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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2020Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

SMU by 31.2

Home Win Probability

SMU 95%

Market (consensus)

SMU -38.5

Edge: Stephen F. Austin +38.5 (7.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 26, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Stephen F. Austin
00707
SMUSMU
22771450

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842566-013-022-029-036-743-750-7
SMUStephen F. Austin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUSFASMUSFASMUSFASMUSFASMUSFASMUSFASMUSFASMUSFASMUSFASMUSFASMUSFASMUTD763ydPUNT31ydTD1069ydSAF3-11ydTD544ydTO519ydPUNT68ydDOWNS1047ydTD1068ydDOWNS838ydEND1-2ydPUNT5-5ydTD653ydTD1475ydPUNT515ydDOWNS47ydDOWNS47ydPUNT31ydTD554ydPUNT32ydTD330ydDOWNS927ydEND38yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stephen F. Austin and SMU
StatisticStephen F. AustinSMU
Passing16-2716-27
Pass Yards165172
Rush Yards51260
Total Yards216432
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-159-13
Penalties3-357-55
Possession34:2525:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stephen F. Austin
passing
Trae Self
14/23, 133 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jaquarion Turner
24 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Jeremiah Miller
4 REC, 41 YDS
defense
SMU
passing
Shane Buechele
14/23, 141 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
TJ McDaniel
17 CAR, 104 YDS
receiving
Kylen Granson
5 REC, 38 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

TJ McDaniel run for 1 yd to the SMU 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.26

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 18 yds to the SFA 44 for a 1ST down SFA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

TJ McDaniel run for 2 yds to the SFAus 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 6 yds to the SFAus 36

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.74

TJ McDaniel run for 3 yds to the SFAus 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 33 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.06

Josh McGowen run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 27

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh McGowen run for 3 yds to the SFAus 30

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Josh McGowen run for no gain to the SFAus 30

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

TJ McDaniel run for 1 yd to the SMU 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Danny Gray

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.45

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 11 yds to the SMU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TJ McDaniel run for 5 yds to the SMU 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr., broken up by Willie Roberts

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

BUECHELE, Shane pass complete to RICE, Rashee for 25 yards to the SFAFB27 (Harmon, Bruce), PENALTY SMU illegal formation 5 yards to the SMU43, NO PLAY.

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

BUECHELE, Shane pass incomplete to RICE, Rashee (Harmon, Bruce), PENALTY SFAFB pass interference (Harmon, Bruce) 15 yards to the SFAFB42, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyler Lavine run for no gain to the SFAus 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 16 yds to the SFAus 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 11 yds to the SFAus 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 4 yds to the SFAus 11

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.58

Shane Buechele pass complete to Danny Gray for 11 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Trae Self pass complete to Larry Jones III for 3 yds Larry Jones III fumbled, forced by Trevor Denbow, recovered by SFAus Larry Jones III

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for no gain to the SFAus 25

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Trae Self sacked by Elijah Chatman for a loss of 6 yards to the SFAus 19

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

SFA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 14

4th & 21Blocked Punt0 yds

Max Quick punt blocked by Keke Burns for a SAFETY blocked by Keke Burns for a SAFETY for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.78

TJ McDaniel run for 23 yds to the SFAus 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Shane Buechele sacked by BJ Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 7 yds to the SFAus 16

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 12 yds to the SFAus 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 9

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 9 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 9 yds to the SFAus 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaquarion Turner run for 5 yds to the SFAus 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jaquarion Turner run for 4 yds to the SFAus 43

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SFAus 44

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return+19 ydsPPA -1.10

Trae Self pass intercepted Brandon Crossley return for 4 yds to the SMU 48 SMU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the SMU 41

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TJ McDaniel run for 5 yds to the SMU 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

TJ McDaniel run for 3 yds to the SMU 49

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.23

TJ McDaniel run for 2 yds to the SFAus 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Shane Buechele sacked by Larron Cox for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 45

2nd & 16Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Lavine for 4 yds to the SMU 49

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+30 yds

Chris Naggar punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Larry Jones III at the SFA 16 SMU Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.57

Trae Self pass complete to Remi Simmons for 19 yds to the SFAus 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SFAus 41

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaquarion Turner run for 5 yds to the SFAus 46

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.75

Jaquarion Turner run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tre'Jon Henderson run for 1 yd to the SMU 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.57

Trae Self pass complete to Remi Simmons for 10 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.10

Trae Self sacked by Will Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 45

2nd & 16Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.92

Trae Self pass complete to Tre'Jon Henderson for 14 yds to the SMU 31

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Trae Self pass incomplete to Remi Simmons

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.76

Trae Self run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 17 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

TJ McDaniel run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.72

TJ McDaniel run for 12 yds to the SFAus 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Shane Buechele pass complete to Reggie Roberson Jr. for 12 yds to the SFAus 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tommy McIntyre for 6 yds to the SFAus 20

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.48

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 6 yds to the SFAus 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Lavine run for 8 yds to the SFAus 6

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.59

Danny Gray run for 6 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Trae Self sacked by Junior Aho for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 24

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jaquarion Turner run for no gain to the SFAus 24

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

JaQuarion, Turn rush for 2 yards to the SFAFB26 (ROBINSON, D.), PENALTY SMU substitution infraction 5 yards to the SFAFB29, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 8 yds to the SFAus 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Trae Self pass complete to Chad Aune for 17 yds to the SMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Trae Self pass incomplete to Chad Aune

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Trae Self pass incomplete to Lawton Rikel

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 9 yds to the SMU 37

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.34

Trae Self pass incomplete to Remi Simmons

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Trae Self pass complete to Xavier Gipson for 11 yds to the SFAus 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.78

Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 6 yards to the SFAus 30

2nd & 16Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 28

3rd & 18Rush-12 ydsPPA -0.14

Jaquarion Turner run for 3 yds to the SFAus 31 SFA Penalty, illegal block (Larry Jones III) to the SFAus 16

3rd & 30Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Trae Self run for 4 yds to the SFAus 20

4th & 26Punt+11 yds

Max Quick punt for 44 yds , Danny Gray returns for 11 yds to the SMU 47

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.40

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 28 yds to the SFAus 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.16

TJ McDaniel run for 12 yds to the SFAus 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

TJ McDaniel run for 4 yds to the SFAus 9

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.41

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 6 yds to the SFAus 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty-10 yds

LAVINE, Tyler rush for 3 yards to the SFAFB0, clock 09:46, PENALTY SMU illegal block (GRAY, Danny) 10 yards to the SFAFB13, NO PLAY.

1st & 13Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.72

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 13 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaquarion Turner run for 5 yds to the SFAus 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Jaquarion Turner run for 6 yds to the SFAus 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tre'Jon Henderson run for 3 yds to the SFAus 39

2nd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.37

Tre'Jon Henderson run for 21 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jaquarion Turner run for 6 yds to the SMU 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 6 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 32 Jaquarion Turner fumbled, forced by Gary Wiley, recovered by SFAus Zach Ingram

2nd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.76

Tre'Jon Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SMU 35 Tre'Jon Henderson fumbled, recovered by SFAus Tre'Jon Henderson

3rd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.81

Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 17 yds to the SMU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Trae Self pass complete to Larry Jones III for 4 yds to the SMU 14

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 16

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Trae Self pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 9 yds to the SMU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SMU 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Trae Self run for 6 yds for a TD (Chris Campos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tommy McIntyre

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.06

TJ McDaniel run for 18 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TJ McDaniel run for 5 yds to the SMU 44

2nd & 5Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.22

Danny Gray run for a loss of 8 yards to the SMU 36

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Chris Naggar punt for 37 yds , Larry Jones III returns for no gain to the SFAus 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SFAus 28

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jaquarion Turner run for 6 yds to the SFAus 34

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Trae Self pass incomplete to Jaquarion Turner

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Trae Self pass incomplete to Jeremiah Miller

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BUECHELE, Shane pass complete to RICE, Rashee for 34 yards to the SFAFB0, clock 13:16, PENALTY SMU holding (ROBERSON JR, Ro) 10 yards to the SFAFB44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.73

Ulysses Bentley IV run for 15 yds to the SFAus 29

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

TJ McDaniel run for 2 yds to the SFAus 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.98

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Reggie Roberson Jr.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Trae Self pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SFAus 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Trae Self pass incomplete to Larry Jones III

4th & 9Punt+15 yds

Max Quick punt for 41 yds , Danny Gray returns for 15 yds to the SMU 46

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TJ McDaniel run for 5 yds to the SFAus 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Terrance Gipson run for 2 yds to the SFAus 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.16

Terrance Gipson pass complete to Keke Burns for 28 yds to the SFAus 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.14

TaMerik Williams run for 16 yds to the SFAus 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Terrance Gipson run for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaquarion Turner run for 2 yds to the SFAus 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jaquarion Turner run for no gain to the SFAus 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Preston Weeks pass incomplete to Chad Aune, broken up by Roderick Roberson Jr.

4th & 8Punt+43 yds

Max Quick punt for 46 yds , Bryan Massey returns for 43 yds to the SFAus 30

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.28

TaMerik Williams run for 17 yds to the SFAus 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 yds

Terrance Gipson run for 8 yds to the SFAus 5 SFA Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the SFAus 5

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.09

TaMerik Williams run for 5 yds for a TD (Chris Naggar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jaquarion Turner run for 1 yd to the SFAus 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.76

Preston Weeks pass complete to Ty Love for 26 yds to the SFAus 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tre'Jon Henderson run for 4 yds to the SMU 49

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Tre'Jon Henderson run for 1 yd to the SMU 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.88

Preston Weeks pass complete to Carson Spence for 6 yds to the SMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the SMU 44

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Jaquarion Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 45

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Preston Weeks pass incomplete to Tre'Jon Henderson, broken up by Preston Ellison

4th & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.38

Preston Weeks sacked by DeVere Levelston for a loss of 8 yards to the SFAus 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Terrance Gipson pass complete to Matt Dorrity for 3 yds to the SFAus 44

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Terrance Gipson run for 6 yds to the SFAus 38

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 39

Situational Analysis

Stephen F. Austin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
25 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
28 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
67%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play