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← Back to GamesOct 31, 2020Week 9
NavyNavy
37
-Final
51
SMUSMU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

SMU by 16.3

Home Win Probability

SMU 82%

Market (consensus)

SMU -13

Edge: SMU -13 (3.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 31, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
71002037
SMUSMU
03114651

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-77-714-1421-1728-1738-1745-1751-2351-3051-37
SMUNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUPUNT616ydTD1376ydTD1282ydTD675ydTD671ydPUNT3-7ydTD557ydFG1046ydTD1071ydTO1-7ydFG10ydPUNT633ydTD680ydPUNT824ydTD586ydPUNT76ydTD578ydTD477ydTO38ydTD747ydPUNT30ydTD1190ydEND411yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and SMU
StatisticNavySMU
Passing14-3023-28
Pass Yards239300
Rush Yards191255
Total Yards430555
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-157-11
Penalties4-306-56
Possession34:2725:33

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Tyger Goslin
6/10, 123 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
CJ Williams
5 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Jamale Carothers
2 REC, 91 YDS, 1 TD
defense
SMU
passing
Shane Buechele
23/28, 300 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Ulysses Bentley IV
25 CAR, 149 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ulysses Bentley IV
4 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 9 yds to the SMU 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the SMU 40

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 35

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyler Lavine run for 1 yd to the SMU 36

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Shane Buechele run for 5 yds to the SMU 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Chris Naggar punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

CJ Williams run for 7 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Nelson Smith run for 9 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Dalen Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.12

Dalen Morris sacked by Richard McBryde for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 36

3rd & 14Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +4.03

Dalen Morris pass complete to Jamale Carothers for 29 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.25

Myles Fells run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 38

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.54

Dalen Morris pass complete to Devin Mathews for 14 yds to the SMU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Jamale Carothers run for 7 yds to the SMU 17

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Myles Fells run for 3 yds to the SMU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the SMU 13

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chance Warren run for 4 yds to the SMU 9

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 14

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.74

Dalen Morris pass complete to CJ Williams for 11 yds to the SMU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 20

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the SMU 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.16

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 6 yds to the SMU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the SMU 36

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 38

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.18

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 11 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 6 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 10 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 6 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.85

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 24 yds to the Navy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the Navy 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 4 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Nelson Smith run for 28 yds to the SMU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Myles Fells

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.76

Nelson Smith run for 14 yds to the SMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the SMU 33

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.34

CJ Williams run for 26 yds to the SMU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Chance Warren run for 7 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.22

Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 25

2nd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.63

Shane Buechele pass complete to Judah Bell for 19 yds to the SMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 2 yds to the SMU 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.96

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 16 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.50

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 20 yds to the Navy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 18 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to CJ Williams

2nd & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Dalen Morris run for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 18

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Dalen Morris pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SMU 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.99

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 36 yds to the Navy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 4 yds to the Navy 17

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Tyler Lavine run for 7 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Tyler Lavine run for 10 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Myles Fells run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.00

Dalen Morris pass complete to Chance Warren for 21 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Jamale Carothers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 46

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Dalen Morris run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.78

Dalen Morris pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 15 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

MORRIS, Dalen pass incomplete to WALKER, Mark (CROSSLEY, B.), PENALTY SMU holding (CROSSLEY, B.) 10 yards to the SMU25, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the SMU 23

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the SMU 18

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SMU 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.02

Dalen Morris pass complete to CJ Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 29

4th & 14Field Goal Good+46 yds

Bijan Nichols 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 4 yds to the SMU 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 4 yds to the SMU 37

3rd & 2Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.99

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 11 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down NAVY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Diego Fagot) to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 11 yds to the Navy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 11 yds to the Navy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 7 yds to the Navy 8

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.37

Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 3 yds to the Navy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Nelson Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 18 Nelson Smith fumbled, forced by Terrance Newman, recovered by SMU Gary Wiley

1st & 10Field Goal Good+35 yds

Chris Naggar 35 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Dalen Morris pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 10 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

CJ Williams run for 7 yds to the Navy 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.52

Dalen Morris pass complete to Devin Mathews for 22 yds to the SMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.93

Carlinos Acie run for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 42

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to CJ Williams

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Chance Warren

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 17 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for no gain to the SMU 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tyler Page

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.94

Shane Buechele run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

TaMerik Williams run for 8 yds to the Navy 42

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.00

Shane Buechele pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 42 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dalen Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper

3rd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.37

Chance Warren run for 15 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Chance Warren run for 9 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.13

Myles Fells run for 5 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Dalen Morris sacked by Trevor Denbow for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 48

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Devin Mathews

3rd & 12Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.95

Dalen Morris sacked by Richard McBryde for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 49

4th & 15Punt+2 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 39 yds , Tyler Page returns for 2 yds to the SMU 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 7 yds to the SMU 21

2nd & 3Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +3.63

Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 61 yds to the Navy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the Navy 18

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.67

Shane Buechele sacked by Tobe Okafor for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 20

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.61

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 20 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

CJ Williams run for 8 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chance Warren run for no gain to the Navy 34

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.95

Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Devin Mathews

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Dalen Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.64

Dalen Morris sacked by Delano Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Navy 31

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 47 yds, downed at the SMU 22

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 20

2nd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.80

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 15 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 9 yds to the SMU 44

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Lavine run for 8 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Tyler Lavine run for 48 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.26

CJ Williams run for 15 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tyger Goslin run for no gain to the Navy 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyger Goslin pass incomplete to Chance Warren, broken up by Brian Holloway

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +6.73

Tyger Goslin pass complete to Jamale Carothers for 62 yds for a TD NAVY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 8 GOSLIN, Tyger pass attempt failed, PENALTY SMU pass interference (PHILLIPS JR.,J) 6 yards to the SMU2, NO PLAY. (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 8Penalty+6 yds

GOSLIN, Tyger pass attempt failed, PENALTY SMU pass interference (PHILLIPS JR.,J) 6 yards to the SMU2, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the SMU 40

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

TaMerik Williams run for no gain to the SMU 40

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.36

Terrance Gipson run for 6 yds to the SMU 47 Terrance Gipson fumbled, forced by Tama Tuitele, recovered by Navy Marcus Wiggins , return for 1 yd to the SMU 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tyger Goslin pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Chance Warren pass incomplete to Ryan Mitchell, broken up by Bryan Massey

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

COOPER, Mychal pass incomplete to WALKER, Mark (CROSSLEY, B.), PENALTY SMU pass interference (CROSSLEY, B.) 15 yards to the SMU32, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chance Warren run for no gain to the SMU 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyger Goslin pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 5 yds to the SMU 27

3rd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Carlinos Acie run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 28

4th & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.85

Mark Walker run for 9 yds to the SMU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Chance Warren run for 19 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the Navy 47

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SMU 48

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the SMU 48

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Shane Buechele pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 3 yds to the Navy 49

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Chris Naggar punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mark Walker at the Navy 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyger Goslin pass complete to CJ Williams for 14 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Tyger Goslin run for 8 yds to the Navy 32

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Nelson Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 30

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Navy 31

4th & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.76

Tyger Goslin pass complete to Mark Walker for 4 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

GOSLIN, Tyger pass intercepted by STEPHENS, B. at the SMU35, STEPHENS, B. return to the SMU35, PENALTY SMU pass interference (STEPHENS, B.) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN NAVY, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.12

Tyger Goslin pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 24 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Myles Fells run for 10 yds to the SMU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Chance Warren run for 2 yds to the SMU 14

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyger Goslin pass incomplete to Mark Walker

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyger Goslin pass incomplete to Devin Mathews

4th & 8Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.59

Tyger Goslin pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 14 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the Navy 33

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the Navy 32

4th & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.28

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 8 yds to the Navy 24 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
32 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
31%
13 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
57%
28 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play