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← Back to GamesNov 7, 2020Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 24.1

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 92%

Market (consensus)

Cincinnati -12.5

Edge: Cincinnati -12.5 (11.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 7, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
HoustonHouston
0100010
CincinnatiCincinnati
7213738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-731-1038-10
CincinnatiHouston

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOUCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINCINCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINPUNT730ydTD584ydPUNT35ydPUNT33ydPUNT511ydPUNT637ydPUNT616ydTD1075ydTD865ydTD675ydFG555ydTD355ydTO10ydFG1760ydPUNT725ydTD1085ydTO414ydPUNT36ydPUNT852ydPUNT422ydPUNT1019ydEND23yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Houston and Cincinnati
StatisticHoustonCincinnati
Passing20-3420-30
Pass Yards189168
Rush Yards93342
Total Yards282510
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-155-12
Penalties5-375-35
Possession27:3132:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Houston
passing
Clayton Tune
20/34, 189 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Kyle Porter
16 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Nathaniel Dell
3 REC, 60 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Desmond Ridder
17/27, 162 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Gerrid Doaks
16 CAR, 184 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Michael Young
4 REC, 47 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 7 yds to the Houst 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Houst 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Houst 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Kyle Porter run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Cincy 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 2 yds to the Cincy 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Clayton Tune pass complete to Mulbah Car for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 45

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 29 yds, downed at the Cincy 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gerrid Doaks run for 5 yds to the Cincy 21

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 4 yds to the Cincy 25

3rd & 1Rush+72 ydsPPA +5.11

Gerrid Doaks run for 72 yds to the Houst 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Houst 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith Corbin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Clayton Tune pass complete to Bryson Smith for 1 yd to the Houst 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 4 yds to the Houst 24

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 31

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 26

1st & 15Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jordan Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 24

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jordan Jones

3rd & 17Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.61

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 15 yds to the Cincy 39

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 34

4th & 7Punt+13 yds

James Smith punt for 50 yds , Marcus Jones returns for 13 yds to the Houst 29

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Houst 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 9 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kyle Porter run for no gain to the Houst 42

2nd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.50

Clayton Tune sacked by Ahmad Gardner for a loss of 9 yards to the Houst 33

3rd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for 7 yds to the Houst 40

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 8 yds to the Cincy 23

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.88

Gerrid Doaks run for 14 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 15 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Houst 48

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre Tucker

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Mulbah Car run for 3 yds to the Houst 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Clayton Tune pass complete to Bryson Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.58

Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 22 yds to the Houst 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Mulbah Car run for 2 yds to the Houst 43

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 38

2nd & 13Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Clayton Tune pass complete to Mulbah Car for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 36

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 25

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Desmond Ridder run for 11 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 16 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jordan Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.89

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 16 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 37

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Houst 36

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 11 yds to the Houst 25

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

4th & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.33

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 12 yds to the Houst 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Houst 10

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.64

Desmond Ridder run for 10 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Kyle Porter run for 8 yds to the Houst 43

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Houst 44

3rd & 1Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.65

Clayton Tune pass complete to Bryson Smith for 34 yds to the Cincy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Cincy 21

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Cincy 18

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Cincy 14

4th & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.70

Kyle Porter run for 11 yds to the Cincy 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Kyle Porter run for 3 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 14 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jordan Jones for 9 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

Gerrid Doaks run for 13 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Houst 32

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.19

Desmond Ridder run for 32 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +2.72

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for 54 yds to the Cincy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Mulbah Car run for 1 yd to the Cincy 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Mulbah Car

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Bryson Smith

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 yds

Dalton Witherspoon 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+48 ydsPPA +2.08

Gerrid Doaks run for 48 yds to the Houst 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Houst 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 4 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.86

Desmond Ridder pass intercepted, touchback. Hasaan Hypolite return for no gain

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 27

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Desmond Ridder run for 11 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Cincy 41

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cincy 46

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.85

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 44 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Cincy

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.35

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 12 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Young Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 3 yds to the Houst 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.90

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Gerrid Doaks run for 8 yds to the Houst 24

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Houst 24

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gerrid Doaks run for no gain to the Houst 24

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.07

Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Houst 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Houst 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Houst 15

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 yds

Cole Smith 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 11 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Houst 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 3 yds to the Houst 44

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Kyle Porter run for 4 yds to the Houst 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Cole McGowan

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Clayton Tune pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 35 yds, downed at the Cincy 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 9 yds to the Cincy 24

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Cincy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 7 yds to the Cincy 32

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Jerome Ford run for 15 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Houst 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Tre Tucker run for 9 yds to the Houst 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Tre Tucker

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.55

Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the Houst 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Leonard Taylor

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.84

Desmond Ridder run for 18 yds to the Houst 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Desmond Ridder run for 12 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Mulbah Car run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith Corbin

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Houst 39 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -1.04

Clayton Tune pass intercepted Darrick Forrest return for 2 yds to the Cincy 48

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Cincy 48

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Jerome Ford run for 9 yds to the Houst 43

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Houst 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Ben Bryant pass complete to Jerome Ford for 2 yds to the Houst 46

4th & 4Punt+39 yds

James Smith punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Bryson Smith at the Houst 14 HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (7 Yards) to the Houst 7

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Mulbah Car run for 9 yds to the Houst 16

2nd & 1Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.36

Clayton Tune pass complete to Keith Corbin for 24 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 11 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 4 yds to the Cincy 45

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.80

Kyle Porter run for 7 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for a loss of 5 yards to the Cincy 43

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Cincy 41

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Ke'Andre Street

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 10

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.79

Jerome Ford run for 16 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Ben Bryant pass complete to Josh Whyle for 2 yds to the Cincy 28

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Cincy 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Ben Bryant pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 2 yds to the Cincy 32

4th & 4Punt+54 yds

James Smith punt for 44 yds, downed at the CINCINNATI 24 HOUSTON Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Houst 14

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Chandler Smith run for 9 yds to the Houst 23

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Keith Corbin

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Chandler Smith run for no gain to the Houst 23

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the Houst 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Clayton Tune pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Chandler Smith run for no gain to the Houst 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Clayton Tune pass complete to Chandler Smith for 11 yds to the Houst 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Chandler Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Clayton Tune pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Clayton Tune pass complete to Nathaniel Dell for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Laine Wilkins punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ryan Montgomery run for no gain to the Cincy 15

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Ryan Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Cincy 18

Situational Analysis

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
24 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
29 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays