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← Back to GamesJan 1, 2020Week 1
OregonOregon
28
-Final
27
WisconsinWisconsin

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 0.1

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 51%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Jan 1, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OregonOregon
777728
WisconsinWisconsin
1077327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-710-710-1417-2124-2127-2127-28
WisconsinOregon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OREWISOREWISOREWISOREWISOREWISOREWISOREWISOREWISWISOREWISOREWISOREWISOREWISORETD1275ydTD00ydTO10ydFG41ydPUNT34ydPUNT36ydPUNT4-3ydMISS1248ydPUNT32ydTO215ydDOWNS49ydTO516ydTD333ydTD853ydEND1-5ydTD78ydTD1165ydPUNT37ydFG1151ydPUNT625ydTO326ydTD130ydPUNT614ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-10ydUncategorized738yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon and Wisconsin
StatisticOregonWisconsin
Passing14-2123-35
Pass Yards138186
Rush Yards66136
Total Yards204322
Turnovers14
3rd Down3-105-17
Penalties2-209-79
Possession21:4438:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon
passing
Justin Herbert
14/20, 138 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
CJ Verdell
17 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Juwan Johnson
5 REC, 66 YDS
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Jack Coan
23/35, 186 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
21 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Quintez Cephus
7 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

CJ Verdell run for 9 yds to the Oregn 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Herbert run for 3 yds to the Oregn 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Justin Herbert pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 16 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Hunter Kampmoyer

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Zack Baun) to the Wisc 39

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Wisc 38

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 9 yds to the Wisc 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Wisc 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.57

Justin Herbert pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 9 yds to the Wisc 20

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.15

CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Justin Herbert pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 15 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Justin Herbert run for 4 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Justin Herbert pass intercepted Jack Sanborn return for no gain to the Oregn 27

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.89

Jack Coan pass complete to Mason Stokke for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 30

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jack Coan pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+44 yds

Collin Larsh 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Herbert pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for no gain to the Oregn 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Sean Dollars

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Noah Burks) to the Oregn 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Herbert pass complete to Juwan Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 29

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 51 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 4 yds to the Wisc 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jonathan Taylor

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 42 yds , Jevon Holland returns for 4 yds to the Oregn 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 11 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.28

Justin Herbert sacked by Eric Burrell for a loss of 7 yards to the Oregn 36

2nd & 17Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.44

CJ Verdell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 34

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Mycah Pittman

4th & 19Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (Haki Woods Jr.) to the Oregn 29

4th & 24Punt+9 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 57 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 9 yds to the Wisc 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.93

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 22 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jonathan Taylor run for 12 yds to the WISCONSIN 43 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Wisc 47

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Oregn 46

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.10

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Cole Van Lanen) to the Oregn 44

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 6 yds to the Oregn 38

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Oregn 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 7 yds to the Oregn 30

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.24

Jack Coan run for 1 yd to the Oregn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jason Erdmann) to the Oregn 39

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 4 yds to the Oregn 35

2nd & 16Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.60

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 38

3rd & 19Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 9 yds to the Oregn 29

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Collin Larsh 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 30

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 31

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Herbert pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 48 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 7 yds to the Wisc 28

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -2.05

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 36 Jonathan Taylor fumbled, recovered by Oregn Deommodore Lenoir , return for 7 yds to the Wisc 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Justin Herbert pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 7 yds to the Wisc 29

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Justin Herbert run for 1 yd to the Wisc 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Wisc 27

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.21

CJ Verdell run for no gain to the Wisc 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jack Coan pass complete to Isaac Guerendo for 3 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.40

Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 9 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 39

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 4 yds to the Wisc 43

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return-24 ydsPPA -0.91

Jack Coan pass intercepted Thomas Graham Jr. return for 24 yds to the Wisc 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Justin Herbert pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 15 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.71

CJ Verdell run for 13 yds to the Wisc 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Justin Herbert run for 5 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.15

Jack Coan run for 7 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 9 yds to the Oregn 34

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Oregn 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.46

Mason Stokke run for 1 yd to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

OREGON Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Mykael Wright) to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds to the Oregn 11

2nd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for no gain to the Oregn 11

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.73

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 11 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 25

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 20

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 9 yds to the Wisc 29

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.04

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 12 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jack Coan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

4th & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+31 ydsPPA +0.03

Anthony Lotti run for a loss of 10 yards Anthony Lotti fumbled, recovered by Oregn Brady Breeze , return for 31 yds (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 40

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Wisc 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.01

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 6 yds to the Wisc 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 8 yds to the Oregn 46

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.24

Jonathan Taylor run for no gain to the Oregn 46

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Oregn 45

4th & 1Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.91

Jack Coan pass complete to Jonathan Taylor for 34 yds to the Oregn 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Oregn 5

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Oregn 2

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mason Stokke run for no gain to the Oregn 2

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.80

Mason Stokke run for 2 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for no gain to the Oregn 28

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Justin Herbert run for 4 yds to the Oregn 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 40

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kendric Pryor run for 7 yds to the Wisc 47

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Danny Davis III run for 15 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.33

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 10 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Kendric Pryor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 9 yds to the Oregn 21

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kendric Pryor run for 2 yds to the Oregn 19

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.75

Jack Dunn run for 4 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jonathan Taylor run for 5 yds to the Oregn 10

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Isaac Guerendo run for 1 yd to the Oregn 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Coan pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Collin Larsh 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 33

2nd & 9Penalty+10 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Defensive Holding (Faion Hicks) to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 9 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.17

CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Juwan Johnson pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Justin Herbert pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 8 yds to the Wisc 35

3rd & 2Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Justin Herbert sacked by Noah Burks for a loss of 8 yards to the Wisc 43

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 39 yds, downed at the Wisc 4

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.67

Jonathan Taylor run for 18 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 26

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -0.63

Danny Davis III run for 4 yds to the Wisc 30 Danny Davis III fumbled, recovered by Oregn Bryson Young

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Justin Herbert run for 30 yds for a TD (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 10 yds to the Wisc 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonathan Taylor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Danny Davis III

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Connor Allen punt for 35 yds, downed at the Oregn 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

CJ Verdell run for 7 yds to the Oregn 33

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.42

Justin Herbert run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 30 Justin Herbert fumbled, recovered by Oregn Justin Herbert

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Justin Herbert pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Maimone punt for 46 yds , Jack Dunn returns for no gain to the Wisc 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jonathan Taylor run for 4 yds to the Wisc 28

3rd & 6Penalty-14 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Danny Davis III) to the Wisc 14

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Connor Allen punt for 43 yds, downed at the Oregn 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Oregn 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.98

Justin Herbert pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 12 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

CJ Verdell run for 6 yds to the Wisc 38

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

CJ Verdell run for 1 yd to the Wisc 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.44

Justin Herbert pass complete to Juwan Johnson for 28 yds to the Wisc 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.61

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 14

2nd & 14Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.10

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wisc 19

Situational Analysis

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
43%
23 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
0%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
4 plays
100%
1 play