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← Back to GamesNov 14, 2020Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia Southern by 22.9

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 91%

Market (consensus)

Georgia Southern -11.5

Edge: Georgia Southern -11.5 (11.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 14, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
71471038
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
171031040

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-717-720-1420-2130-2137-2837-3140-3140-38
Georgia SouthernTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSGSTSGSTSGSTSGSDOWNS5-27ydTD27ydTD00ydTD875ydTO10ydFG4-5ydTO614ydTO528ydTO48ydFG542ydTD1175ydTO10ydTD143ydPUNT34ydDOWNS48ydTD541ydPUNT37ydEND14ydFG1453ydTD365ydTD1275ydFG1057ydFG1076ydTD479ydEND844yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Georgia Southern
StatisticTexas StateGeorgia Southern
Passing19-326-9
Pass Yards26951
Rush Yards30386
Total Yards299437
Turnovers32
3rd Down3-98-16
Penalties3-304-40
Possession18:4141:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Brady McBride
7/13, 155 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Brock Sturges
6 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Marcell Barbee
5 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Georgia Southern
passing
Shai Werts
6/9, 51 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Shai Werts
21 CAR, 120 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Wesley Kennedy III
1 REC, 23 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Brock Sturges run for 11 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brock Sturges run for no gain to the TexSt 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Brock Sturges

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

4th & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-15 ydsPPA -0.10

TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the TexSt 7 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexSt

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Wesley Kennedy III run for 6 yds to the TexSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Shai Werts run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Wesley Kennedy III run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Justin Tomlin run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Shai Werts pass complete to Dexter Carter Jr. for 8 yds to the GeoSo 47

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.36

Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 47

3rd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.21

Wesley Kennedy III run for 18 yds to the TexSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.74

Shai Werts run for 29 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-8 ydsPPA -0.92

Tyler Vitt pass intercepted Rashad Byrd return for 5 yds to the TexSt 30 TEXAS STATE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-13 Yards) to the TexSt 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Gerald Green run for no gain to the TexSt 12

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the TexSt 9

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.53

Shai Werts sacked by Markeveon Coleman for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSt 17

4th & 15Field Goal Good+34 yds

Alex Raynor 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.03

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 12 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 1 yd to the TexSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Chandler Speights for 2 yds to the TexSt 39

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyler Vitt pass intercepted Kenderick Duncan Jr. return for no gain to the GeoSo 29

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 35

2nd & 4Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.93

Logan Wright run for 20 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 49

2nd & 14Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the TexSt 41

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -2.36

Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSt 43 Shai Werts fumbled, recovered by TexSt Markeveon Coleman

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brock Sturges run for 3 yds to the TexSt 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 1 yd to the GeoSo 49

4th & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.09

Sione Tupou pass intercepted Quin Williams return for no gain to the GeoSo 34

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.52

Shai Werts run for 36 yds to the TexSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the TexSt 29

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the TexSt 27

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the TexSt 24

4th & 4Field Goal Good+41 yds

Alex Raynor 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Calvin Hill run for 7 yds to the TexSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 7 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 9 yds to the TexSt 48

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.11

Calvin Hill run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 8 yds to the GeoSo 39

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Vitt run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Calvin Hill run for no gain to the GeoSo 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 11 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 9 yds to the GeoSo 16

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.47

Calvin Hill run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Calvin Hill run for 11 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA -0.92

Shai Werts pass intercepted Jarron Morris return for 6 yds to the GeoSo 43

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 43 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Haydel at the TexSt 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jahmyl Jeter run for 2 yds to the TexSt 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 7 yds to the TexSt 42

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Tyler Vitt run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Shai Werts run for no gain to the TexSt 41

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Matt LaRoche run for 3 yds to the TexSt 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Shai Werts pass complete to Logan Wright for 6 yds to the TexSt 32

4th & 1Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.98

Shai Werts run for 28 yds to the TexSt 4 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, targeting (Derrick Ray) to the TexSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Shai Werts run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brock Sturges run for 7 yds to the TexSt 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brady McBride pass incomplete, broken up by C.J. Wright

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Marcell Barbee

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Matt LaRoche run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 44

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.01

Wesley Kennedy III run for 10 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Shai Werts pass complete to Emil Smith for 6 yds to the TexSt 40

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Matt LaRoche run for 4 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the TexSt 27

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Aaron Dowdell) to the TexSt 28

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Shai Werts pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the TexSt 20

3rd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Shai Werts sacked by Emmanuel Galvan-Vazquez for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 22 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Field Goal Good+39 yds

Alex Raynor 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Brady McBride pass complete to Chandler Speights for 7 yds to the TexSt 41

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +6.01

Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 59 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 23 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Wesley Kennedy III run for 12 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the TexSt 35

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Logan Wright run for 7 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the TexSt 24

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the TexSt 19

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the TexSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Wesley Kennedy III run for 5 yds to the TexSt 12

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the TexSt 9

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 10

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the TexSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Wesley Kennedy III run for 6 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Brock Sturges, broken up by Quin Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Brady McBride pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 15 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Brady McBride pass complete to Drue Jackson for 10 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Trevis Graham Jr., broken up by Derrick Canteen

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Brock Sturges run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 36

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.05

Brock Sturges run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

McBride, Brady pass incomplete to Barbee,Marcell (D. Baker Jr.), PENALTY GS pass interference (D. Baker Jr.) 15 yards to the GS17, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.88

Brady McBride sacked by Reynard Ellis for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 23

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Jeremiah Haydel, broken up by Reynard Ellis

3rd & 16Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.08

Brady McBride run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 10

4th & 3Field Goal Good+27 yds

Seth Keller 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Wesley Kennedy III run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 28

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 30

3rd & 1Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.25

Logan Wright run for 32 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 40

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik Murray

3rd & 12Penalty+15 yds

S. Werts pass incomplete to K. Hood, QB hurry by Vinson,Hal, PENALTY TXST roughing passer (Vinson,Hal) 15 yards to the TXST25, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.18

Matt LaRoche run for 14 yds to the TexSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the TexSt 9

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the TexSt 7

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the TexSt 3

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Alex Raynor 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Trevis Graham Jr., broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

McBride, Brady pass incomplete to Barbee,Marcell (D. Canteen), PENALTY GS pass interference (D. Canteen) 15 yards to the TXST36, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Brady McBride pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 11 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.41

Brady McBride pass complete to Drue Jackson for 29 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Brady McBride pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 24 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 19

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Matt LaRoche run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 20

3rd & 4Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.88

Matt LaRoche run for 27 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Wesley Kennedy III run for 5 yds to the TexSt 48

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the TexSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.22

Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 41

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 42

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
24 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
66%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
78%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays