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← Back to GamesNov 21, 2020Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

UTSA by 1.7

Home Win Probability

Southern Miss 46%

Market (consensus)

Southern Miss +9

Edge: Southern Miss +9 (7.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 21, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UTSAUTSA
0914023
Southern MissSouthern Miss
373720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-23-910-910-1610-2313-2320-23
Southern MissUTSA

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSSMUTSPUNT32ydPUNT3-4ydFG1066ydTO34ydDOWNS933ydPUNT618ydSAF3-29ydPUNT515ydPUNT38ydTD849ydTD875ydPUNT518ydEND1-1ydTD480ydTO543ydTD948ydPUNT33ydPUNT417ydFG879ydDOWNS832ydTD357ydPUNT36ydPUNT1123ydEND826yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UTSA and Southern Miss
StatisticUTSASouthern Miss
Passing12-1922-39
Pass Yards71272
Rush Yards23375
Total Yards304347
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-146-15
Penalties5-515-44
Possession31:3028:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UTSA
passing
Frank Harris
12/19, 71 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Sincere McCormick
32 CAR, 173 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Joshua Cephus
5 REC, 44 YDS
defense
Southern Miss
passing
Tate Whatley
22/39, 272 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Frank Gore Jr.
13 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Tim Jones
5 REC, 65 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tate Whatley pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Tate Whatley sacked by Trumane Bell II for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 29 yds, downed at the TexSA 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Frank Harris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.34

Frank Harris pass complete to Brennon Dingle for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 40

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Frank Harris pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tate Whatley run for 3 yds to the SoMis 17

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.14

Tate Whatley pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 24 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

WHATLEY, Tate sideline pass complete to JONES, Tim for 3 yards to the UTSA49, out-of-bounds (WILEY, Charles), PENALTY UTSA offside defense (DANTZLER, L.) 5 yards to the UTSA47, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSA 45

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.44

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.15

Tate Whatley pass complete to Tim Jones for 22 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Tate Whatley pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 8 yds to the TexSA 16

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.06

Tate Whatley run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 20

4th & 6Field Goal Good+37 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 29

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Frank Harris pass intercepted Malik Shorts return for 3 yds to the TexSA 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Antoine Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexSA 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.26

Tate Whatley pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 18 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Dee Baker run for no gain to the TexSA 15

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.00

Tate Whatley pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 4 yds to the TexSA 11 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (6 Yards) to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the TexSA 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tate Whatley pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 5 yds to the TexSA 4

3rd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Tate Whatley pass complete to Kevin Perkins for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 5

4th & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -3.95

Briggs Bourgeois run for no gain to the TexSA 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 9

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 10

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.59

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 21

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 24

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Brenden Brady run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 23

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 52 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 4 yds to the SoMis 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Dee Baker

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 28

3rd & 11Penalty-14 yds

WHATLEY, Tate sideline pass complete to BROWNLEE, Jason for 16 yards to the USM44, PENALTY USM pass interference (ROBINSON, A.) 14 yards to the USM14, NO PLAY.

3rd & 25Safety0 ydsPPA -1.62

Tate Whatley sacked by Jamal Ligon for a loss of 12 yards for a SAFETY Tate Whatley fumbled, recovered by SoMis , return for 0 yards for a SAFETY

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Brenden Brady run for 5 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the SoMis 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari Franklin

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 35 yds, downed at the SoMis 4

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the SoMis 5 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the SoMis 6

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Tate Whatley pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 6 yds to the SoMis 12

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Frank Harris run for 4 yds to the SoMis 45

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.80

Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the SoMis 34

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

McCORMICK, S. rush up middle for 4 yards to the USM30 (SHORTS, Malik), PENALTY USM offside defense (BARNES, Tyler) 5 yards to the USM29, NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.39

Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the SoMis 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the SoMis 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Frank Harris pass complete to Brennon Dingle for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 24

3rd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 18 yds to the SoMis 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26

2nd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.57

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Antonio Parks) to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Tim Jones, broken up by Clarence Hicks

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSA 49

3rd & 6Penalty+10 yds

WHATLEY, Tate RO pass incomplete to BROWNLEE, Jason, QB hurry by BELL, Trumane, PENALTY UTSA holding 10 yards to the UTSA39, 1ST DOWN USM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Antoine Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Tate Whatley pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 8 yds to the TexSA 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Tate Whatley pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 18 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Tate Whatley pass complete to Tim Jones for 13 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sincere McCormick run for 5 yds to the TexSA 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Frank Harris run for no gain to the TexSA 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 7 yds to the TexSA 42

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 43

4th & 2Punt+2 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 54 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 2 yds to the SoMis 5

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.32

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 4

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the TexSA 28

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Sincere McCormick run for 69 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Tate Whatley pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 30 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Frank Gore Jr. run for 12 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Tim Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Tate Whatley pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 1 yd to the TexSA 32

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+12 ydsPPA -2.81

Tate Whatley pass intercepted Rashad Wisdom return for 27 yds to the SoMis 5 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Gerquan Scott) to the SoMis 48

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the SoMis 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 3 yds to the SoMis 42

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.60

Brenden Brady run for 11 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 9 yds to the SoMis 22

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.43

Frank Harris run for 6 yds to the SoMis 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the SoMis 10

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.45

Brenden Brady run for 9 yds to the SoMis 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the SoMis 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dee Baker run for 3 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Grayson Gunter

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Tim Jones, broken up by Charles Wiley

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 44 yds, downed at the TexSA 28

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.58

Sincere McCormick run for 17 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 46

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Brenden Brady run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 45

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Frank Harris pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 11

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Frank Gore Jr. run for 9 yds to the SoMis 20

2nd & 1Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.54

Frank Gore Jr. run for 24 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Tate Whatley pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 16 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.76

Tate Whatley pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 31 yds to the TexSA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Tim Jones

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Darius Maberry

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 10 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Sincere McCormick run for 9 yds to the TexSA 47

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 49

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kaedric Cobbs run for 4 yds to the SoMis 47

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Frank Harris run for 4 yds to the SoMis 43

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.76

Sincere McCormick run for no gain to the SoMis 43

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tate Whatley run for 6 yds to the SoMis 49

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Demarcus Jones

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +5.32

Tate Whatley pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 51 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 22

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds to the TexSA 29

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Frank Harris pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 55 yds, downed at the SoMis 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tate Whatley pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 4 yds to the SoMis 20

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.65

Tate Whatley pass complete to Tim Jones for 13 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Tim Jones, broken up by Trevor Harmanson

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.92

Kevin Perkins run for 10 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tate Whatley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (Khalique Washington) to the SoMis 38

2nd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Tate Whatley pass complete to Tim Jones for 10 yds to the SoMis 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.08

Tate Whatley pass complete to Tim Jones for 7 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tate Whatley pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 3 yds to the TexSA 42

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Cole Cavallo

3rd & 7Pass Reception-19 ydsPPA -2.47

Tate Whatley pass complete to Tate Whatley for a loss of 19 yards to the SoMis 39

4th & 26Punt+10 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 41 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 10 yds to the TexSA 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds to the TexSA 38

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 39

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.72

Frank Harris run for 9 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Sincere McCormick run for 7 yds to the SoMis 43

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.76

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 43

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 44

Situational Analysis

UTSA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
33%
24 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
47%
15 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play