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← Back to GamesOct 25, 2020Week 8
CincinnatiCincinnati
42
-Final
13
SMUSMU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

SMU by 3.5

Home Win Probability

SMU 56%

Market (consensus)

SMU -1

Edge: SMU -1 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 25, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
140141442
SMUSMU
0100313

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-147-1410-1410-2110-2813-2813-42
SMUCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUCINSMUPUNT619ydTD1270ydPUNT32ydTD472ydPUNT35ydPUNT617ydTD1783ydTO28ydMISS614ydPUNT3-1ydEND863ydPUNT35ydPUNT4-4ydTD1170ydPUNT3-3ydTD364ydTO428ydPUNT33ydFG1182ydUncategorized210ydDOWNS420ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS1138ydTD191ydDOWNS48ydTD343ydUncategorized33yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and SMU
StatisticCincinnatiSMU
Passing13-2124-46
Pass Yards126215
Rush Yards31388
Total Yards439303
Turnovers21
3rd Down7-137-20
Penalties11-1207-87
Possession27:1532:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Desmond Ridder
13/21, 126 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Desmond Ridder
8 CAR, 179 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Tre Tucker
2 REC, 24 YDS
defense
Jarell White
2 TFL, 1 PD
SMU
passing
Shane Buechele
23/44, 216 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Ulysses Bentley IV
16 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Kylen Granson
4 REC, 68 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.46

Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 7

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the SMU 10

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.29

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 16 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 3 yds to the SMU 29

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Shane Buechele run for 1 yd to the SMU 29 Shane Buechele fumbled, forced by Curtis Brooks, recovered by SMU Alan Ali

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Chris Naggar punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Desmond Ridder run for 7 yds to the Cincy 37

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.51

Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.47

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 19 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 9 yds to the SMU 31

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.31

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 8 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 5 yds to the SMU 18

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Gerrid Doaks run for 9 yds to the SMU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the SMU 7

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Gerrid Doaks run for no gain to the SMU 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 7 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.24

Shane Buechele sacked by Jarell D - White and TEAM for a loss of 11 yards to the SMU 14

2nd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the SMU 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 8 yds to the SMU 27

4th & 8Punt+23 yds

Chris Naggar punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the CINCINNATI 35 SMU Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Bryan Massey) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 2 yds to the SMU 48

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.33

Gerrid Doaks run for 9 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA -0.28

Gerrid Doaks run for 19 yds to the SMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+27 yds

SMU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Gary Wiley) to the SMU 34

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Desmond Ridder run for 15 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 5 yds to the SMU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Chris Naggar punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Phil Thomas at the Cincy 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Charles McClelland run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cincy 23

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.38

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 16 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Desmond Ridder run for 9 yds to the Cincy 48

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.41

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Gerrid Doaks run for no gain to the Cincy 48

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Dylan O'Quinn) to the Cincy 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the SMU 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 9 yds to the SMU 26

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 11 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 38

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ahmad D - Gardner) to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Ulysses Bentley IV run for no gain to the Cincy 47

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the Cincy 44

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Shane Buechele run for 6 yds to the Cincy 38

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.70

Tyler Lavine run for 1 yd to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Lavine run for 3 yds to the Cincy 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 2 yds to the Cincy 32

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 13 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the Cincy 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 7 yds to the Cincy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Lavine run for no gain to the Cincy 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 6 yds to the Cincy 41

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.16

Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 43 Gerrid Doaks fumbled, forced by Junior Aho, recovered by SMU Nelson Paul

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.84

Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 47

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.32

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 15 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 3 yds to the Cincy 29

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Chris Naggar 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Jerome Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 28

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Cincy 28

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Young Jr.

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the SMU 28

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Hayden Howerton) to the SMU 18

1st & 20Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 1 yd to the SMU 19

2nd & 19Penalty+15 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ahmad Gardner) to the SMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Tyler Lavine run for 7 yds to the SMU 41

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.16

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 14 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.15

Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 10 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Roughing Passer (Myjai Sanders) to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Shane Buechele pass complete to Austin Upshaw for 8 yds to the Cincy 12

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 3 yds to the Cincy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Chris Naggar 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 24

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 26

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+16 yds

James Smith punt for 47 yds , Tyler Page returns for 16 yds to the SMU 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Danny Gray

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.51

Shane Buechele run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line SMU Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Page) to the SMU 40

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Ulysses Bentley IV run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 38

3rd & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Shane Buechele pass complete to Ulysses Bentley IV for 1 yd to the SMU 39

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Chris Naggar punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 19 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Charles McClelland run for 7 yds to the SMU 44

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.90

Desmond Ridder run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 47

3rd & 6Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.56

Desmond Ridder run for 24 yds to the SMU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Charles McClelland run for 1 yd to the SMU 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 7 yds to the SMU 15

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 6 yds to the SMU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the SMU 8

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Gerrid Doaks run for 6 yds to the SMU 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the SMU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 2 yds to the SMU 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.33

Shane Buechele sacked by Ethan Tucky for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Chris Naggar punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 36

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+25 ydsPPA +2.01

Jerome Ford run for 25 yds to the SMU 39 Jerome Ford fumbled, recovered by Cincy Jerome Ford for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jordan Jones for 12 yds to the SMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, False Start (Leonard Taylor) to the SMU 32

1st & 15Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.28

Desmond Ridder run for 32 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Lavine run for 4 yds to the Cincy 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for no gain to the Cincy 46

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -1.88

Shane Buechele pass intercepted Ahmad Gardner return for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 37

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Gerrid Doaks run for no gain to the Cincy 37

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the SMU 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Tyler Lavine run for 7 yds to the SMU 20

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.86

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 17 yds to the SMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Personal Foul (Coby Bryant) to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 5 yds to the Cincy 43

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Shane Buechele run for 6 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.51

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 24 yds to the Cincy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Lavine run for 5 yds to the Cincy 8

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Lavine run for no gain to the Cincy 8

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Shane Buechele run for 3 yds to the Cincy 5

4th & 2Field Goal Good+22 yds

Chris Naggar 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 10 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.48

Jerome Ford run for no gain to the Cincy 32 Jerome Ford fumbled, forced by Trevor Denbow, recovered by SMU Brandon Stephens

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Arquon Bush) to the Cincy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (Marcus Brown) to the Cincy 12

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.71

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 14

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 16

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Delay of Game (Desmond Ridder) to the Cincy 11

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce

4th & 11Punt+2 yds

James Smith punt for 48 yds , Tyler Page returns for 2 yds to the SMU 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 4 yds to the SMU 47

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 1 yd to the SMU 48

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.26

Shane Buechele run for 10 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 5 yds to the Cincy 37

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 17 yds to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 25

1st & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Lavine run for 10 yds to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shane Buechele sacked by Marcus Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Marcus Brown) to the Cincy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tyler Page pass incomplete to Shane Buechele

3rd & 20Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.74

Shane Buechele sacked by Myjai Sanders for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 25

4th & 24Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA -0.85

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 16 yds to the Cincy 9

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+91 ydsPPA +6.82

Desmond Ridder run for 91 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Shane Buechele run for 8 yds to the SMU 43

2nd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.35

Shane Buechele pass complete to TaMerik Williams for no gain to the SMU 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Gerrid Doaks run for 5 yds to the SMU 38

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the SMU 35

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +3.57

Gerrid Doaks run for 35 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the SMU 28

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

TaMerik Williams run for 2 yds to the SMU 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Terrance Gipson pass complete to Donald Clay for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 29

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
6 plays
29%
14 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play