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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2019Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 25.7

Home Win Probability

App State 93%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East Tennessee State
00707
App StateApp State
77141442

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-021-728-735-742-7
App StateEast Tennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ETSASETSASETSASETSASETSASETSASETSASETSASETSASETSASPUNT829ydPUNT37ydPUNT33ydTD1384ydPUNT822ydPUNT518ydPUNT32ydTD748ydPUNT32ydPUNT31ydEND844ydTD1175ydTD1286ydTD875ydDOWNS635ydTD1067ydPUNT36ydTD440ydTO1066ydEND219yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Tennessee State and App State
StatisticEast Tennessee StateApp State
Passing17-2717-25
Pass Yards161167
Rush Yards131277
Total Yards292444
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-156-10
Penalties7-605-58
Possession33:3826:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Tennessee State
passing
Trey Mitchell
12/19, 117 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Quay Holmes
19 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Braxton Richburg
4 REC, 77 YDS
defense
App State
passing
Zac Thomas
16/24, 150 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Darrynton Evans
14 CAR, 99 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Hennigan
7 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Akeem Davis
1 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Quay Holmes run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 24

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chance Thrasher pass complete to Nate Adkins for 5 yds Nate Adkins fumbled, forced by Shemar Jean-Charles,

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Quay Holmes run for 10 yds to the ETnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Chance Thrasher pass complete to Keith Coffee for 8 yds to the ETnSt 48

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Quay Holmes run for 5 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Malik McGue run for a loss of 8 yards to the ETnSt 45

2nd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Chance Thrasher pass complete to Keith Coffee for 6 yds to the AppSt 49

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chance Thrasher pass incomplete, broken up by Desmond Franklin

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Garrett Taylor punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 7

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Darrynton Evans run for 5 yds to the AppSt 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Darrynton Evans, broken up by Donovan Manuel

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Malik McGue at the ETnSt 49

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Chance Thrasher run for a loss of 3 yards to the ETnSt 43 Chance Thrasher fumbled, recovered by ETnSt Chance Thrasher

2nd & 16Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Chance Thrasher pass complete to Keith Coffee for 9 yds to the AppSt 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Chance Thrasher pass incomplete to Nate Adkins, broken up by Akeem Davis-Gaither

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Garrett Taylor punt for 33 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 1 yd to the AppSt 16

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 13

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 10 yds to the AppSt 23

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.22

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.70

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 11 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.57

Darrynton Evans run for 23 yds to the ETnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Evans, D. rush for 6 yards to the ETSU26 (Nasir Player), PENALTY APP holding (Bird, Tyler) 10 yards to the ETSU42, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Jalen Virgil run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 44

2nd & 22Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.24

Zac Thomas run for 27 yds to the ETnSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 11

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.86

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 10 yds to the ETnSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Zac Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Quay Holmes run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ETnSt 22

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 23

3rd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.16

Quay Holmes run for 14 yds to the ETnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 38

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Chance Thrasher run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, false start (Ben Blackmon) to the ETnSt 45

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.33

Quay Holmes run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 43

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the ETnSt 38

2nd & 22Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Chance Thrasher run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 44

3rd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Quay Holmes run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 47

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Garrett Taylor punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Darrynton Evans run for 9 yds to the AppSt 29

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Zac Thomas pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 7 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Collin Reed

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Keishawn Watson, broken up by Tyree Robinson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 54 yds , Jacob Saylors returns for no gain to the ETnSt 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Braxton Richburg

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.06

Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 10

4th & 8Punt+14 yds

Garrett Taylor punt for 52 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 14 yds to the ETnSt 48

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the ETnSt 39

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.29

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 5 yds to the ETnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the ETnSt 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.25

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the ETnSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 19

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.67

Zac Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 21

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Hennigan, T. (Jeremy Lewis), PENALTY ETSU pass interference (Jeremy Lewis) 15 yards to the ETSU6, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 65Penalty+15 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, personal foul (Blake Bockrath) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Keith Coffee for 3 yds to the ETnSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 29

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.39

Trey Mitchell sacked by George Blackstock and Nick Hampton for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Garrett Taylor punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 40

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 41

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Malik McGue at the ETnSt 19

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.10

Quay Holmes run for 15 yds to the ETnSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Quay Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 33

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Nate Adkins for 10 yds to the ETnSt 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Trey Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.58

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Braxton Richburg for 30 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Keith Coffee for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 27

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Quay Holmes

3rd & 12Penalty-10 yds

Quay Holmes rush for 6 yards to the APP21 (Fehr, Jordan), PENALTY ETSU holding (Cameron Parker) 10 yards to the APP37, NO PLAY.

3rd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Keith Coffee

0th & 22End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.44

Darrynton Evans run for 11 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Darrynton Evans run for no gain to the AppSt 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 5 yds to the AppSt 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.13

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the ETnSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Karon Delince

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Zac Thomas pass complete to Keishawn Watson for 15 yds to the ETnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 30

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.56

Camerun Peoples run for 17 yds to the ETnSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Darrynton Evans run for 13 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.62

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Quay Holmes for a loss of 5 yards to the ETnSt 9

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Quay Holmes run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 14

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.66

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Braxton Richburg for 17 yds to the ETnSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Anthony Spagnoletti for 13 yds to the ETnSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Quay Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.65

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Braxton Richburg for 19 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Quay Holmes run for 4 yds to the AppSt 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Braxton Richburg for 11 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Quay Holmes run for 6 yds to the AppSt 17

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the AppSt 16

3rd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Jamal Couch for 11 yds to the AppSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Nate Adkins for 5 yds for a TD, (Tyler Keltner KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 24 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Darrynton Evans run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 45

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.78

Darrynton Evans run for 16 yds to the ETnSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 23

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the ETnSt 23

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Zac Thomas run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Darrynton Evans run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 16

2nd & 8Penalty-15 yds

Anderson, R. rush for 1 yard to the ETSU15 (Tyree Robinson), PENALTY APP personal foul (Hodges, Cooper) 15 yards to the ETSU31, NO PLAY.

2nd & 23Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +4.69

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 31 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 30

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Anthony Spagnoletti

3rd & 12Penalty+13 yds

Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Jamal Couch, QB hurry by Cobb, Trey, PENALTY APP pass interference (Jean-Charles, S) 13 yards to the ETSU43, 1ST DOWN ETSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Desmond Franklin) to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Anthony Spagnoletti run for 8 yds to the AppSt 34

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the AppSt 33

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Quay Holmes

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.72

Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Jamal Couch, broken up by Caleb Spurlin

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the AppSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.86

Daetrich Harrington run for 18 yds to the ETnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 1 yd to the ETnSt 26

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Jason Maduafokwa) to the ETnSt 21

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 20

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.79

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Daetrich Harrington run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 10

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Ryan Neuzil) to the ETnSt 15

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.83

Jalen Virgil run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Trey Mitchell pass incomplete to Jacob Saylors, broken up by Akeem Davis-Gaither

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Quay Holmes run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Trey Mitchell pass complete to Quay Holmes for 5 yds to the ETnSt 25

4th & 4Punt+33 yds

Garrett Taylor punt for 48 yds , Malik Williams returns for 33 yds to the ETnSt 40

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.58

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 21 yds to the ETnSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nakendrick Clark run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 15

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Nakendrick Clark run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETnSt 17

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +3.20

Jacob Huesman pass complete to Christian Wells for 17 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Cameron Lewis sacked by Tommy Dawkins for a loss of 4 yards to the ETnSt 21

2nd & 14Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.34

Dj Twitty run for 19 yds to the ETnSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Cameron Lewis run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Cameron Lewis run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 48

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.90

Cameron Lewis run for 12 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cameron Lewis run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Dj Twitty run for 2 yds to the AppSt 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Cameron Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.59

Cameron Lewis pass complete to Malik McGue for 15 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -4.37

Cameron Lewis run for 5 yds to the AppSt 17 Cameron Lewis fumbled, forced by Hansky Paillant, recovered by AppSt Kaleb Dawson , return for 8 yds to the AppSt 17

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Nakendrick Clark run for 12 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Gabe Montgomery run for 7 yds to the AppSt 36

Situational Analysis

East Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
25%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
70%
10 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
43%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play