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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2020Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

UAB by 5.1

Home Win Probability

South Alabama 34%

Market (consensus)

South Alabama +7.5

Edge: South Alabama +7.5 (2.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UABUAB
141401442
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
0100010

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-1410-2110-2810-3510-42
South AlabamaUAB

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UABSAUABSAUABSASAUABSAUABSAUABSASAUABUABSAUABSAUABSAUABSATD480ydPUNT515ydTD1276ydPUNT610ydPUNT37ydTD570ydFG528ydTD775ydMISS1146ydTD671ydPUNT421ydPUNT3-2ydEND124ydPUNT525ydTO615ydTO610ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT829ydDOWNS857ydTD963ydTO421ydTD648ydEND722yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UAB and South Alabama
StatisticUABSouth Alabama
Passing18-2813-28
Pass Yards319165
Rush Yards190147
Total Yards509312
Turnovers12
3rd Down10-163-11
Penalties11-1222-30
Possession34:3425:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UAB
passing
Bryson Lucero
18/28, 319 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Spencer Brown
21 CAR, 106 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Austin Watkins
7 REC, 183 YDS, 1 TD
defense
South Alabama
passing
Chance Lovertich
13/28, 165 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Carlos Davis
17 CAR, 105 YDS
receiving
Jalen Tolbert
3 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Riley Cole
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +3.70

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins for 56 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the SAlab 20

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the SAlab 15

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.64

Spencer Brown 15 Yd Run (Matthew Quinn Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the SAlab 18

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.10

Carlos Davis run for 11 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Kawaan Baker run for 2 yds to the SAlab 31

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 9 yds to the UAB 33

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.25

Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 33

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Spencer Brown run for 10 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.49

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins for 22 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the SAlab 26

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 27

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Bryson Lucero run for 1 yd to the SAlab 26

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.07

Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the SAlab 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the SAlab 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Spencer Brown 1 Yd Run (Matthew Quinn Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Carlos Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 23

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 26

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Chance Lovertich run for 11 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.84

Carlos Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 35

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker

4th & 12Punt+16 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 45 yds , Myron Mitchell returns for 16 yds to the UAB 36

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 34

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Bryson Lucero pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.43

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 9 yds to the UAB 43

4th & 3Punt+27 yds

Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds, downed at the SOUTHALA 15 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyle Harrell) to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 30

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.66

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 29 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.88

Jalen Tolbert 38 Yd pass from Chance Lovertich (Diego Guajardo Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 yds

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 14 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jalen Rayam) to the UAB 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the UAB 13

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Caullin Lacy run for no gain to the UAB 13

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+31 yds

Diego Guajardo 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Trea Shropshire

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Hayden Pittman

3rd & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +4.12

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins for 39 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the SAlab 29

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Spencer Brown 20 Yd Run (Matthew Quinn Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker

2nd & 10Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.49

Carlos Davis run for 33 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.02

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 47

2nd & 15Penalty+11 yds

Lovertich, Chance pass incomplete to Cole, Riley, PENALTY UAB pass interference (Harris, Brontae) 11 yards to the UAB36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUTHALA.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

AJ Phillips run for 1 yd to the UAB 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

AJ Phillips run for 7 yds to the UAB 28

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.29

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Trent Tyre for 3 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 27

2nd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.15

Chance Lovertich sacked by Jordan Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 34

3rd & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 5 yds to the UAB 29

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Diego Guajardo 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Lucious Stanley run for 8 yds to the UAB 37

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.04

Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.44

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 52 yds to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the SAlab 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Gerrit Prince

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Trea Shropshire 6 Yd pass from Bryson Lucero (Matthew Quinn Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Carlos Davis for 19 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Carlos Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 40

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Chance Lovertich run for 6 yds to the SAlab 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to John Tank Miller

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 16

2nd & 9Penalty-8 yds

Brown, Spencer rush for 3 yards to the UAB19, PENALTY UAB holding (Prince, Gerrit) 8 yards to the UAB8, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 10

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 13

4th & 12Punt+10 yds

Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 yds , Jalen Wayne returns for 10 yds to the SAlab 48

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.24

Carlos Davis run for 24 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.82

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 6 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Keondre Swoopes) to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 46

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Chance Lovertich sacked by Noah Wilder for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 41

3rd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Carlos Davis run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 16

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Austin Watkins

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 9 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Rob Johnson for 3 yds to the UAB 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 34

4th & 1Penalty-4 yds

UAB Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the UAB 30

4th & 5Punt+26 yds

Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds , Jalen Wayne returns for 26 yds to the UAB 46 Jalen Wayne fumbled, forced by TD Marshall, recovered by UAB Kyle Greenwell

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bryson Lucero pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 45

3rd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.46

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins for 20 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Bryson Lucero run for 1 yd to the SAlab 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Trea Shropshire

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.53

Bryson Lucero sacked by Riley Cole for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 44 Bryson Lucero fumbled, forced by Riley Cole, recovered by SAlab Riley Cole , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 44

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

Lovertich, Chance pass complete to Baker, Kawaan for 7 yards to the UAB49, PENALTY SOUTHALA personal foul (Davis, Carlos) 15 yards to the SOUTHALA29, NO PLAY.

2nd & 25Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 13 yds to the SAlab 42

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jack Brooks punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 16 yds to the UAB 44 UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Rob Johnson) to the UAB 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UAB Penalty, False Start (Colby Ragland) to the UAB 35

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 35

2nd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.06

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Gerrit Prince for 18 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell UAB Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declined

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Spencer Brown for 1 yd to the SAlab 46

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Myron Mitchell

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kyle Greenwell punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 3

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Carlos Davis run for 7 yds to the SAlab 10

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Carlos Davis for 5 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.86

Carlos Davis run for 25 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.53

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 17 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 4 yds to the UAB 39

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.22

Carlos Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 3 yds to the UAB 37

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.93

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Carlos Davis

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 38

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.06

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins for 15 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the SAlab 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.41

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins for 16 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Brown, Spencer rush for no gain to the SOUTHALA29, PENALTY UAB personal foul (Prince, Gerrit) 15 yards to the SOUTHALA44, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Penalty+15 yds

Lucero, Bryson pass incomplete to Watkins, Austin, PENALTY SOUTHALA pass interference (Melton, Ryan) 15 yards to the SOUTHALA29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UAB.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

DeWayne McBride run for 11 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the SAlab 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Bryson Lucero pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 2 yds to the SAlab 15

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.07

Austin Watkins 15 Yd pass from Bryson Lucero (Matthew Quinn Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chance Lovertich run for 4 yds to the SAlab 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.99

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 17 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -2.62

Chance Lovertich pass intercepted Noah Wilder return for 9 yds to the SAlab 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Bryson Lucero pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.04

DeWayne McBride run for 22 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.67

DeWayne McBride run for 20 yds to the SAlab 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the SAlab 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the SAlab 6

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

DeWayne McBride 6 Yd Run (Matthew Quinn Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jared Wilson run for 6 yds to the SAlab 35

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Jared Wilson run for 5 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the SAlab 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.36

Chance Lovertich run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Chance Lovertich run for 6 yds to the UAB 44

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.29

Jared Wilson run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 49

Situational Analysis

UAB

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
48%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
26 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
38%
13 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play