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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2019Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nicholls by 9.3

Home Win Probability

Texas State 22%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Nicholls
03003
Texas StateTexas State
3014724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-310-317-324-3
Texas StateNicholls

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NICTSNICTSNICTSNICTSNICTSNICTSTSNICTSNICTSNICTSNICTSNICTSPUNT38ydFG946ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT36ydFG1460ydTO616ydPUNT36ydPUNT35ydPUNT49ydEND515ydPUNT514ydEND1-2ydTD1478ydTO29ydTD656ydTO855ydPUNT36ydPUNT36ydTD280ydPUNT628ydPUNT947ydPUNT514ydEND3-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nicholls and Texas State
StatisticNichollsTexas State
Passing15-2722-29
Pass Yards145253
Rush Yards75109
Total Yards220362
Turnovers21
3rd Down2-125-14
Penalties3-306-70
Possession27:1732:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nicholls
passing
Chase Fourcade
15/27, 145 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Chase Fourcade
8 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Dai'Jean Dixon
5 REC, 54 YDS
defense
Texas State
passing
Gresch Jensen
22/29, 253 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Caleb Twyford
17 CAR, 73 YDS
receiving
Javen Banks
1 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the NicSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Chase Fourcade run for 6 yds to the NicSt 34

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Julien Gums run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Winston Jones punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSt 35

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 30

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.65

Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 29

2nd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.96

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 12 yds to the TexSt 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.00

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 7 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Robert Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Sheread,J rush for loss of 9 yards to the TXST41 (Laiche, Sully), PENALTY NICH face mask (Johnson, Kevin) 15 yards to the NICH35, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.40

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Micah Hilts for 19 yds to the NicSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Robert Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the NicSt 8

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Jensen, Gresch pass incomplete to LewisJr,Clifton, PENALTY TXST illegal procedure (Rowland,Jacob) 5 yards to the NICH13, NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

Jensen, Gresch sacked for loss of 5 yards to the NICH18 (Laiche, Sully), PENALTY TXST personal foul (Jordan,Reece) 15 yards to the NICH28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Micah Hilts for 12 yds to the NicSt 16

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.14

Gresch Jensen sacked by Sully Laiche for a loss of 3 yards to the NicSt 19

4th & 13Field Goal Good+36 ydsPPA +0.42

Joshua Rowland 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Chase Fourcade sacked by Nikolas Daniels for a loss of 5 yards to the NicSt 20

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Julien Gums run for 1 yd to the NicSt 21

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Chase Fourcade pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Winston Jones punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Caleb Twyford run for 2 yds to the TexSt 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 3 yds to the TexSt 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 1 yd to the TexSt 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 33 yds, downed at the NicSt 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 11 yds to the NicSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dontrell Taylor run for 4 yds to the NicSt 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Chase Fourcade pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.59

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dontrell Taylor for 14 yds to the NicSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dontrell Taylor run for 5 yds to the TexSt 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 6 yds to the TexSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the TexSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Mason Roberts for 3 yds to the TexSt 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Mason Roberts

4th & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.27

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 11 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Chase Fourcade pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Fourcade run for 2 yds to the TexSt 23

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Tahj Smith for 6 yds to the TexSt 17

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

NICHOLLS ST Penalty, false start (Jordan Talley) to the TexSt 22

4th & 7Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +0.05

Gunnar Jones 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Caleb Twyford run for 2 yds to the TexSt 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Mason Hays

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.26

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Hutch White for 9 yds to the TexSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Hutch White for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 6 yds to the TexSt 47

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return-3 ydsPPA -1.36

Gresch Jensen pass intercepted Kairon Brooks return for 3 yds to the NicSt 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Julien Gums run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Chase Fourcade pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dontrell Taylor for 4 yds to the TexSt 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Winston Jones punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Robert Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSt 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Micah Hilts

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Robert Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSt 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NicSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Mason Roberts for 17 yds to the NicSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Taylor, Dontrel rush for 10 yards to the TXST42 (Pacheco,Alvin;Coleman,M.), PENALTY NICH holding (James, Jeremiah) 10 yards to the NICH38, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Dontrell Taylor run for no gain to the NicSt 38

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean Dixon

3rd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Chase Fourcade run for 2 yds to the NicSt 40

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Winston Jones punt

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Caleb Twyford for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.10

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 12 yds to the NicSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Jah'Marae Sheread

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Caleb Twyford run for 3 yds to the NicSt 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 1 yd to the NicSt 36

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Dontrell Taylor run for a loss of 9 yards to the NicSt 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 14 yds to the NicSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Dontrell Taylor run for 2 yds to the NicSt 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.62

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Jeremy Rounds for no gain to the NicSt 32

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Chase Fourcade run for 7 yds to the NicSt 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Winston Jones punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 27

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Caleb Twyford run for 5 yds to the TexSt 27

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Caleb Twyford run for 10 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 1 yd to the TexSt 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.00

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 11 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Hutch White for 9 yds to the NicSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Caleb Twyford run for 2 yds to the NicSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Caleb Twyford for 7 yds to the NicSt 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Hutch White for 2 yds to the NicSt 31

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Robert Brown Jr. run for no gain to the NicSt 31

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.29

Gresch Jensen run for 1 yd to the NicSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Robert Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the NicSt 23

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.07

Caleb Twyford run for 11 yds to the NicSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Caleb Twyford

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Micah Hilts for 12 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dontrell Taylor for 9 yds to the NicSt 34

2nd & 1Pass Interception Return-27 yds

Chase Fourcade pass intercepted JaShon Waddy return for 12 yds to the TexSt 46 TEXAS STATE Penalty, sideline interference (15 Yards) to the TexSt 44

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Caleb Twyford run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.05

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 32 yds to the NicSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Caleb Twyford run for 3 yds to the NicSt 22

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Hutch White

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.40

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Micah Hilts for 21 yds to the NicSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Gresch Jensen run for 1 yd for a TD NICHOLLS ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined, (Joshua Rowland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Dontrell Taylor run for 9 yds to the NicSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Dontrell Taylor run for 1 yd to the NicSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Mason Roberts for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Julien Gums run for 4 yds to the TexSt 46

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Chase Fourcade run for 10 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 12 yds to the TexSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kendall Bussey run for 4 yds to the TexSt 20

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -4.29

Chase Fourcade run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 20 Chase Fourcade fumbled, forced by Nikolas Daniels, recovered by TexSt Emmanuel Galvan-Vazquez

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Jah'Marae Sheread for 1 yd to the TexSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Caleb Twyford run for 5 yds to the TexSt 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Gresch Jensen pass incomplete to Jeremiah Haydel

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mason Roberts at the NicSt 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Dontrell Taylor run for 2 yds to the NicSt 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dontrell Taylor for 4 yds to the NicSt 40

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean Dixon

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Winston Jones punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSt 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Caleb Twyford run for 3 yds to the TexSt 23

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.62

Gresch Jensen pass complete to Javen Banks for 77 yds for a TD, (Joshua Rowland KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean Dixon, broken up by Markeveon Coleman

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the NicSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.84

Chase Fourcade pass complete to K.J. Franklin for 19 yds to the NicSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Chase Fourcade run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Julien Gums run for 3 yds to the TexSt 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean Dixon

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Winston Jones punt for 46 yds, downed at the TexSt 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Caleb Twyford run for no gain to the TexSt 1

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Caleb Twyford run for 7 yds to the TexSt 8

3rd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.33

Caleb Twyford run for 21 yds to the TexSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Robert Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the TexSt 36

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Robert Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.06

Gresch Jensen run for 2 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Robert Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the TexSt 42

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Caleb Twyford run for 1 yd to the TexSt 41

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jaylin Nelson run for 6 yds to the TexSt 48

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kendall Bussey run for 4 yds to the NicSt 19

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Kendall Bussey run for 8 yds to the NicSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the NicSt 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Morell Bartholomew

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Stefano Guarisco, broken up by Jarron Morris

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Winston Jones punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Caleb Twyford run for no gain to the TexSt 38

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaylin Nelson run for no gain to the TexSt 38

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 37

Situational Analysis

Nicholls

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
11%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
29%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
4 plays
100%
1 play
42%
12 plays
100%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play