Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 12, 2020Week 15
NavyNavy
0
-Final
15
ArmyArmy

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 14.4

Home Win Probability

Army 79%

Market (consensus)

Army -7.5

Edge: Army -7.5 (6.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
00000
ArmyArmy
0301215

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-010-015-0
ArmyNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMNAVARMPUNT617ydPUNT826ydPUNT35ydPUNT33ydFG628ydPUNT39ydPUNT33ydPUNT34ydMISS723ydPUNT35ydEND1-1ydDOWNS664ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT538ydPUNT36ydPUNT614ydTO1-2ydTD513ydPUNT30ydPUNT412ydSAF2-14ydFG6-1ydDOWNS49ydEND2-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Army
StatisticNavyArmy
Passing1-71-1
Pass Yards928
Rush Yards108134
Total Yards117162
Turnovers10
3rd Down1-114-14
Penalties6-534-20
Possession24:4435:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Dalen Morris
1/3, 9 YDS
rushing
Xavier Arline
17 CAR, 109 YDS
receiving
Mark Walker
1 REC, 9 YDS
defense
Army
passing
Tyhier Tyler
1/1, 28 YDS
rushing
Tyhier Tyler
26 CAR, 96 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyrell Robinson
1 REC, 28 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the Army 29

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Tyhier Tyler run for 11 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the Army 45

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 40

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 42

4th & 8Punt+2 yds

Zach Harding punt for 44 yds , Mark Walker returns for 2 yds to the Navy 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the Navy 21

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the Navy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the Navy 32

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 34

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 42

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Navy 42

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+12 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 35 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for 12 yds to the Army 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 37

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the Army 41

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 40

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Zach Harding punt for 41 yds , Mark Walker returns for 4 yds to the Navy 23

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 22

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Xavier Arline run for 9 yds to the Navy 31

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 26

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Xavier Arline run for no gain to the Navy 26

4th & 7Punt+22 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the ARMY 38 NAVY Penalty, kick catching interference (-14 Yards) to the Navy 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the Navy 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.69

Tyhier Tyler pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 28 yds to the Navy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Sandon McCoy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 19

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jemel Jones run for 1 yd to the Navy 18

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.04

Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 20

4th & 12Field Goal Good+37 yds

Quinn Maretzki 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Xavier Arline run for 2 yds to the Navy 28

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Xavier Arline run for 6 yds to the Navy 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the Army 36

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.02

Sandon McCoy run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 34

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 36

4th & 7Punt-4 yds

Zach Harding punt for 49 yds , Mark Walker returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 11

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jamale Carothers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 10

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Navy 14

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 15

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Navy 43

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Navy 41

3rd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.87

Tyhier Tyler run for 13 yds to the Navy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Navy 23

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Navy 22

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Quinn Maretzki 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Xavier Arline run for 6 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Xavier Arline run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 27 Xavier Arline fumbled, recovered by Navy Xavier Arline

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Xavier Arline pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 50 yds, downed at the Army 23

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Xavier Arline run for 11 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+52 ydsPPA +2.97

Xavier Arline run for 52 yds to the Army 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Army 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Nelson Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the Army 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Army 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Sandon McCoy run for no gain to the Army 1

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 3

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 7

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Xavier Arline pass incomplete to Mark Walker

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Kip Frankland) to the Navy 40

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 42

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Xavier Arline pass incomplete to Mark Walker

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 44 yds, downed at the Army 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 16

2nd & 8Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.56

Tyhier Tyler run for 28 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 47

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Ay'Juan Marshall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 46

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brandon Walters run for 6 yds to the Navy 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 40 yds, downed at the Navy 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Navy 8

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Xavier Arline run for 5 yds to the Navy 13

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Xavier Arline run for 1 yd to the Navy 14

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the Navy 47

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jakobi Buchanan run for no gain to the Navy 47

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -2.90

Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 10 yards to the Navy 49 Tyhier Tyler fumbled, recovered by Army

2nd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Sandon McCoy run for 8 yds to the Navy 41

3rd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Navy 36

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 15

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -0.38

CJ Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 13 CJ Williams fumbled, recovered by Army Jon Rhattigan

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Navy 10

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyhier Tyler run for 6 yds to the Navy 4

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.27

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Navy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, false start (JB Hunter) to the Navy 7

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Navy 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 6Rush-8 ydsPPA -1.08

Chance Warren run for a loss of 8 yards to the Navy 21 NAVY Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined

3rd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 25

4th & 10Punt+18 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 34 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 24 NAVY Penalty, personal foul (-16 Yards) to the Navy 45

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

A.J. Howard run for 10 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, false start (A.J. Howard) to the Navy 40

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Navy 38

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Navy 35

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

A.J. Howard run for 2 yds to the Navy 33

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Xavier Arline run for no gain to the Navy 14

2nd & 10Safety-14 ydsPPA -1.92

Mark Walker run for a loss of 14 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Navy 19

3rd & 5Penalty+8 yds

NAVY Penalty, personal foul (Kevin Brennan) to the Navy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Navy 8

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Navy 17

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 9 ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 9Rush-14 ydsPPA -2.88

TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the Navy 23

4th & 23Field Goal Good+40 yds

Quinn Maretzki 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Dalen Morris pass complete to Mark Walker for 9 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to CJ Williams

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Navy 34

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to CJ Williams

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 35

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Navy 40

2nd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 41

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
15 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
5%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
21%
14 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
25%
8 plays
100%
1 play
4th