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← Back to GamesJan 1, 2020Week 1
MichiganMichigan
16
-Final
35
AlabamaAlabama

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 10.4

Home Win Probability

Alabama 76%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Jan 1, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
1060016
AlabamaAlabama
7771435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-77-107-1314-1321-1628-1635-16
AlabamaMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICALAMICPUNT32ydTD185ydPUNT513ydPUNT414ydTD785ydPUNT524ydFG1081ydPUNT525ydFG1356ydTD875ydEND1036ydTD475ydPUNT65ydPUNT33ydPUNT613ydPUNT521ydPUNT1455ydTD591ydPUNT514ydPUNT30ydTO10ydTD1275ydTO37yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Alabama
StatisticMichiganAlabama
Passing17-3716-25
Pass Yards233327
Rush Yards162153
Total Yards395480
Turnovers20
3rd Down8-184-10
Penalties7-615-25
Possession34:5525:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Shea Patterson
17/37, 233 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Zach Charbonnet
13 CAR, 84 YDS
receiving
Giles Jackson
4 REC, 57 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Mac Jones
16/25, 327 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Najee Harris
24 CAR, 136 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jerry Jeudy
6 REC, 204 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Donovan Peoples-Jones run for 2 yds to the Alab 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 33 yds, downed at the Alab 15

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +6.62

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 85 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Shea Patterson pass complete to Giles Jackson for 7 yds to the Mich 27

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.17

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Giles Jackson run for 3 yds to the Mich 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 36 yds, downed at the Alab 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 15 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Mac Jones pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alab 45

4th & 11Punt-2 yds

Mike Bernier punt for 38 yds , Donovan Peoples-Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Mich 15

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Zach Charbonnet run for 12 yds to the Mich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Zach Charbonnet run for 9 yds to the Mich 36

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.95

Zach Charbonnet run for 12 yds to the Mich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.42

Shea Patterson pass complete to Donovan Peoples-Jones for 34 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Hassan Haskins run for 11 yds to the Alab 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 7 yds for a TD (Christian Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.45

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 21 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 49

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jaylen Waddle

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mike Bernier punt for 50 yds, downed at the Mich 1

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Mich 8

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Zach Charbonnet run for 11 yds to the Mich 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Mich 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Shea Patterson pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 8 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Zach Charbonnet run for 11 yds to the Mich 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.14

Shea Patterson pass complete to Giles Jackson for 40 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Shea Patterson run for 2 yds to the Alab 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nick Eubanks

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Quinn Nordin 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

2nd & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.84

Najee Harris run for 25 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jerry Jeudy run for 1 yd to the Alab 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 48

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jerry Jeudy

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mike Bernier punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the Mich 26

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Zach Charbonnet run for 7 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nick Eubanks for 7 yds to the Mich 40

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 39

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.97

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the Mich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Hassan Haskins run for 7 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Alab 45

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.05

Shea Patterson run for 5 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jon Runyan) to the 50 yard line

1st & 20Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.41

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 22 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Alab 24

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 8 yds to the Alab 16 MICHIGAN Penalty, Illegal Touching (Ronnie Bell) to the Alab 24

4th & 6Field Goal Good+42 yds

Quinn Nordin 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 9 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 17 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Mich 41

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Lavert Hill) to the Mich 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Mich 21

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Landon Dickerson) to the Mich 26

3rd & 10Penalty+13 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Aidan Hutchinson) to the Mich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Mich 9

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Najee Harris run for 9 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 18 yds to the Mich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Mich 48

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Hassan Haskins run for 3 yds to the Alab 49

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Alab 38

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Alab 37

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.83

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Sean McKeon

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Shea Patterson sacked by Anfernee Jennings and Tevita Musika for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 39

3rd & 14Field Goal Good+57 yds

Quinn Nordin 57 yd FG GOOD

0th & 14End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Najee Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.94

Mac Jones pass complete to Henry Ruggs III for 25 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the Mich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 42 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Ronnie Bell run for 9 yds to the Mich 46

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.43

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 41

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.31

Shea Patterson pass complete to Giles Jackson for 8 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Donovan Peoples-Jones

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.32

Shea Patterson sacked by Xavier McKinney for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 42

4th & 17Blocked Punt+19 yds

Brad Robbins punt blocked by Ale Kaho blocked by Ale Kaho

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Henry Ruggs III run for no gain to the Alab 39

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 42

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Henry Ruggs III

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Mike Bernier punt for 40 yds, downed at the Mich 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Zach Charbonnet run for 6 yds to the Mich 24

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Giles Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.18

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 6 yds to the Mich 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Mich 31

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

4th & 8Punt+13 yds

Will Hart punt for 47 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 13 yds to the Alab 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 7 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Alex Leatherwood) to the Alab 37

2nd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.40

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 18 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.12

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Mac Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jedrick Wills Jr.) to the Alab 45

3rd & 20Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 11 yds to the Mich 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mike Bernier punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mich 4

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Hassan Haskins run for 5 yds to the Mich 9

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Mich 11

3rd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.38

Shea Patterson pass complete to Hassan Haskins for 19 yds to the Mich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Shea Patterson run for 8 yds to the Mich 38

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.04

Zach Charbonnet run for 3 yds to the Mich 41 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Nico Collins) to the Mich 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Jalen Mayfield) to the Mich 31

2nd & 20Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.80

Shea Patterson pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 17 yds to the Mich 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.07

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 12 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Hassan Haskins run for 2 yds to the Alab 38

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Shea Patterson run for 7 yds to the Alab 31

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.38

Hassan Haskins run for 1 yd to the Alab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -3.02

Shea Patterson sacked by Shane Lee for a loss of 13 yards to the Alab 43 Shea Patterson fumbled, forced by Shane Lee, recovered by Mich Zach Charbonnet , return for 0 yards

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

3rd & 23Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Shea Patterson pass complete to Giles Jackson for 2 yds to the Alab 41

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 9

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Najee Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 8

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Mac Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 14 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +3.65

Mac Jones pass complete to Jerry Jeudy for 58 yds to the Mich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 20 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds to the Mich 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.57

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 11 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Shea Patterson pass incomplete to Nico Collins

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Hassan Haskins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mich 48

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Will Hart punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 18

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Mac Jones run for no gain to the Alab 18

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Mac Jones pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Mike Bernier punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Donovan Peoples-Jones at the Mich 48

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.99

Shea Patterson pass intercepted Shyheim Carter return for no gain to the Alab 25

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 5 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.61

Najee Harris run for 19 yds to the Mich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.48

Najee Harris run for 16 yds to the Mich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Mich 18

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Mich 16

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Najee Harris run for 12 yds to the Mich 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Mich 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Mich 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Najee Harris run for 2 yds for a TD (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Shea Patterson pass complete to Nico Collins for 7 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Shea Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.80

Shea Patterson pass intercepted, touchback. Josh Jobe return for no gain

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
55%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
27%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th