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← Back to GamesNov 29, 2019Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Central Michigan by 8.2

Home Win Probability

Central Michigan 62%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 29, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
07007
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
14217749

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-021-028-742-749-7
Central MichiganToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLCMTOLPUNT1042ydTD480ydPUNT629ydTD796ydPUNT31ydTD1065ydDOWNS519ydTD749ydTD1068ydTD781ydEND1-1ydTD1075ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT624ydDOWNS836ydDOWNS858ydPUNT32ydTD744ydPUNT428ydPUNT30ydUncategorized533yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Central Michigan
StatisticToledoCentral Michigan
Passing19-3016-22
Pass Yards173263
Rush Yards78289
Total Yards251552
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-126-11
Penalties6-758-70
Possession25:1733:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Carter Bradley
15/23, 121 YDS
rushing
Dequan Finn
7 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Bryce Mitchell
5 REC, 63 YDS
defense
Central Michigan
passing
Quinten Dormady
15/19, 250 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kobe Lewis
22 CAR, 131 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
JaCorey Sullivan
5 REC, 83 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the Toled 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 13 yds to the Toled 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the Toled 27

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Bryant Koback run for 10 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the Toled 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.40

Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Carter Bradley pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 2 yds to the CMich 48

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the CMich 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Jonathan Ward run for 6 yds to the CMich 26

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

DORMADY, Q. pass incomplete to POLJAN, Tony, PENALTY TOLEDO illegal use of hands (HINES,Jamal) 15 yards to the CMU41, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Quinten Dormady pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 7 yds to the CMich 48

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +3.69

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 48 yds for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 25

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Carter Bradley pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 13 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Maddox for 21 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 2 yds to the CMich 39

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Bryant Koback run for no gain to the CMich 39

3rd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.97

Carter Bradley sacked by Robi Stuart for a loss of 6 yards to the CMich 45

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 41 yds, downed at the CMich 4

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.79

Jonathan Ward run for 17 yds to the CMich 21 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the CMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Jonathan Ward run for 13 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Quinten Dormady pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.15

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 3 yds to the CENTMICH 48 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Nate Bauer) to the Toled 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.97

Kalil Pimpleton run for 32 yds to the Toled 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jonathan Ward run for no gain to the Toled 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tommy Lazzaro run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.79

Shakif Seymour run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 18

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Carter Bradley pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 4 yds to the Toled 22

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell, broken up by Da'Quaun Jamison

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kalil Pimpleton at the CMich 35

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Jonathan Ward run for 11 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Quinten Dormady pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 8 yds to the Toled 46

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Tyrone Scott

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 8 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Quinten Dormady run for 1 yd to the Toled 37

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Kobe Lewis run for 19 yds to the Toled 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

LEWIS, Kobe rush for 2 yards to the TOLEDO16 (ROBINSON,Kahlil;ANDERSON,Tycen), PENALTY CMU holding (SMITH, Derek) 10 yards to the TOLEDO28, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the Toled 26

2nd & 18Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Quinten Dormady pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 8 yds to the Toled 18

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 5 yds to the Toled 13

4th & 5Penalty+5 yds

TICE, Ryan field goal attempt from 31 GOOD, clock 12:17, PENALTY TOLEDO offside (McDONALD,Chris) 5 yards to the TOLEDO8, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Tommy Lazzaro run for 8 yds for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Carter Bradley pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 13 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 41

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the Toled 42

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Carter Bradley pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 7 yds to the Toled 49

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips, broken up by Alonzo McCoy

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 7 yds to the Toled 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Jonathan Ward run for 2 yds to the Toled 40

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.79

Jonathan Ward run for 4 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.45

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Bernhard Raimann for 21 yds to the Toled 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jonathan Ward run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 16

2nd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.48

Tommy Lazzaro pass complete to Kalil Pimpleton for 13 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jonathan Ward run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Shakif Seymour run for 8 yds to the Toled 40

2nd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.09

Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Maddox for 16 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 4 yds to the CMich 40

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the CMich 37

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell

4th & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +2.00

Carter Bradley pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 3 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.01

Carter Bradley pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 16 yds to the CMich 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Bryant Koback run for 11 yds to the CMich 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty+4 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, delay of game (4 Yards) to the CMich 3

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Bryant Koback run for 3 yds for a TD (Thomas Cluckey KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 14

1st & 15Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.34

Kobe Lewis run for 27 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Kobe Lewis for 18 yds to the Toled 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to JaCorey Sullivan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.65

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Tony Poljan for 38 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds to the Toled 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Tommy Lazzaro run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Kobe Lewis run for 2 yds for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Jonathan Ward run for 16 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Jonathan Ward run for 12 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Quinten Dormady pass incomplete to Kalil Pimpleton

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jonathan Ward run for 1 yd to the Toled 46

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.50

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Tyrone Scott for 10 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.35

Quinten Dormady pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 28 yds to the Toled 8 for a 1ST down CENTRAL MICH Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (JaCorey Sullivan) to the Toled 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Kobe Lewis run for 10 yds to the Toled 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the Toled 12

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the Toled 9

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.87

Quinten Dormady pass complete to Tony Poljan for 9 yds for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 30

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Drew Rosi

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis, broken up by Kyron McKinnie-Harper

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 50 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for no gain to the CMich 30 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, IB (JaCorey Sullivan) to the CMich 10

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Kobe Lewis run for 8 yds to the CMich 18

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kobe Lewis run for no gain to the CMich 18

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Kobe Lewis run for 7 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kobe Lewis run for 4 yds to the CMich 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 1 yd to the CMich 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kumehnnu Gwilly run for 4 yds to the CMich 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Brady Buell punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 27 , Danzel McKinley-Lewis returns for no gain to the Toled 27

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Dequan Finn run for 3 yds to the Toled 28 Dequan Finn fumbled, forced by Kyron McKinnie-Harper, recovered by Toled Cameron Bell

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Toled 32

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.09

Dequan Finn pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 10 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.27

Dequan Finn run for 16 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.80

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 46

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Dequan Finn run for 1 yd to the CMich 45 TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Dequan Finn pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 8 yds to the CMich 37

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.80

Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Devin Maddox, broken up by Da'Quaun Jamison

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.42

Quinten Dormady pass complete to JaCorey Sullivan for 32 yds to the Toled 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Kobe Lewis run for 1 yd to the Toled 31

2nd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.81

Tommy Lazzaro run for 20 yds to the Toled 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 13

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the Toled 10

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Kobe Lewis run for 5 yds to the Toled 5

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.99

Kaden Keon pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.39

Carter Bradley pass complete to Reggie Gilliam for a loss of 4 yards to the Toled 1

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Carter Bradley run for 4 yds to the Toled 5

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Carter Bradley pass complete to Ronnie Jones for 2 yds to the Toled 7

4th & 8Punt+37 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 44 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Kobe Lewis run for 16 yds to the Toled 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tommy Lazzaro run for 4 yds to the Toled 24

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

LEWIS, Kobe rush for loss of 1 yard to the TOLEDO25 (9R), PENALTY CMU holding (DILL, D'Andre) 10 yards to the TOLEDO34, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the Toled 31

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

LAZZARO, Tommy pass complete to POLJAN, Tony for 31 yards to the TOLEDO0, clock 07:50, PENALTY CMU ineligible downfield on pass (SMITH, Derek) 5 yards to the TOLEDO36, NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tommy Lazzaro pass incomplete to Cameron Cole

4th & 18Penalty+15 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jalynn Williams) to the Toled 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Kobe Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 24

2nd & 13Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.99

Kobe Lewis run for 16 yds to the Toled 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Kobe Lewis run for 8 yds for a TD (Ryan Tice KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Dequan Finn pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 24 yds to the CMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Dequan Finn run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.30

Dequan Finn pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 10 yds to the CMich 40

3rd & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.24

Dequan Finn run for a loss of 5 yards to the CMich 45

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 29 yds , Kalil Pimpleton returns for 6 yds to the CMich 39 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal block (Chuck Jones) to the CMich 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Thaddeus Cornick run for 4 yds to the CMich 15

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Thaddeus Cornick run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 13

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.12

Thaddeus Cornick run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 11

4th & 10Punt+11 yds

Brady Buell punt for 47 yds , Devin Maddox returns for 11 yds to the CMich 46 Devin Maddox fumbled, forced by Rolliann Sturkey,

3rd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.34

Dequan Finn run for 15 yds to the CMich 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Micah Kelly run for 7 yds to the CMich 39

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Dequan Finn run for 11 yds to the CMich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
59%
32 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play