Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 24, 2020Week 8

House Prediction

Model Margin

Liberty by 18.8

Home Win Probability

Liberty 85%

Market (consensus)

Liberty -14

Edge: Liberty -14 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 24, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Southern MissSouthern Miss
7021735
LibertyLiberty
142171456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-721-735-735-2135-2842-2856-2856-35
LibertySouthern Miss

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMLIBSMLIBSMLIBSMLIBSMLIBSMLIBSMSMLIBSMLIBSMLIBSMLIBSMLIBSMLIBSMTD775ydTD365ydPUNT624ydTD1288ydPUNT417ydTD1383ydDOWNS49ydTD435ydEND30ydTD644ydEND18ydTO2-9ydTD116ydTD835ydPUNT733ydTD1394ydTD675ydPUNT30ydPUNT413ydTO427ydMISS40ydDOWNS48ydTD138ydDOWNS541ydTD763ydTD567yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Southern Miss and Liberty
StatisticSouthern MissLiberty
Passing16-2724-32
Pass Yards201345
Rush Yards215193
Total Yards416538
Turnovers11
3rd Down6-144-9
Penalties5-423-35
Possession25:5732:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Southern Miss
passing
Tate Whatley
15/26, 188 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Frank Gore Jr.
15 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
Jason Brownlee
5 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Liberty
passing
Malik Willis
24/31, 345 YDS, 6 TD
rushing
Malik Willis
12 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Demario Douglas
6 REC, 115 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Anthony Butler
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Tate Whatley pass complete to Demarcus Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.09

Tate Whatley pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 17 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.11

Tate Whatley pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 29 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the Liber 32

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tate Whatley run for 1 yd to the Liber 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.38

Tate Whatley pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 21 yds to the Liber 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Tate Whatley run for 10 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 17 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 9 yds to the SoMis 39

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +2.65

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 39 yds for a TD, (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Frank Gore Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoMis 34

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Tate Whatley pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 15 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the Liber 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.29

Tate Whatley pass complete to Cole Cavallo for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 45

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Khalique Washington) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Antoine Robinson

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 12

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 15

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 17

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

Willis, Malik pass incomplete to Huntley, Johnny, PENALTY SOUMISS holding (Harrell, Camron) 10 yards to the LIBERTY27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LIBERTY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.86

Malik Willis run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the SoMis 45

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the SoMis 48

2nd & 18Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.98

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 14 yds to the SoMis 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 4 yds to the SoMis 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SoMis 40

1st & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 12 yds to the SoMis 28

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.58

Malik Willis run for 16 yds to the SoMis 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Tate Whatley pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 11 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 38

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tate Whatley run for 4 yds to the SoMis 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Grayson Gunter

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 17

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Malik Willis pass complete to Peytton Pickett for no gain to the Liber 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.10

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 32 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.02

Malik Willis run for 18 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Shedro Louis run for 8 yds to the SoMis 25

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Malik Willis pass incomplete to DJ Stubbs

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 7 yds to the SoMis 16

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Shedro Louis run for no gain to the SoMis 16

4th & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the SoMis 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Malik Willis sacked by Terence Cherry for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 11

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 11 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tate Whatley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Brandon Hayes run for 9 yds to the SoMis 35

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tate Whatley run for no gain to the SoMis 35

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the SoMis 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 8 yds to the SoMis 27

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.18

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 9 yds to the SoMis 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Malik Willis pass complete to Chris Barrett for 18 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

2nd & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Alex Barbir kickoff for 65 yds , Antoine Robinson return for 14 yds to the SoMis 14 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Illegal Block (7 Yards) to the SoMis 7

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Tate Whatley pass complete to Cole Cavallo for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 6

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Tate Whatley run for 6 yds to the SoMis 12

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Grayson Gunter

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 7

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 37 yds , Demario Douglas returns for no gain to the SoMis 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.60

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 14 yds to the SoMis 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Joshua Mack run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 32

2nd & 12Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.47

Shedro Louis run for 25 yds to the SoMis 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the SoMis 6

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Shedro Louis run for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 10

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 10 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Frank Gore Jr. run for 8 yds to the SoMis 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 27

2nd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.82

Malik Willis sacked by Santrell Latham for a loss of 11 yards to the Liber 16 Malik Willis fumbled, forced by Santrell Latham, recovered by SoMis

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Tate Whatley run for 16 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Antoine Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Frank Gore Jr. run for 8 yds to the Liber 27

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the Liber 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the Liber 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.61

Tate Whatley pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 16 yds to the Liber 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Darius Maberry run for 1 yd to the Liber 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Darius Maberry run for no gain to the Liber 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tate Whatley run for 1 yd for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 8 yds to the Liber 33

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Shedro Louis run for 16 yds to the Liber 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Peytton Pickett run for 7 yds to the SoMis 44

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.08

Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the SoMis 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Chris Ferguson pass incomplete to Kevin Shaa

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.01

Malik Willis sacked by Josh Ratcliff for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 42

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 36 yds, downed at the SoMis 6

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Frank Gore Jr. run for 10 yds to the SoMis 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Brandon Hayes

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.59

Tate Whatley pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 35 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tate Whatley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the Liber 39

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.41

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Kevin Perkins run for 11 yds to the Liber 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the Liber 22

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.59

Tate Whatley run for 19 yds to the Liber 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kevin Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Grayson Gunter

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Tate Whatley run for 4 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 3 yds to the Liber 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Malik Willis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.66

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 17 yds to the Liber 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 8 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 42 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Antoine Robinson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tate Whatley run for 1 yd to the SoMis 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.19

Tate Whatley pass complete to Demarcus Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 23

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 44

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Malik Willis run for 13 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Shedro Louis run for no gain to the SoMis 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for no gain to the SoMis 43

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Malik Willis run for no gain to the SoMis 43

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 8

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.27

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 13 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, Personal Foul (Ralfs Rusins) to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Tate Whatley pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 3 yds to the SoMis 31

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 35

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return-8 ydsPPA -1.47

Tate Whatley pass intercepted Jimmy Faulks return for 7 yds to the SoMis 42 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the SoMis 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Malik Willis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the SoMis 25

3rd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.81

Malik Willis sacked by Santrell Latham for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 30

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Alex Barbir 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Dee Baker run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 27

2nd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.47

Tate Whatley sacked by Tre'Shaun Clark for a loss of 9 yards to the SoMis 18 Tate Whatley fumbled, recovered by SoMis

3rd & 22Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Tate Whatley pass complete to Kevin Perkins for 7 yds to the SoMis 25

4th & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.34

Griffin Fleming pass complete to Natrone Brooks for 13 yds to the SoMis 38

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Malik Willis run for 38 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.86

Darius Maberry run for 34 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tate Whatley pass incomplete to Darius Maberry

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Darius Maberry run for 5 yds to the Liber 39

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Darius Maberry run for 3 yds to the Liber 36

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.30

Tate Whatley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 37

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Liber 37

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+46 ydsPPA +3.70

Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 46 yds to the SoMis 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the SoMis 6

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Malik Willis pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 5 yds to the SoMis 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Joshua Mack run for no gain to the SoMis 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Joshua Mack run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Kevin Perkins run for 15 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Kevin Perkins run for 8 yds to the Liber 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.52

Tate Whatley pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 25 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Darius Maberry run for 2 yds to the Liber 17

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.80

Tate Whatley pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 17 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

Situational Analysis

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
45%
29 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
62%
13 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays