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← Back to GamesDec 31, 2019Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Kansas State 45%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 31, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
377320
Kansas StateKansas State
0100717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-1010-1010-1717-20
Kansas StateNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSNAVKSNAVNAVKSNAVKSNAVKSNAVKSNAVKSNAVKSDOWNS832ydFG1155ydPUNT30ydTD6-7ydTD875ydFG1349ydPUNT612ydEND1-2ydTD775ydPUNT7-26ydPUNT943ydPUNT35ydMISS668ydTD679ydFG1370ydUncategorized00yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Kansas State
StatisticNavyKansas State
Passing6-99-13
Pass Yards98116
Rush Yards32346
Total Yards421162
Turnovers00
3rd Down8-141-8
Penalties7-555-40
Possession36:3223:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Malcolm Perry
5/7, 57 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Malcolm Perry
28 CAR, 213 YDS
receiving
Chance Warren
1 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Kansas State
passing
rushing
James Gilbert
8 CAR, 39 YDS
receiving
Wykeen Akie Gill
2 REC, 57 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

James Gilbert run for 8 yds to the KanSt 35

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.24

James Gilbert run for 14 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Nick Lenners) to the KanSt 48

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

James Gilbert run for 9 yds to the Navy 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Jordon Brown

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the Navy 41

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.54

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip Brooks

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the Navy 47

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.96

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 5 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the KanSt 48

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the KanSt 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.75

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 9 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.51

Malcolm Perry run for 25 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the KanSt 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the KanSt 7

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the KanSt 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.08

Bijan Nichols 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordon Brown run for 2 yds to the KanSt 31

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Malik Knowles run for 2 yds to the KanSt 33

3rd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.56

Skylar Thompson sacked by Jackson Perkins for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 29

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Garrett Winn at the Navy 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 1 yd to the Navy 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 37

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (David Forney) to the Navy 32

2nd & 14Penalty-15 yds

NAVY Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Navy 17

2nd & 29Rush0 ydsPPA -0.03

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for no gain to the Navy 17

3rd & 29Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.01

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 18

4th & 28Punt+66 yds

Owen White punt for 48 yds , Phillip Brooks returns for 66 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 5 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 11 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Mychal Cooper

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 44

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.13

Malcolm Perry run for 23 yds to the KanSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Myles Fells run for no gain to the KanSt 27

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.23

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Keoni-Kordell Makekau for 27 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 6 yds to the KanSt 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.48

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.70

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 11 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jacardia Wright run for 2 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 9 yds to the Navy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jacardia Wright run for 1 yd to the Navy 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Logan Long for 4 yds to the Navy 23

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Phillip Brooks run for 4 yds to the Navy 19

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.71

James Gilbert run for 1 yd to the Navy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

James Gilbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 19

2nd & 11Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Skylar Thompson sacked by Diego Fagot for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 21

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Skylar Thompson pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.60

Blake Lynch 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jamale Carothers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 32

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jude Hydrick) to the Navy 37

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.48

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 5 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 46

2nd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.80

Malcolm Perry sacked by Reggie Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 42

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Navy 37

3rd & 15Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 38

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 36

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 5 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (Billy Honaker) to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.24

Malcolm Perry run for 29 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the KanSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Malcolm Perry run for 9 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Perry, Malcolm rush for no gain to the KANSASST33, PENALTY KANSASST holding 10 yards to the KANSASST23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NAVY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the KanSt 22

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the KanSt 20

3rd & 7Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.25

Chance Warren run for 20 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

James Gilbert run for 3 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Dalton Schoen for 6 yds to the Navy 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

James Gilbert run for no gain to the Navy 31

4th & 1Rush-14 ydsPPA -2.97

Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd to the Navy 30 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tyler Mitchell) to the Navy 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-18 ydsPPA -3.67

TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the KanSt 37 TEAM fumbled, recovered by KanSt

2nd & 28Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jordon Brown run for 4 yds to the KanSt 41

3rd & 24Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.20

Skylar Thompson sacked by Diego Fagot for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 34 Skylar Thompson fumbled, recovered by KanSt Scott Frantz , return for 0 yards

4th & 31Punt+54 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Garrett Winn at the KANSASST 22 NAVY Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Navy 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 13

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 10 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.37

CJ Williams run for 27 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the KanSt 49

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Malcolm Perry run for 7 yds to the KanSt 42

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Myles Fells run for 9 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NAVY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Billy Honaker) to the KanSt 43

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the KanSt 41

2nd & 18Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.54

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 45

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 26

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Adam Holtorf) to the KanSt 21

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Devin Anctil punt for 64 yds, downed at the Navy 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 12

2nd & 9Rush+59 ydsPPA +4.28

Malcolm Perry run for 59 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, False Start (Peter Nestrowitz) to the KanSt 34

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 3 yds to the KanSt 31

2nd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Malcolm Perry run for 9 yds to the KanSt 22

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Bijan Nichols 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Malik Knowles for 9 yds to the KanSt 30

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Jordon Brown run for 7 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 15 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +1.63

Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 42 yds to the Navy 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

James Gilbert run for 5 yds to the Navy 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

CJ Williams run for 7 yds to the Navy 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the Navy 44

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 48

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the KanSt 46

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the KanSt 46

4th & 3Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.90

CJ Williams pass complete to Chance Warren for 41 yds to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.55

TEAM run for no gain to the KanSt 5 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Navy Malcolm Perry

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

TEAM pass incomplete

3rd & 5Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -1.24

Bijan Nichols 23 yd FG GOOD

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
21 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
67%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays

Kansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
15 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play