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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2020Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southern Miss by 14.3

Home Win Probability

Southern Miss 81%

Market (consensus)

Southern Miss -12.5

Edge: Southern Miss -12.5 (1.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South AlabamaSouth Alabama
13010932
Southern MissSouthern Miss
0103821

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-60-137-1310-1310-2013-2013-2313-2921-2921-32
Southern MissSouth Alabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSASMSATD375ydPUNT30ydTO514ydPUNT631ydTD999ydPUNT3-11ydTO22ydTD879ydMISS1157ydFG1364ydEND311ydPUNT30ydTD1056ydFG1055ydFG1285ydMISS745ydTD780ydTD1175ydFG859ydDOWNS870ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Alabama and Southern Miss
StatisticSouth AlabamaSouthern Miss
Passing18-3022-32
Pass Yards363314
Rush Yards16395
Total Yards526409
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-125-14
Penalties4-387-49
Possession29:0830:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Alabama
passing
Desmond Trotter
16/27, 299 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Carlos Davis
15 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Jalen Tolbert
6 REC, 169 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Southern Miss
passing
Jack Abraham
22/32, 314 YDS
rushing
Frank Gore Jr.
12 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Tim Jones
6 REC, 139 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +7.01

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 73 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) Diego Guajardo kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Don Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jack Abraham pass complete to Dee Baker for no gain to the SoMis 26

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the SoMis 31

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Jason Brownlee) to the SoMis 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, False Start (Bryce Foxworth) to the SoMis 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 4 yds to the SoMis 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 3 yds to the SAlab 34

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the SAlab 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Trent Tyre for 6 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Desmond Trotter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 45

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -2.17

Desmond Trotter pass intercepted Eric Scott Jr. return for 20 yds to the SoMis 35

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Abraham, Jack pass complete to Brownlee, Jason for 13 yards to the SOUMISS48, PENALTY SOUMISS ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the SOUMISS30, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.47

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Don Ragsdale run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.02

Jack Abraham pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 16 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Don Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the SAlab 32

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.20

Dee Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 33 yds, downed at the SAlab 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.33

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 13 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the SAlab 20

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Desmond Trotter run for 3 yds to the SAlab 23

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.47

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 18 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.39

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 49 yds to the SoMis 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.22

Jack Abraham sacked by Gi'Narious Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the SoMis 14

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jared Wilson run for 2 yds to the SoMis 33

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+3 ydsPPA -3.66

Desmond Trotter pass intercepted Tyler Barnes return for 3 yds to the SoMis 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jack Abraham pass complete to Antavious Willis for 8 yds to the SoMis 29

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Frank Gore Jr. run for 4 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Jack Abraham pass complete to Antavious Willis for 16 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Don Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Penalty-9 yds

Abraham, Jack pass complete to Gunter, Grayson for 5 yards to the SOUTHALA45, PENALTY SOUMISS holding (McCoy, Marquis) 9 yards to the SOUMISS41, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 10 yds to the SAlab 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.45

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 47 yds to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Don Ragsdale run for no gain to the SAlab 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Don Ragsdale run for 2 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Caullin Lacy run for 6 yds to the SAlab 21

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Carlos Davis run for 8 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 6 yds to the SAlab 35

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 11 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Terrion Avery run for 6 yds to the SoMis 43

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Desmond Trotter run for 11 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Desmond Trotter run for 7 yds to the SoMis 25

3rd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.33

Carlos Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 28

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Diego Guajardo 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Frank Gore Jr. run for 11 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 45

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.35

Jack Abraham pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 16 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SAlab 37

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.95

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SAlab 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.96

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 13 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the SAlab 18

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.03

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 7 yds to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jack Abraham pass complete to Antavious Willis for 5 yds to the SAlab 6

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SAlab 5

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Abraham run for 2 yds to the SAlab 3

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 8

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 12 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Carlos Davis

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 40

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mason Hunt punt for 31 yds, downed at the SAlab 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Carlos Davis run for 12 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SoMis 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 7 yds to the SoMis 37

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -3.13

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 12 yds to the SoMis 25 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jalen Tolbert) to the SoMis 35

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.56

Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the SoMis 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.00

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 31 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 5 yds to the SoMis 39

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Kevin Perkins run for 7 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.10

Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 13 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Grayson Gunter

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Kevin Perkins run for 15 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Abraham, Jack pass incomplete to Brownlee, Jason, PENALTY SOUTHALA pass interference (Rockette, Devin) 15 yards to the SOUTHALA11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUMISS.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SAlab 10

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Tate Whatley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 11

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jack Abraham pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Desmond Trotter run for no gain to the SAlab 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 7 yds to the SAlab 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Brandon Crum for 5 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 16 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Trotter, Desmond pass incomplete to Tolbert, Jalen, PENALTY SOUMISS pass interference (Brooks, Natrone) 15 yards to the SOUMISS45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUTHALA.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caullin Lacy run for 5 yds to the SoMis 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Wayne

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jamel Thomas

4th & 5Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.06

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 31 yds to the SoMis 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the SoMis 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the SoMis 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Diego Guajardo 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the SoMis 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.08

Jack Abraham pass complete to Marquis McCoy for 33 yds to the SAlab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the SAlab 25

2nd & 9Penalty+8 yds

Abraham, Jack pass incomplete to Gunter, Grayson, PENALTY SOUTHALA pass interference (Flenord, Davyn) 8 yards to the SOUTHALA17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUMISS.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Don Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the SAlab 14

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Don Ragsdale

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+31 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Carlos Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 11 yds to the SAlab 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Desmond Trotter run for 10 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SAlab 48

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +5.26

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 52 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jack Abraham run for 1 yd to the SoMis 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.79

Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 42 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.49

Jack Abraham run for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 37 Jack Abraham fumbled, recovered by SoMis Jack Abraham

2nd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.74

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 17 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jack Abraham pass complete to Grayson Gunter for 5 yds to the SAlab 15

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kevin Perkins run for 4 yds to the SAlab 11

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Jack Abraham run for 7 yds to the SAlab 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the SAlab 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the SAlab 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Naricuss Driver run for 1 yd for a TD (Naricuss Driver pass to Luke Baker for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 25

2nd & 10Rush+40 ydsPPA +3.81

Carlos Davis run for 40 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the SoMis 33

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Trotter, Desmond pass incomplete to Tolbert, Jalen, PENALTY SOUMISS offside (Kitchen, Eriq) 5 yards to the SOUMISS28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.05

Terrion Avery run for 7 yds to the SoMis 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SoMis 19

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the SoMis 17

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

AJ Phillips run for 1 yd to the SoMis 16

4th & 5Field Goal Good+34 yds

Diego Guajardo 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 26 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 4 yds to the SAlab 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jack Abraham pass complete to Kevin Perkins for 4 yds to the SAlab 41

3rd & 2Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.99

Jack Abraham run for 35 yds to the SAlab 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Abraham pass incomplete

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 3 yds to the SAlab 3

3rd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jack Abraham sacked by Jeremiah Littles for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 5

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.95

Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Marquis McCoy

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.35

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 3

Situational Analysis

South Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
29 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
50%
14 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
38%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
14%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play