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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2019Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Toledo by 1.2

Home Win Probability

Ball State 40%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
007714
Ball StateBall State
172114052

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-017-024-031-045-752-752-14
Ball StateToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSTOLBSPUNT3-2ydTO3-8ydFG614ydPUNT411ydTD975ydPUNT31ydTD380ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydTD462ydPUNT3-2ydTD1155ydPUNT39ydTO316ydDOWNS720ydTD340ydTO4-22ydTD679ydTD762ydTO1059ydTD780ydMISS1454ydMISS963ydTD1480ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Ball State
StatisticToledoBall State
Passing16-3811-17
Pass Yards171206
Rush Yards138374
Total Yards309580
Turnovers31
3rd Down4-186-12
Penalties5-285-60
Possession29:2030:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Carter Bradley
14/34, 137 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ronnie Jones
8 CAR, 72 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Nick Kovacs
3 REC, 53 YDS
defense
Ball State
passing
Drew Plitt
11/17, 206 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Caleb Huntley
20 CAR, 119 YDS
receiving
Riley Miller
4 REC, 87 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 32

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.37

Justin Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 29

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.48

Drew Plitt sacked by Nate Givhan for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 23

4th & 12Punt+22 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 52 yds , Devin Maddox returns for 22 yds to the Toled 47

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Bryce Mitchell) to the Toled 42

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the Toled 43

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Bryant Koback

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Carter Bradley run for a loss of 7 yards to the Toled 39 Carter Bradley fumbled, forced by Jordan Williams, recovered by BalSt Jimmy Daw

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 10 yds to the Toled 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Riley Miller, broken up by DeDarallo Blue

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Caleb Huntley run for 6 yds to the Toled 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 14 yds to the Toled 25 for a 1ST down

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

PLITT, Drew pass complete to MILLER, Riley for 9 yards to the TOL0, clock 10:52, PENALTY BALL pass interference (GIVAN, Nolan) 15 yards to the TOL24, NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Drew Plitt pass complete to Walter Fletcher for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 25

4th & 20Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +1.76

Ryan Rimmler 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Bryant Koback run for 12 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 43

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Shakif Seymour run for no gain to the Toled 43

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Desmond Phillips, broken up by Nic Jones

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BalSt 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Justin Hall run for 5 yds to the BalSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 4 yds to the BalSt 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Drew Plitt run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Walter Fletcher run for 5 yds to the BalSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Walter Fletcher run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.12

Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 24 yds to the Toled 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the Toled 24

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.97

Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 24 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carter Bradley run for no gain to the Toled 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the Toled 26 TOLEDO Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declined

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Shakif Seymour

4th & 9Punt+8 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 52 yds , Riley Miller returns for 8 yds to the BalSt 34 BALL ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Jordan Williams) to the BalSt 20

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 27

2nd & 3Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.72

Caleb Huntley run for 34 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Drew Plitt pass complete to Riley Miller for 39 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Carter Bradley pass complete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 36

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Carter Bradley pass incomplete, broken up by Christian Albright

4th & 13Punt+14 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 46 yds , Riley Miller returns for 14 yds to the BalSt 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Caleb Huntley run for 5 yds to the BalSt 37

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

HUNTLEY, Caleb rush for 38 yards to the TOL25 (ANDERSON,Tycen), PENALTY BALL holding (RUDY, Cody) 10 yards to the BALL27, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Walter Fletcher run for 7 yds to the BalSt 34

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler, broken up by Jordan Hendy

4th & 8Punt+6 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 62 yds , Devin Maddox returns for 6 yds to the Toled 10

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Bryant Koback run for 6 yds to the Toled 16

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the Toled 18

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Bryant Koback run for no gain to the Toled 18

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 44 yds, downed at the BalSt 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Caleb Huntley run for 2 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +3.92

Malik Dunner run for 51 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Carter Bradley run for 8 yds to the Toled 33

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Mitchell Berg) to the Toled 28

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.84

Carter Bradley sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the Toled 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Bryce Mitchell, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma II

4th & 12Punt+8 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 40 yds , Riley Miller returns for 8 yds to the BalSt 45

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Caleb Huntley run for 8 yds to the Toled 47

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Justin Hall run for 8 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the Toled 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.94

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 20 yds to the Toled 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the Toled 16

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Caleb Huntley run for 7 yds to the Toled 9

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the Toled 8

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.03

Drew Plitt run for 3 yds to the Toled 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-10 yds

PLITT, Drew rush for 5 yards to the TOL0, clock 05:36, PENALTY BALL holding (MARTIN, Luke) 10 yards to the TOL15, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Walter Fletcher run for 12 yds to the Toled 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Walter Fletcher run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Bryant Koback run for 4 yds to the Toled 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Carter Bradley pass complete to Bryant Koback for 5 yds to the Toled 16

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis, broken up by Jacob White

4th & 1Punt+9 yds

Thomas Cluckey punt for 40 yds , Riley Miller returns for 9 yds to the Toled 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 13 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the Toled 31

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.86

Drew Plitt pass intercepted, touchback. Jordan Hendy return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Shakif Seymour run for 1 yd to the Toled 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Carter Bradley pass complete to Nick Kovacs for 15 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Carter Bradley pass complete to Shakif Seymour for 9 yds to the Toled 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Nick Kovacs, broken up by Amechi Uzodinma II

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.75

Bryant Koback run for a loss of 5 yards to the Toled 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Walter Fletcher run for 4 yds to the Toled 36

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +4.18

Drew Plitt pass complete to Justin Hall for 36 yds for a TD TOLEDO Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis, broken up by Brett Anderson II

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.26

Carter Bradley sacked by Jordan Williams and Christian Albright for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 14Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.10

Carter Bradley run for a loss of 16 yards to the Toled 24 Carter Bradley fumbled, forced by Clayton Coll, recovered by BalSt Clayton Coll , return for 8 yds to the Toled 24

0th & 14End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Bryant Koback run for 3 yds to the Toled 24

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.53

Bryant Koback run for 13 yds to the Toled 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Bryant Koback run for no gain to the Toled 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Carter Bradley pass complete to Reggie Gilliam for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Carter Bradley pass complete to Drew Rosi for 6 yds to the BalSt 44

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.50

Ronnie Jones run for 44 yds for a TD, (Evan Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Caleb Huntley run for 3 yds to the BalSt 41

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.08

Caleb Huntley run for 17 yds to the Toled 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Caleb Huntley run for 4 yds to the Toled 38

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Walter Fletcher run for 2 yds to the Toled 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.38

Drew Plitt pass complete to Antwan Davis for 23 yds to the Toled 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the Toled 12

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.78

Justin Hall run for 12 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Bryant Koback run for 1 yd to the Toled 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Carter Bradley pass complete to Nick Kovacs for 13 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.15

Carter Bradley pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 27 yds to the BalSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin Maddox

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Bryant Koback run for 2 yds to the BalSt 36

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Carter Bradley run for 7 yds to the BalSt 29

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Ronnie Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Drew Rosi

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Ronnie Jones run for 6 yds to the BalSt 20

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.97

Carter Bradley pass intercepted, touchback. Antonio Phillips return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 21

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Caleb Huntley run for 1 yd to the BalSt 22

3rd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.07

Drew Plitt run for 15 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Walter Fletcher run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Walter Fletcher run for 3 yds to the Toled 47

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.09

Walter Fletcher run for 8 yds to the Toled 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Malik Dunner run for 39 yds for a TD, (Ryan Rimmler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Ronnie Jones run for 2 yds to the Toled 28

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Carter Bradley run for 5 yds to the Toled 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.46

Carter Bradley pass complete to Ronnie Jones for 5 yds to the Toled 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Carter Bradley pass complete to Darius Corbett for 1 yd to the Toled 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 6 yds to the Toled 45

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.68

Carter Bradley pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 6 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Carter Bradley pass complete to Desmond Phillips for 13 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin Maddox

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.17

Carter Bradley pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 21 yds to the BalSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Darius Corbett

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Carter Bradley pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TOLEDO Penalty, false start (Mitchell Berg) to the BalSt 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Danzel McKinley-Lewis

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Evan Davis 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Will Jones run for 4 yds to the BalSt 26

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.20

Will Jones run for 5 yds to the BalSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tye Evans run for 5 yds to the BalSt 36

2nd & 5Rush+44 ydsPPA +2.89

Tye Evans run for 44 yds to the Toled 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tye Evans run for no gain to the Toled 20

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Trevor Hohlt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 21

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Will Jones run for 4 yds to the Toled 17

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Ryan Rimmler 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Dequan Finn run for 9 yds to the Toled 29

2nd & 1Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.73

Dequan Finn pass complete to Nick Kovacs for 25 yds to the BalSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Ronnie Jones run for 9 yds to the BalSt 37

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.25

Dequan Finn run for 7 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Nick Kovacs

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Jacquez Stuart run for 9 yds to the BalSt 21

3rd & 1Penalty-8 yds

FINN,Dequann rush for 10 yards to the BALL11 (MURRAY, D.), PENALTY TOL holding (LONG,Tyler) 8 yards to the BALL29, NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Dequan Finn run for 3 yds to the BalSt 26

4th & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Dequan Finn pass complete to Jacquez Stuart for 9 yds to the BalSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dequan Finn pass incomplete to Jacquez Stuart

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Dequan Finn run for 7 yds to the BalSt 10

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.66

Ronnie Jones run for 4 yds to the BalSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ronnie Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Dequan Finn run for 2 yds to the BalSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ronnie Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Evan Davis KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BalSt 23

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
16 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
54%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play