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← Back to GamesDec 30, 2019Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

California by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Illinois 36%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 30, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CaliforniaCalifornia
7147735
IllinoisIllinois
1030720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-710-1410-2113-2813-3520-35
IllinoisCalifornia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CALILLCALILLCALILLCALILLCALILLILLCALILLCALILLCALILLCALILLCALILLCALILLPUNT610ydFG964ydTD679ydTD1575ydTD884ydPUNT414ydPUNT516ydPUNT841ydTD1297ydEND458ydPUNT3-6ydTD756ydPUNT743ydPUNT39ydPUNT615ydTD1288ydTD975ydPUNT32ydTO226ydPUNT3-1ydUncategorized726ydPUNT31ydUncategorized312yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing California and Illinois
StatisticCaliforniaIllinois
Passing22-3122-37
Pass Yards272273
Rush Yards123165
Total Yards395438
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-137-14
Penalties5-4510-89
Possession30:5328:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

California
passing
Chase Garbers
22/31, 272 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Christopher Brown Jr.
20 CAR, 120 YDS
receiving
Makai Polk
5 REC, 105 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Brandon Peters
22/36, 273 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brandon Peters
8 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Donny Navarro
5 REC, 65 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Chase Garbers sacked by Milo Eifler for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 19

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 25 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for no gain to the Cal 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 3 yds to the Cal 47

3rd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.70

Chase Garbers sacked by Oluwole Betiku Jr. for a loss of 12 yards to the Cal 35 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Cal 35

3rd & 19Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 36 yds, downed at the Illin 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.37

Brandon Peters run for 30 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Reggie Corbin run for 12 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donny Navarro

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 4 yds to the Cal 25 fumbled, recovered by ILL Richie Petitbon for 14 yds to the Cal 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Cal 10

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Reggie Corbin run for 3 yds to the Cal 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.84

James McCourt 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cal 26

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Chase Garbers run for 1 yd to the Cal 27

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.05

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 54 yds to the Illin 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the Illin 20

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

DeShawn Collins run for 1 yd to the Illin 19

2nd & 14Penalty+15 yds

Garbers, Chase pass incomplete to Crawford, Kekoa, PENALTY ILLINOIS pass interference 15 yards to the ILLINOIS4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Collin Moore 4 Yd pass from Chase Garbers (Greg Thomas Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brandon Peters run for 6 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Brandon Peters pass complete to Dre Brown for 6 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 38

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dre Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.33

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 14 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Cal 38

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Cal 37

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.32

Reggie Corbin run for 7 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Cal 27

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Cal 26

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Brandon Peters run for 7 yds to the Cal 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the Cal 17

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Dre Brown run for 12 yds to the Cal 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dre Brown run for no gain to the Cal 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 5 yds for a TD, (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cal 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.27

Chase Garbers pass complete to Makai Polk for 13 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the Cal 39

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Chase Garbers pass complete to Makai Polk for 12 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.20

Chase Garbers pass complete to Makai Polk for 38 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Illin 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Chase Garbers run for 1 yd for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Illin 26

1st & 15Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.27

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for 19 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Illin 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Cal 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 11 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 25

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Marcel Dancy run for 6 yds to the Cal 31

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Chase Garbers run for 1 yd to the Cal 32

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 49 yds, downed at the Illin 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ra'Von Bonner run for 5 yds to the Illin 24

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Illin 27

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.45

Dre Brown run for 9 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dre Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 42

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Dre Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 43

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Cal 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Reggie Corbin run for 2 yds to the Cal 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 37 yds, downed at the Cal 3

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Cal 3

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.47

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 25 yds to the Cal 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 18 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.42

Chase Garbers pass complete to Makai Polk for 26 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 5 yds to the Illin 23

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

DeShawn Collins run for 2 yds to the Illin 21

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.09

Chase Garbers pass complete to Makai Polk for 16 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty+3 yds

Garbers, Chase pass incomplete to Clark, Trevon, PENALTY ILLINOIS pass interference (Brown, Sydney) 3 yards to the ILLINOIS2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Illin 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Chase Garbers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 3

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.92

Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 3 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 10 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.14

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 40 yds to the Cal 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for 8 yds to the Cal 12

2nd & 2Field Goal Good+30 ydsPPA -1.84

James McCourt 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Reggie Corbin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 19

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Reggie Corbin run for 4 yds to the Illin 23

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon Peters sacked by Zeandae Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Illin 14 Brandon Peters fumbled, recovered by Illin

4th & 16Punt+8 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 50 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 8 yds to the Cal 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Makai Polk

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 13 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.82

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 22 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty+7 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Nate Hobbs) to the Illin 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Chase Garbers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 2 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Brandon Peters pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 3 yds to the Illin 21

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Dre Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.82

Brandon Peters pass complete to Trenard Davis for 13 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.11

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for 29 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Reggie Corbin run for no gain to the Cal 34

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel Barker

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 39

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Jaylinn Hawkins at the Cal 12

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the Cal 19

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cal 21

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Christopher Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Cal 21

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 50 yds, downed at the Illin 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Ra'Von Bonner run for 3 yds to the Illin 35

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.94

Brandon Peters run for 8 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Dre Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dre Brown run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.82

Dre Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 44

4th & 9Punt+11 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 55 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 11 yds to the Cal 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.04

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 18 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Chase Garbers pass complete to DeShawn Collins for 7 yds to the Cal 37

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 2 yds to the Cal 39

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.98

Chase Garbers run for 1 yd to the Cal 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brown Jr. for 14 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Garbers, Chase pass incomplete to Polk, Makai, PENALTY ILLINOIS pass interference (Brown, Sydney) 15 yards to the ILLINOIS31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALIFORNIA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chase Garbers pass complete to DeShawn Collins for 4 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Garbers run for 2 yds to the Illin 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.78

Chase Garbers pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 3 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Milo Eifler) to the Illin 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Gavin Reinwald

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Marcel Dancy run for 5 yds to the Illin 6

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.78

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 6 yds for a TD (Greg Thomas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donny Navarro

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for 3 yds to the Illin 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.09

Brandon Peters pass complete to Justice Williams for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brandon Peters pass complete to Donny Navarro for 6 yds to the Cal 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Brandon Peters pass complete to Carlos Sandy for 7 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Carlos Sandy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.61

Brandon Peters pass complete to Trenard Davis for 30 yds to the Cal 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Reggie Corbin run for 1 yd to the Cal 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Reggie Corbin run for 6 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cal 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Makai Polk

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+3 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds , Nate Hobbs returns for 3 yds to the Illin 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.29

Brandon Peters pass complete to Dre Brown for 11 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down CALIFORNIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Evan Weaver) to the Cal 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-22 ydsPPA -4.19

Brandon Peters pass intercepted Jaylinn Hawkins return for no gain to the Cal 20 Jaylinn Hawkins return for 12 yds to the Cal 25 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Illegal Block (Aaron Maldonado) to the Cal 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Christopher Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 23

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Christopher Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 22

3rd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.22

Chase Garbers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 19

4th & 11Punt+3 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 50 yds , Donny Navarro returns for 3 yds to the Illin 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Peters pass complete to Carlos Sandy for 4 yds to the Illin 38

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.73

Brandon Peters run for 13 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-12 ydsPPA -3.21

Brandon Peters pass complete to Carlos Sandy for 3 yds to the Illin 46 ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Daniel Barker) to the Illin 39

1st & 22Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.76

Brandon Peters sacked by Cameron Goode for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 36

2nd & 25Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Brandon Peters pass complete to Carlos Sandy for 8 yds to the Illin 44

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Carlos Sandy

4th & 17Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.16

Brandon Peters run for 16 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Alex Netherda run for 7 yds to the Cal 47

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Alex Netherda run for 1 yd to the Cal 48

3rd & 2Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.90

Chase Garbers run for a loss of 7 yards to the Cal 41

4th & 9Punt+51 yds

Steven Coutts punt for 43 yds, downed at the ILLINOIS 16 ILLINOIS Penalty, Illegal Block (Jartavius Martin) to the Illin 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Brandon Peters pass complete to Griffin Palmer for 12 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

TEAM pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
46%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
64%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
32 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
63%
8 plays
40%
15 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play