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← Back to GamesNov 30, 2019Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia Southern by 7.6

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 69%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 30, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
703010
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
71014738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-710-717-724-731-731-1038-10
Georgia SouthernGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSGSPUNT34ydPUNT37ydTD986ydTD875ydMISS1445ydFG637ydPUNT39ydTD973ydPUNT3-3ydEND33ydTD551ydPUNT36ydPUNT30ydDOWNS49ydTD643ydFG957ydPUNT58ydDOWNS748ydTD761ydDOWNS838ydPUNT39ydEND311yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and Georgia Southern
StatisticGeorgia StateGeorgia Southern
Passing18-277-10
Pass Yards18273
Rush Yards108279
Total Yards290352
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-142-8
Penalties2-202-25
Possession26:2133:39

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Dan Ellington
18/27, 182 YDS
rushing
Destin Coates
4 CAR, 54 YDS
receiving
Cornelius McCoy
7 REC, 89 YDS
defense
Georgia Southern
passing
Shai Werts
7/10, 73 YDS
rushing
J.D. King
16 CAR, 107 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Khaleb Hood
2 REC, 28 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 yds

Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Tra Barnett run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 29

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Wesley Kennedy III run for no gain to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 31

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Shai Werts pass complete to Colby Ransom for 5 yds to the GeoSo 36

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 50 yds , Quavian White returns for no gain to the GeoSt 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.81

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 25 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cadarrius Thompson for 2 yds to the GeoSt 42

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.98

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 16 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dan Ellington run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 17 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Tra Barnett run for 15 yds for a TD (Brandon Wright KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Malik Murray run for 18 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 46

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 47

3rd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.87

Wesley Kennedy III run for 20 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Wesley Kennedy III run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

J.D. King run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 11

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.15

Shai Werts run for 11 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 2 yds to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Dan Ellington run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.63

Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Dan Ellington run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Destin Coates run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 45

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.63

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 5 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.54

Dan Ellington pass complete to Aubry Payne for 18 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Monquavion Brinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Devin Gentry, broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.42

Dan Ellington sacked by Ty Phillips for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 30

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Brandon Wright 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 18 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Shai Werts run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 10 yds to the GeoSt 32

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 33

4th & 3Field Goal Good+49 ydsPPA +0.55

Tyler Bass 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tra Barnett run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

J.D. King run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 25

2nd & 12Penalty+15 yds

S. Werts pass incomplete to D. Carter Jr. (Jones, Jaylon), PENALTY GSU pass interference (Jones, Jaylon) 15 yards to the GS40, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 49

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.07

Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.56

Wesley Kennedy III run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 12 yds to the GeoSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 19

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.83

NaJee Thompson run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

J.D. King run for 7 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 8 yds to the GeoSt 18

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 19

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Barnett, Tra rush for 2 yards to the GSU21 (K. Duncan Jr.;R. Wade Jr.), PENALTY GSU illegal formation 5 yards to the GSU14, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.22

Dan Ellington sacked by Randy Wade Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 7

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 58 yds, downed at the GeoSo 35

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.72

Shai Werts sacked by Hardrick Willis for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 35

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 38

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Shai Werts pass complete to Colby Ransom for 11 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.47

Shai Werts run for 14 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.02

J.D. King run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Wesley Kennedy III run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tra Barnett run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 28

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Brandon Wright punt for 51 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for no gain to the GeoSo 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Shai Werts pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.33

Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 14

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Shai Werts pass complete to J.D. King for 4 yds to the GeoSo 18

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GeoSt 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Tra Barnett run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Dan Ellington run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 43

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Dan Ellington run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 42

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Dan Ellington run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

J.D. King run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

J.D. King run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.64

Shai Werts pass complete to Mark Michaud for 13 yds to the GeoSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 13

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.74

J.D. King run for 13 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Dan Ellington pass complete to Jonathan Ifedi for 2 yds to the GeoSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy, broken up by Kindle Vildor

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

Ellington, Dan pass incomplete to McCoy, C., PENALTY GS holding (K. Vildor) 10 yards to the GSU37, 1ST DOWN GSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.26

Destin Coates run for 34 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Destin Coates run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 22

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.11

Destin Coates run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tra Barnett run for no gain to the GeoSo 14

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.23

Dan Ellington sacked by Lane Ecton and Todd Bradley for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 18

4th & 14Field Goal Good+35 ydsPPA +0.44

Brandon Wright 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

J.D. King run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Shai Werts run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 33

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Shai Werts pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood, broken up by Evan Jones

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Shai Werts pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 54 yds, downed at the GeoSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.84

Dan Ellington pass complete to Devin Gentry for 26 yds to the GeoSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 15 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Cornelius McCoy

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.61

Dan Ellington pass incomplete to Destin Coates, broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Wesley Kennedy III run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 48

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.09

J.D. King run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Wesley Kennedy III run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 36

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.10

J.D. King run for 30 yds for a TD (Tyler Bass KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dan Ellington pass complete to Roger Carter for 5 yds to the GeoSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.22

Dan Ellington pass complete to Tra Barnett for 6 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Donald Rutledge Jr.) to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Tra Barnett run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.71

Dan Ellington pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 24 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Tra Barnett run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22

2nd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Dan Ellington sacked by Amaru Herring for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 25

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Dan Ellington pass incomplete

4th & 12Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.13

Dan Ellington sacked by Quin Williams and Gavin Adcock for a loss of 12 yards to the GeoSo 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 40

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 44

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 43 yds, downed at the GeoSt 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Kierston Harvey run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 12

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 17

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.76

Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 22 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
25 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
12 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
29 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play