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← Back to GamesNov 14, 2020Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Kentucky by 8.7

Home Win Probability

Western Kentucky 68%

Market (consensus)

Western Kentucky -7.5

Edge: Western Kentucky -7.5 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 14, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
00077
Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky
730010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407147-010-010-7
Western KentuckySouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMWKSMWKSMWKSMWKSMWKWKSMWKSMWKSMWKSMWKSMWKPUNT426ydTD991ydPUNT39ydFG1865ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT4-5ydMISS766ydPUNT36ydPUNT621ydEND1047ydPUNT37ydPUNT56ydDOWNS622ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT728ydTD1290ydDOWNS853ydPUNT529ydPUNT30ydDOWNS43ydUncategorized00yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and Western Kentucky
StatisticSouthern MissWestern Kentucky
Passing6-1419-30
Pass Yards67183
Rush Yards154121
Total Yards221304
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-126-16
Penalties1-153-25
Possession25:1834:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Trey Lowe III
6/14, 67 YDS
rushing
Kevin Perkins
8 CAR, 71 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Antoine Robinson
2 REC, 25 YDS
defense
Western Kentucky
passing
Tyrrell Pigrome
19/30, 183 YDS
rushing
Jakairi Moses
12 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Xavier Lane
5 REC, 90 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Frank Gore Jr. run for 19 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 49

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

LOWE, Trey pass incomplete to JONES, Tim, PENALTY WKU offside (JONES, J.) 5 yards to the WKU46, NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier Lane, broken up by Averie Habas

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.16

Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 8

3rd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.31

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 18 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 11 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Gaej Walker run for 9 yds to the WKent 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.24

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 47 yds to the SoMis 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 5 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 25

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 31

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Trey Lowe run for 1 yd to the SoMis 32

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 35

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 5 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 9 yds to the WKent 49

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.40

Gaej Walker run for no gain to the WKent 49

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 6 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley, broken up by Ky'el Hemby

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 4 yds to the SoMis 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 5 yds to the SoMis 36

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.63

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 2 yds to the SoMis 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 8 yds to the SoMis 26

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the SoMis 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyrrell Pigrome run for no gain to the SoMis 25

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 5 yds to the SoMis 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 12 yds to the SoMis 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the SoMis 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Gaej Walker

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr., broken up by Natrone Brooks

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Brayden Narveson 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 25

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Trey Lowe sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 22 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declined

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.15

Trey Lowe sacked by Kyle Bailey for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 19

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Tinsley at the WKent 42

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+19 ydsPPA +1.42

Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 43 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, recovered by WKent Tyrrell Pigrome for a 1ST down , return for 19 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Jakairi Moses run for 7 yds to the SoMis 36

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 37

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -2.67

Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Camron Harrell for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 37 Tyrrell Pigrome fumbled, , return for 0 yards

4th & 30Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 10

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.65

Frank Gore Jr. run for 14 yds to the SoMis 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.05

Trey Lowe pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 23 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.38

Trey Lowe run for 27 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 27

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the WKent 26

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the WKent 24

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Craig Burt Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Gaej Walker run for 6 yds to the WKent 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Gaej Walker

4th & 4Punt+8 yds

John Haggerty punt for 52 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 8 yds to the SoMis 26

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Dee Baker run for 8 yds to the SoMis 34

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Dee Baker run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 31 Dee Baker fumbled, forced by Antwon Kincade,

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.84

Trey Lowe pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 8 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee, broken up by Trae Meadows

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 43

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Trey Lowe run for 4 yds to the SoMis 47

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Tinsley at the WKent 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 3 yds to the WKent 14

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 5 yds to the WKent 19

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.71

Gaej Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Gaej Walker

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 9 yds to the WKent 33

3rd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.41

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 7 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier Lane

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 18 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Xavier Lane

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 3 yds to the WKent 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 11

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 18

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.10

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.43

Trey Lowe sacked by Ricky Barber for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 17

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Tim Jones

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Tinsley at the WKent 40

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 9 yds to the WKent 49

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 4 yds to the SoMis 43

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.98

Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 47

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jakairi Moses for 6 yds to the SoMis 41

4th & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -1.54

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 3 yds to the SoMis 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Trey Lowe pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 2 yds to the SoMis 41

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.94

Trey Lowe sacked by Ricky Barber for a loss of 8 yards to the SoMis 33

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Tinsley at the WKent 30

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Jakairi Moses run for 21 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jakairi Moses run for 5 yds to the SoMis 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Joshua Simon for 4 yds to the SoMis 40

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.75

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the SoMis 35

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the SoMis 34

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.45

Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Zach Portlock for a loss of 8 yards to the SoMis 42

4th & 15Punt0 yds

John Haggerty punt for 32 yds, downed at the SoMis 10

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Trey Lowe run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 8

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Trey Lowe run for 1 yd to the SoMis 9

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Trey Lowe pass complete to Kevin Perkins for 16 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Trey Lowe pass complete to Tim Jones for 7 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kevin Perkins run for 6 yds to the SoMis 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43

3rd & 2Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Kevin Perkins run for 15 yds to the WESTERNKY 42 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kyle Bailey) to the WKent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the WKent 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Trey Lowe pass complete to Tim Jones for 11 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kevin Perkins run for 7 yds to the WKent 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Perkins run for 3 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.24

Kevin Perkins run for 6 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Xavier Lane for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PIGROME, T. pass incomplete to BURT JR, C., PENALTY USM pass interference (HARRELL, Camron) 15 yards to the USM49, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the SoMis 48

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Mason Brooks) to the WKent 47

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Jakairi Moses run for 6 yds to the SoMis 47

3rd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.64

Tyrrell Pigrome run for 16 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Malik Staples run for 3 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Eriq Kitchen for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 31

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Malik Staples run for 9 yds to the SoMis 22

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.54

Malik Staples run for no gain to the SoMis 22

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Trey Lowe run for 7 yds to the SoMis 29

2nd & 3Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.53

Kevin Perkins run for 31 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the WKent 39

2nd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.82

Trey Lowe sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 49

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Tim Jones, broken up by Dionté Ruffin

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Tinsley at the WKent 13

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jakairi Moses run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 11

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 10

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the WKent 13

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

John Haggerty punt for 49 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for 12 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Trey Lowe run for 4 yds to the WKent 46

2nd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Trey Lowe sacked by Juwuan Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Cole Cavallo

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Cole Cavallo

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
21 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Western Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
27 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play