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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2020Week 8
HoustonHouston
37
-Final
21
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 3.5

Home Win Probability

Navy 59%

Market (consensus)

Navy +15.5

Edge: Navy +15.5 (19.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 24, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
HoustonHouston
31371437
NavyNavy
760821

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-37-37-613-913-1613-2313-3013-3721-37
NavyHouston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUPUNT513ydPUNT36ydFG1333ydTD1175ydFG1139ydPUNT30ydFG522ydTD675ydTO121ydPUNT3-3ydTD379ydEND420ydMISS951ydPUNT418ydTO10ydTD520ydPUNT611ydTD1077ydMISS1057ydTD1280ydTD1475ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston and Navy
StatisticHoustonNavy
Passing26-3710-18
Pass Yards334206
Rush Yards86166
Total Yards420372
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-138-17
Penalties9-776-55
Possession29:1130:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston
passing
Clayton Tune
24/34, 316 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Kyle Porter
21 CAR, 52 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Marquez Stevenson
9 REC, 129 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Navy
passing
Dalen Morris
10/18, 206 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nelson Smith
11 CAR, 51 YDS
receiving
Ryan Mitchell
2 REC, 94 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.18

Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 8 yds to the Houst 15 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, personal foul (Diego Fagot) to the Houst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-11 ydsPPA -1.59

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 4 yds to the Houst 34 HOUSTON Penalty, personal foul (Marquez Stevenson) to the Houst 19

1st & 21Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, false start (Nathaniel Dell) to the Houst 14

1st & 26Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.06

Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Houst 15

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell

3rd & 25Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Houst 20

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 62 yds, downed at the Navy 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 19

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

CJ Williams run for 5 yds to the Navy 24

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Navy 24

4th & 4Punt+20 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 45 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 20 yds to the Navy 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Kyle Porter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 9 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kyle Porter run for no gain to the Navy 40

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.81

Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.48

Clayton Tune run for 16 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Navy 20

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Navy 16

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Navy 14

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.57

Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the Navy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Tre'von Bradley, broken up by Michael McMorris

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, false start (Marquez Stevenson) to the Navy 17

2nd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 1 yd to the Navy 16

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Tre'von Bradley

4th & 14Field Goal Good+33 yds

Dalton Witherspoon 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dalen Morris run for no gain to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Dalen Morris pass complete to CJ Williams for 8 yds to the Navy 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Dalen Morris run for 4 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Dalen Morris pass complete to Devin Mathews for 3 yds to the Navy 42

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.29

Dalen Morris run for 9 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Houst 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dalen Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.58

Dalen Morris pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 41 yds to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Dalen Morris run for 2 yds to the Houst 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Dalen Morris run for 6 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kyle Porter run for 6 yds to the Houst 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Houst 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 8 yds to the Houst 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for 10 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Kelan Walker run for 5 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell, broken up by Cameron Kinley

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Kyle Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 36

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Clayton Tune pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+53 yds

Dalton Witherspoon 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Dalen Morris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 22

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Myles Fells run for 3 yds to the Navy 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Devin Mathews, broken up by Marcus Jones

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.97

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 18 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TUNE, Clayton rush for 5 yards to the NAVY27, out-of-bounds (ADAMS, Terrell), PENALTY HOU holding (UNIJE, Reuben) 10 yards to the NAVY42, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Kyle Porter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 39

3rd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 11 yds to the Navy 28

4th & 6Field Goal Good+45 yds

Dalton Witherspoon 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Navy 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Dalen Morris run for 3 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dalen Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +6.20

Dalen Morris pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 60 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -0.92

Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 19 yds Tre'von Bradley fumbled, forced by Mitchell West, recovered by Navy John Marshall

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the Houst 42

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Dalen Morris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 45

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Dalen Morris run for 1 yd to the Houst 44

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Houst 49

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 13 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for 15 yds to the Houst 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 51 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 8Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.35

Dalen Morris run for 19 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Dalen Morris run for 3 yds to the Navy 49 NAVY Penalty, illegal forward pass (Dalen Morris) to the Navy 44

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 45

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Dalen Morris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.61

Dalen Morris pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 34 yds to the Houst 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Carlinos Acie run for 3 yds to the Houst 40

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Houst 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Dalen Morris pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 11 yds to the Houst 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Houst 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dalen Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Carlinos Acie run for no gain to the Houst 24

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Bijan Nichols 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, false start (Marquez Stevenson) to the Houst 19

1st & 15Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.00

Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, targeting (Tama Tuitele) to the Houst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Logan Holgorsen pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 5 yds to the Houst 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Logan Holgorsen pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 41 yds

3rd & 5Penalty-15 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, personal foul (Dennis Bardwell) to the Houst 29

3rd & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.41

Logan Holgorsen pass complete to Kyle Porter for 13 yds to the Houst 42

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.46

Dalen Morris pass intercepted Thabo Mwaniki return for no gain to the Navy 20

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.65

Clayton Tune sacked by Diego Fagot for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 23

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 6 yds to the Navy 17

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 8 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for 8 yds to the Navy 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kyle Porter run for 1 yd for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dalen Morris run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Dalen Morris run for 1 yd to the Navy 30

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Carlinos Acie run for 6 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Carlinos Acie run for 1 yd to the Navy 37

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 39

3rd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Dalen Morris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 36

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Marcus Jones at the Houst 23

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.64

Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for no gain to the Houst 23

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.83

Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 11 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Kyle Porter run for 11 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.95

Bryson Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 41

2nd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.88

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 16 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Clayton Tune run for 10 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Nathaniel Dell, broken up by Tobe Okafor

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.54

Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for 33 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dalen Morris sacked by Donavan Mutin for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 24

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

CJ Williams run for 5 yds to the Navy 29

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Dalen Morris run for 5 yds to the Navy 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.11

Dalen Morris pass complete to Myles Fells for 29 yds to the NAVY 34 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Dalen Morris pass complete to Mark Walker for 8 yds to the Houst 26

2nd & 2Penalty+10 yds

MORRIS, Dalen pass incomplete to WARREN, Chance, PENALTY HOU holding (MWANIKI, Thabo) 10 yards to the HOU16, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Mark Walker

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

CJ Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 18

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Ryan Mitchell

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Bijan Nichols 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 14 yds to the Houst 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Houst 38

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Houst 42

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Houst 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Tre'von Bradley

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kyle Porter run for no gain to the Houst 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.94

Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 11 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Kyle Porter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 47

2nd & 13Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.25

Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 17 yds to the Navy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TUNE, Clayton pass intercepted by CLEAR, Caleb at the NAVY0, CLEAR, Caleb return to the NAVY0, touchback, PENALTY NAVY offside (OKAFOR, Tobe) 5 yards to the NAVY25, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Navy 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 24

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.61

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 24 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dalen Morris pass complete to CJ Williams for 7 yds to the Navy 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Dalen Morris sacked by Logan Hall for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 35

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.34

Myles Fells run for 11 yds to the Navy 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Navy 46

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.08

Dalen Morris run for 1 yd to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MORRIS, Dalen pass incomplete to WALKER, Mark, PENALTY NAVY holding (FRANKLAND, Kip) 10 yards to the NAVY37, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Dalen Morris run for 2 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 18Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.82

Devon High run for 10 yds to the Navy 49

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the Houst 45

4th & 2Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.89

Nelson Smith run for 21 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.80

Myles Fells run for 14 yds to the Houst 10 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, personal foul (Gervarrius Owens) to the Houst 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to CJ Williams, broken up by Thabo Mwaniki

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Dalen Morris pass complete to CJ Williams for 5 yds for a TD (D. Morris Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 49

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
29 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
21%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays