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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2019Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 27.9

Home Win Probability

New Mexico 6%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
77161444
New MexicoNew Mexico
736622

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-77-1410-1410-2116-2316-3016-3722-44
New MexicoAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFTD1265ydTD1075ydPUNT32ydTD772ydPUNT725ydTO1183ydFG1072ydEND16ydTD875ydTD1074ydTD575ydTO513ydTD545ydPUNT520ydTD592ydTD1077ydEND32yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and New Mexico
StatisticAir ForceNew Mexico
Passing9-108-18
Pass Yards32790
Rush Yards213268
Total Yards540358
Turnovers11
3rd Down8-107-12
Penalties3-303-19
Possession27:3532:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Donald Hammond III
9/10, 327 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Taven Birdow
17 CAR, 110 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Benjamin Waters
4 REC, 171 YDS, 2 TD
defense
New Mexico
passing
Trae Hall
5/7, 55 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tevaka Tuioti
8 CAR, 79 YDS
receiving
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 30

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Kentrail Moran run for 6 yds to the NMex 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.92

Tevaka Tuioti run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Jordan Kress for 6 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Emmanuel Logan-Greene run for 6 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Kentrail Moran run for 9 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.41

Kentrail Moran run for 4 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tevaka Tuioti run for 6 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.01

Kentrail Moran run for 9 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kentrail Moran run for 3 yds to the AFA 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tevaka Tuioti run for 4 yds to the AFA 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Bobby Cole run for 3 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.65

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 25 yds to the NMex 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the NMex 43

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Timothy Jackson run for 11 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Taven Birdow run for 11 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the NMex 18

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the NMex 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the NMex 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the NMex 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Donald Hammond III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Tevaka Tuioti run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 29 Tevaka Tuioti fumbled, recovered by NMex Tevaka Tuioti

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Kentrail Moran run for 3 yds to the NMex 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.62

Taven Birdow run for 31 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the NMex 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Taven Birdow run for 2 yds to the NMex 36

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Donald Hammond III run for 4 yds to the NMex 32

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.38

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the NMex 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.13

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 26 yds to the NMex 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bobby Cole run for 5 yds to the NMex 14

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Bobby Cole run for 7 yds to the NMex 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Thomas Vieira

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NMex 31

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Kentrail Moran run for 3 yds to the NMex 34

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Aaron Molina

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Aaron Molina, broken up by Zane Lewis

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.12

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 41 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the NMex 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Donald Hammond III run for 5 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Christian Mallard run for 6 yds to the NMex 30

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Christian Mallard run for no gain to the NMex 30

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Donald Hammond III run for 6 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Donald Hammond III run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 27

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.49

Taven Birdow run for 9 yds to the NMex 18

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.42

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the NMex 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 10 yds to the NMex 4 AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal block (Geraud Sanders) to the NMex 14

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -4.45

Taven Birdow run for 10 yds to the NMex 5 Taven Birdow fumbled, forced by Alex Hart, recovered by NMex Joey Noble

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Bobby Cole run for 8 yds to the NMex 13

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.25

Tevaka Tuioti pass complete to Cedric Patterson III for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson III

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Bobby Cole run for 6 yds to the NMex 33

3rd & 4Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.91

Tevaka Tuioti run for 48 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chad Alexander run for 4 yds to the AFA 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Tevaka Tuioti pass incomplete to Jordan Kress

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.89

Tevaka Tuioti sacked by Grant Donaldson for a loss of 8 yards to the AFA 23

4th & 14Field Goal Good+40 ydsPPA +0.91

Andrew Shelley 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Christian Mallard run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kadin Remsberg run for 9 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Donald Hammond III pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Christian Mallard run for 4 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Donald Hammond III run for 8 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kadin Remsberg run for 3 yds to the NMex 45

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Taven Birdow run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 46 Taven Birdow fumbled, forced by Joey Noble, recovered by AFA Donald Hammond III

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +5.39

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 46 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 29

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Bobby Cole run for 8 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Tevaka Tuioti run for 8 yds to the NMex 45

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Bobby Cole run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Tevaka Tuioti run for 8 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Micah Gray run for 4 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.45

Trae Hall run for 16 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Trae Hall run for 6 yds to the AFA 16

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the AFA 13

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.60

Trae Hall pass complete to Jordan Kress for 13 yds for a TD, (Andrew Shelley PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 0Defensive 2pt Conversion0 yds

Milton Bugg III return for defensive PAT

1st & 65Penalty+15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Donald Hammond III run for 2 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Taven Birdow run for 7 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Taven Birdow run for 8 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Taven Birdow run for 4 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the AFA 41

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +5.92

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 59 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Trae Hall run for 7 yds to the NMex 39

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Cedric Patterson III run for 5 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Cedric Patterson III run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 40

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Aaron Molina

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.13

Trae Hall pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 8 yds Emmanuel Logan-Greene fumbled, forced by Christopher Herrera, recovered by AFA

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the NMex 42

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Taven Birdow run for 1 yd to the NMex 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.95

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 17 yds to the NMex 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Kadin Remsberg run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 27

2nd & 13Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.46

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 27 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Bobby Cole run for 9 yds to the NMex 31

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Trae Hall pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 5 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Anselem Umeh

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trae Hall pass complete to Jordan Kress for 5 yds to the NMex 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 50 yds, downed at the AFA 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Ben Peterson run for 3 yds to the AFA 11

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Donald Hammond III run for 3 yds to the AFA 14

3rd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Kadin Remsberg run for 11 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Christian Mallard run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 24

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.88

Donald Hammond III pass complete to Benjamin Waters for 76 yds for a TD, (Jake Koehnke KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Chad Alexander run for 6 yds to the NMex 29

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.65

Chad Alexander run for 6 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Chad Alexander run for 2 yds to the NMex 37

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Trae Hall run for 4 yds to the NMex 41

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.46

Micah Gray run for 13 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Micah Gray run for 6 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Micah Gray run for 3 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Micah Gray run for 3 yds to the AFA 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Chad Alexander run for 7 yds to the AFA 27

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.55

Trae Hall pass complete to Aaron Molina for 27 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mike Schmidt run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.10

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 29

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.39

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 27

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
61%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play