Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 6, 2019Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 9.4

Home Win Probability

Toledo 72%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kent StateKent State
10710633
ToledoToledo
14140735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-321-1028-1728-2035-2735-33
ToledoKent State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KSTOLKSTOLKSTOLKSTOLKSTOLKSTOLKSTOLTOLKSTOLKSTOLKSTOLKSTOLPUNT32ydTD977ydTO334ydTD759ydFG871ydPUNT413ydTD378ydTD1181ydTD565ydTD1285ydPUNT419ydTO219ydPUNT3-12ydEND335ydTO420ydFG938ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT38ydPUNT514ydTD855ydTD879ydTD1570ydEND934yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kent State and Toledo
StatisticKent StateToledo
Passing14-1815-25
Pass Yards257194
Rush Yards171289
Total Yards428483
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-145-12
Penalties3-403-20
Possession25:0734:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kent State
passing
Dustin Crum
14/18, 257 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Xavier Williams
11 CAR, 63 YDS
receiving
Kavious Price
4 REC, 102 YDS
defense
Toledo
passing
Eli Peters
15/25, 194 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Shakif Seymour
28 CAR, 175 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Desmond Phillips
4 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Matthews run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Matthews run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 25

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Dustin Crum run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27

4th & 8Punt-3 yds

Derek Adams punt for 47 yds , Devin Maddox returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the Toled 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.39

Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 22 yds to the Toled 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the KntSt 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Eli Peters pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 4 yds to the KntSt 44

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.38

Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Eli Peters pass complete to Devin Maddox for 11 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Eli Peters pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 12 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Bryant Koback run for 14 yds for a TD (Evan Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kavious Price run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.65

Will Matthews run for 25 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.46

Will Matthews run for 5 yds to the Toled 41 Will Matthews fumbled, forced by Terrance Taylor, recovered by Toled Saeed Holt

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the Toled 44

2nd & 7Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.30

Shakif Seymour run for 27 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Eli Peters pass complete to Bryant Koback for 7 yds to the KntSt 20

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.75

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the KntSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 19 yds for a TD (Evan Davis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 12 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the KntSt 38

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Xavier Williams run for 4 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +2.51

Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 52 yds to the Toled 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Xavier Williams run for no gain to the Toled 6

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.48

Dustin Crum run for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 ydsPPA -0.60

Matthew Trickett 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Bryant Koback run for 14 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 38

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips, broken up by Jamal Parker

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 40 yds, downed at the KntSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 5 yds to the KntSt 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the KntSt 30

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +6.46

Dustin Crum pass complete to Mike Carrigan for 70 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the Toled 26

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.41

Eli Peters pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 6 yds to the Toled 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 8 yds to the Toled 40

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Shakif Seymour run for 4 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Eli Peters run for 3 yds to the Toled 47

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

PETERS,Eli pass incomplete to MITCHELL,Bryce, PENALTY KENTST holding off-setting, PENALTY TOLEDO ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.50

Bryant Koback run for 11 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Eli Peters pass complete to Nick Kovacs for 15 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.28

Eli Peters pass complete to Devin Maddox for 24 yds to the KntSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the KntSt 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Bryant Koback run for no gain to the KntSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Bryant Koback run for 2 yds for a TD (Evan Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dustin Crum run for no gain to the KntSt 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.60

Dustin Crum pass complete to Antwan Dixon for no gain to the KntSt 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.67

Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 25 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Xavier Williams run for 12 yds to the Toled 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Dustin Crum pass complete to Xavier Williams for 28 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the Toled 21

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the Toled 22

3rd & 3Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.24

Eli Peters pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for 31 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the KntSt 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Eli Peters pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 6 yds to the KntSt 38

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.80

Bryant Koback run for 7 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell, broken up by Elvis Hines

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.89

Bryant Koback run for 5 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, personal foul (Alex Hoag) to the KntSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Reggie Gilliam

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Shakif Seymour run for 3 yds to the KntSt 10

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.00

Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Davis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Dustin Crum pass complete to Kavious Price for 13 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for no gain to the KntSt 38

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Dustin Crum run for 6 yds to the KntSt 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Mike Carrigan, broken up by Chris McDonald

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 45 yds, downed at the Toled 11

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.76

Shakif Seymour run for 15 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Eli Peters run for 1 yd to the Toled 30 Eli Peters fumbled, recovered by KntSt Matt Bahr

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious Price, broken up by Tycen Anderson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Joachim Bangda run for 4 yds to the Toled 26

3rd & 6Rush-16 ydsPPA -3.48

Kavious Price run for a loss of 16 yards to the Toled 42

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Dustin Crum punt for 32 yds, downed at the Toled 10

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.46

Ronnie Jones run for 24 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Ronnie Jones run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

JONES,Ronnie rush for 5 yards to the KENTST45 (WEST, Zayin), PENALTY TOLEDO holding (ROSI,Nick) 5 yards to the TOLEDO45, NO PLAY.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Shakif Seymour run for 18 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the Toled 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Devin Maddox

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -0.84

Eli Peters pass intercepted Jamal Parker return for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 43 TOLEDO Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the KntSt 35

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Xavier Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 34

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.22

Dustin Crum run for 8 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the KntSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.40

Joachim Bangda run for 16 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Joachim Bangda run for 4 yds to the Toled 33

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Joachim Bangda run for 1 yd to the Toled 32

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the Toled 30

4th & 3Field Goal Good+47 ydsPPA +0.28

Matthew Trickett 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds to the Toled 29

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Shakif Seymour run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 28

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.47

Eli Peters sacked by Cepeda Phillips for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 21

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 5 yds to the Toled 49

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dustin Crum run for 3 yds to the Toled 46

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Dustin Crum pass incomplete to Kavious Price, broken up by Saeed Holt

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 41 yds, downed at the Toled 5

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Devin Maddox, broken up by Nick Faulkner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.62

Eli Peters pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 11 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the Toled 18

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the Toled 24

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Brandon Heidecker) to the Toled 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Eli Peters pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 35 yds , Kwincy Hall returns for no gain to the KntSt 45 Kwincy Hall fumbled, forced by Samuel Womack, recovered by KntSt Miles Daniel

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Xavier Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 43

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Dustin Crum run for 11 yds to the Toled 46

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.36

Xavier Williams run for 11 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.32

Xavier Williams run for 13 yds to the Toled 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.13

Xavier Williams run for 12 yds to the Toled 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dustin Crum run for 5 yds to the Toled 5

2nd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.71

Dustin Crum sacked by Jalynn Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the Toled 11

3rd & 11Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.15

Dustin Crum run for 11 yds for a TD (Matthew Trickett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Ronnie Jones run for 2 yds to the Toled 23

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

PETERS,Eli pass incomplete to McKINLEY-LEWIS, PENALTY KENTST pass interference (HINES, Elvis) 15 yards to the TOLEDO38, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Eli Peters pass complete to Devin Maddox for 7 yds to the Toled 45

2nd & 3Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.19

Ronnie Jones run for 18 yds to the KntSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Eli Peters pass complete to Bryce Mitchell for 11 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.51

Eli Peters run for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 33 Eli Peters fumbled, recovered by Toled Eli Peters

2nd & 17Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds to the KntSt 24

3rd & 8Penalty+12 yds

PETERS,Eli pass intercepted by GAMBLE, Kesean at the KENTST19, GAMBLE, Kesean return to the KENTST30, PENALTY KENTST roughing passer (PHILLIPS, C.) 12 yards to the KENTST12, 1ST DOWN TOLEDO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Shakif Seymour run for 7 yds to the KntSt 5

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.23

Shakif Seymour run for 5 yds for a TD (Evan Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Will Matthews run for 2 yds to the KntSt 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.48

Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 8 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Dustin Crum sacked by Jamal Hines for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 36

2nd & 14Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Dustin Crum run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 32

3rd & 18Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.01

Dustin Crum pass complete to Will Matthews for 28 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Will Matthews run for 4 yds to the Toled 36

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Will Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 37

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Dustin Crum run for 8 yds to the Toled 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Will Matthews run for 13 yds to the Toled 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Dustin Crum pass complete to Dante Cephas for 6 yds to the Toled 10

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.92

Will Matthews run for 7 yds to the Toled 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Will Matthews run for 1 yd to the Toled 2

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Will Matthews run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 3

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Matthews run for a loss of 2 yards to the Toled 5

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Dustin Crum pass complete to Keenan Orr for 5 yds for a TD Timeout KENT ST, clock 05:27 (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Shakif Seymour run for 9 yds to the Toled 38

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Shakif Seymour run for 13 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Shakif Seymour run for 6 yds to the KntSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Ronnie Jones run for 3 yds to the KntSt 40

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the KntSt 40

4th & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.14

Shakif Seymour run for 10 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Shakif Seymour run for 2 yds to the KntSt 28

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.63

Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 33

3rd & 13Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.68

Team run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 37

Situational Analysis

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
10 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
51%
37 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
58%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays