the TexSt 28

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.19

Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the TexSt 23

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +3.01

CJ Marable run for 23 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Calvin Hill run for 9 yds to the TexSt 35

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 4 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Brady McBride run for 17 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Calvin Hill

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Jahmyl Jeter run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 45

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Marcell Barbee

4th & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.52

Brady McBride run for 8 yds to the CCaro 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Jarron Morris

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron Brown, broken up by Kordell Rodgers

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 38 yds , Jeremiah Haydel returns for no gain to the TexSt 19 Jeremiah Haydel fumbled, recovered by TexSt Robert Brown Jr.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds to the TexSt 22

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds to the TexSt 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.49

Brady McBride pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 32 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brady McBride pass complete to Drue Jackson for no gain to the CCaro 40

3rd & 7Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.15

Jahmyl Jeter run for 29 yds to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Marcell Barbee

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.92

Brady McBride sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 17

3rd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jahmyl Jeter run for 5 yds to the CCaro 12

4th & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -3.30

Brady McBride pass complete to Drue Jackson for 6 yds to the CCaro 6

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the CCaro 10

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.66

Fred Payton pass complete to Baden Pinson for 12 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the CCaro 26

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Shermari Jones run for 15 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Shermari Jones run for no gain to the CCaro 41

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.75

Fred Payton run for 22 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the TexSt 33

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.45

Baden Pinson run for 9 yds to the TexSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Baden Pinson run for 3 yds to the TexSt 21

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Fred Payton pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Fred Payton run for 3 yds to the TexSt 18

4th & 4Penalty+15 yds

Payton, F. deep out pass incomplete to McCarthy, C., PENALTY TXST pass interference (Mask, DeJordan) 15 yards to the TXST3, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.

1st & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 5

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 yds

TEAM run for no gain TEAM fumbled, recovered by CCaro Baden Pinson , return for 9 yds (Kieran Colahan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Calvin Hill run for 6 yds to the TexSt 40

2nd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.95

Brady McBride pass complete to Calvin Hill for 53 yds to the CCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jah'Marae Sheread run for 3 yds to the CCaro 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jahmyl Jeter run for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the CCaro 20

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the CCaro 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.19

CJ Beasley run for 14 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 41

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the CCaro 45

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.77

CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the TexSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Baden Pinson run for 3 yds to the TexSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.66

CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.66

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 43

Situational Analysis

Coastal Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
60%
35 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
80%
10 plays
63%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays