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← Back to GamesDec 12, 2020Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 4.3

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 37%

Market (consensus)

Georgia Southern +9.5

Edge: Georgia Southern +9.5 (5.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
07101734
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
7100926

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284214-014-717-1417-1720-1720-3126-34
Georgia SouthernApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSASGSASGSASASGSASGSASGSASGSGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASGSASPUNT37ydPUNT68ydPUNT38ydPUNT935ydTO357ydTD23ydPUNT38ydTD1172ydTD1765ydPUNT35ydPUNT35ydFG750ydTD1072ydPUNT37ydTO24ydFG841ydFG1046ydTD00ydPUNT35ydTD170ydTO10ydPUNT34ydPUNT614ydPUNT36ydTD285ydFG755ydTO419ydEND3-11yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and Georgia Southern
StatisticApp StateGeorgia Southern
Passing18-297-18
Pass Yards208145
Rush Yards173204
Total Yards381349
Turnovers24
3rd Down6-172-10
Penalties6-701-5
Possession34:5225:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Zac Thomas
18/29, 208 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nate Noel
13 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Hennigan
8 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Georgia Southern
passing
Miller Mosley
5/14, 122 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Justin Tomlin
6 CAR, 76 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dexter Carter Jr.
1 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Ryker Casey kickoff for 65 yds , Khaleb Hood return for 13 yds to the GeoSo 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Justin Tomlin run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 15

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Justin Tomlin run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 20

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Logan Wright run for no gain to the GeoSo 20

4th & 3Punt+24 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 54 yds , Malik Williams returns for 24 yds to the AppSt 44 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, illegal block (28 Yards) to the AppSt 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 23

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.80

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.82

Zac Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 30

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams

4th & 14Punt+5 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 50 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 5 yds to the GeoSo 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Khaleb Hood run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Justin Tomlin run for no gain to the GeoSo 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 23

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.50

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 28

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Derrick Canteen

3rd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.34

Zac Thomas run for 12 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.46

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 18 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the GeoSo 42

2nd & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -2.86

Zac Thomas sacked by Quin Williams for a loss of 13 yards to the AppSt 45

3rd & 23Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the GeoSo 48

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 17

2nd & 8Rush+55 ydsPPA +4.14

Justin Tomlin run for 55 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.24

Justin Tomlin pass intercepted Brendan Harrington return for no gain to the AppSt 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 18

2nd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+28 ydsPPA -7.19

Zac Thomas pass intercepted for a TD David Spaulding return for 28 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 29

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.31

Zac Thomas run for no gain to the AppSt 33 Zac Thomas fumbled, forced by Raymond Johnson III,

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 39 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GeoSo 28 Khaleb Hood fumbled,

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.18

Justin Tomlin pass complete to NaJee Thompson for 16 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 48

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Tomlin run for no gain to the GeoSo 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Justin Tomlin pass complete to Cam Brown for 7 yds to the AppSt 45

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.08

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt LaRoche run for 4 yds to the AppSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Gerald Green run for 8 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the AppSt 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Dexter Carter Jr.

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

J. Tomlin pass incomplete to M. Murray (Jackson, D.), PENALTY APP personal foul (Taylor, D.) 15 yards to the APP14, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Justin Tomlin run for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.72

Zac Thomas sacked by Reid Dedman for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 29

2nd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.46

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.36

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 10 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 37

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Peoples, C. rush for 9 yards to the GS28, out-of-bounds (D. Baker Jr.), PENALTY APP holding (Hannon, Noah) 10 yards to the GS47, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the GeoSo 42

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.54

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Peoples, C. rush for 2 yards to the GS29 (R. Johnson III;J. Ferguson), PENALTY APP holding (Hannon, Noah) 10 yards to the GS41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.73

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 23 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 9

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Zac Thomas run for no gain to the GeoSo 9

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Jalen Virgil) to the GeoSo 16

3rd & 0Passing Touchdown+16 yds

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 16 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Miller Mosley run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 33

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Miller Mosley run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Miller Mosley run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Justin Ellis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 2 yds to the AppSt 17

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 34

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

M. Mosley pass incomplete to K. Hood (Cobb, Trey), PENALTY APP pass interference (Cobb, Trey) 15 yards to the GS49, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Miller Mosley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.86

Miller Mosley run for 11 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the AppSt 37

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Miller Mosley pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.78

Miller Mosley pass complete to Cam Brown for 17 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the AppSt 16

2nd & 6Field Goal Good+33 yds

Alex Raynor 33 yd FG GOOD

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Alex Raynor kickoff for 63 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 26 yds to the AppSt 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 34

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.49

Camerun Peoples run for 14 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the GeoSo 45

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.15

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Nate Noel run for no gain to the GeoSo 41

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.49

Zac Thomas run for 20 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Noel, Nate rush for 1 yard to the GS20 (B. Wilson;R. Byrd), PENALTY GS offside (R. Johnson III) 5 yards to the GS16, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.53

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 6 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Nate Noel

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Ryker Casey kickoff for 63 yds , Khaleb Hood return for 11 yds to the GeoSo 13

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Khaleb Hood run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 17

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 20

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Miller Mosley pass incomplete to Cam Brown, broken up by Demetrius Taylor

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 34 yds , Malik Williams returns for no gain to the AppSt 47 Malik Williams fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Jalen Jackson

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the AppSt 42

2nd & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Miller Mosley sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 43 Miller Mosley fumbled, recovered by AppSt Jordon Earle , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 4 yds to the AppSt 47

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 48

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the GeoSo 48

4th & 1Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.15

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 33 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 10

2nd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.86

Zac Thomas sacked by Quin Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 16

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Zac Thomas run for no gain to the GeoSo 16

4th & 11Field Goal Good+33 yds

Chandler Staton 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Miller Mosley run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Gerald Green run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 43

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Miller Mosley pass complete to Sean Pelkisson for 10 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Miller Mosley run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Miller Mosley run for 10 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jalen White run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Miller Mosley run for 1 yd to the AppSt 29

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Miller Mosley pass incomplete to Cam Brown

4th & 7Field Goal Good+47 yds

Alex Raynor 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Alex Raynor kickoff for 65 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 100 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Ryker Casey kickoff for 61 yds , Khaleb Hood return for 17 yds to the GeoSo 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 27

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Miller Mosley pass incomplete to Sean Pelkisson, broken up by Kaiden Smith

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Miller Mosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 26

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 30

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Nate Noel run for 70 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Ryker Casey kickoff for 61 yds , Khaleb Hood return for 12 yds to the GeoSo 16

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.42

Miller Mosley pass intercepted Kaiden Smith return for no gain to the GeoSo 37

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Zac Thomas run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 32

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Camerun Peoples

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Zac Thomas punt for 30 yds , Ephraim Kitchen Jr. returns for no gain to the GeoSo 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 6

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Miller Mosley run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 10

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.39

Miller Mosley run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Miller Mosley pass incomplete to NaJee Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Miller Mosley run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 17

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Miller Mosley pass incomplete to Emil Smith

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 38

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 44

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 44

4th & 4Punt+3 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 3 yds to the GeoSo 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Logan Wright run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 22

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +6.17

Dexter Carter Jr. 78 Yd pass from Miller Mosley (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.10

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 33 yds to the GASOUTHERN 38 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 27

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 23

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 20

4th & 2Field Goal Good+37 yds

Chandler Staton 37 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.68

Miller Mosley pass complete to Emil Smith for 12 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Miller Mosley pass complete to Malik Murray for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -2.26

Miller Mosley pass intercepted Nicholas Ross return for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 19

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.87

Zac Thomas run for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 11

2nd & 18Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.07

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 10

3rd & 19Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.03

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 8

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
28 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play