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← Back to GamesDec 1, 2019Week 14
NavyNavy
56
-Final
41
HoustonHouston
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 3.6

Home Win Probability

Houston 43%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 1, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NavyNavy
217141456
HoustonHouston
14137741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-714-1421-2124-2827-2827-3534-4234-4941-4941-56
HoustonNavy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVHOUNAVTD375ydTD875ydTO02ydTD428ydTD1075ydTD275ydTD675ydPUNT415ydTO10ydTD33ydFG659ydPUNT3-8ydFG840ydEND20ydTD175ydMISS1369ydDOWNS49ydTD329ydTD775ydTO415ydDOWNS49ydTO10ydTD880ydTD1071ydTD578ydTO314ydEND525yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Navy and Houston
StatisticNavyHouston
Passing2-423-35
Pass Yards107393
Rush Yards447134
Total Yards554527
Turnovers05
3rd Down5-104-10
Penalties2-152-19
Possession29:2630:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Navy
passing
Malcolm Perry
2/4, 107 YDS
rushing
Jamale Carothers
18 CAR, 188 YDS, 5 TD
receiving
defense
Kevin Brennan
1 TFL, 1 PD
Houston
passing
Clayton Tune
23/35, 393 YDS, 4 TD, 4 INT
rushing
Clayton Tune
11 CAR, 61 YDS
receiving
Marquez Stevenson
8 REC, 133 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Grant Stuard
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the Houst 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Clayton Tune pass complete to Patrick Carr for 5 yds to the Houst 33

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.30

Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 67 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

CJ Williams run for 5 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the Navy 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.56

CJ Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 38

3rd & 8Rush+54 ydsPPA +4.28

Malcolm Perry run for 54 yds to the Houst 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jamale Carothers run for 8 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.64

Malcolm Perry sacked by Aymiel Fleming for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 35

2nd & 17Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.76

CJ Williams run for 9 yds to the Houst 26

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

CJ Williams run for 9 yds to the Houst 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Jamale Carothers run for 17 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Clayton Tune run for 2 yds to the Houst 27

2nd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.69

Clayton Tune run for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.83

Patrick Carr run for 14 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Clayton Tune run for 1 yd to the Navy 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Clayton Tune pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 1 yd to the Navy 34

4th & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.68

Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 16 yds to the Navy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Patrick Carr run for 1 yd to the Navy 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.98

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 12 yds to the Navy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Patrick Carr run for 5 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.52

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Keoni-Kordell Makekau for 60 yds to the Houst 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Malcolm Perry run for 15 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Clayton Tune pass complete to Patrick Carr for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +4.26

Clayton Tune pass complete to Courtney Lark for 52 yds to the Navy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.64

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 15 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Navy 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 5 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Malcolm Perry run for 11 yds to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 42

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Damarion Williams at the Houst 19

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-9 ydsPPA -0.56

Clayton Tune pass intercepted Carter Bankston return for 9 yds to the Houst 3

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Houst 1

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

CJ Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

CJ Williams run for 3 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.96

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 47 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Clayton Tune run for 10 yds to the Navy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.56

Patrick Carr run for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 16

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson, broken up by Tyler Pistorio

3rd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Clayton Tune run for 6 yds to the Navy 10

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 ydsPPA -0.61

Dalton Witherspoon 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

2nd & 9Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.71

Malcolm Perry sacked by Olivier Charles-Pierre for a loss of 13 yards to the Navy 13

3rd & 22Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.00

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the Navy 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Damarion Williams at the Houst 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Navy 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 6 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 6 yds Marquez Stevenson fumbled, recovered by Houst Marquez Stevenson

2nd & 3Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.84

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 33 yds to the Navy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 6

1st & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.05

Clayton Tune sacked by Paul Carothers for a loss of 9 yards to the Navy 15

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson

3rd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Clayton Tune pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 3 yds to the Navy 12

4th & 12Field Goal Good+29 ydsPPA -0.22

Dalton Witherspoon 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for no gain to the Navy 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Jamale Carothers run for 75 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Patrick Carr run for 9 yds to the Houst 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Clayton Tune pass complete to Patrick Carr for 6 yds to the Houst 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Marquez Stevenson run for 6 yds to the Houst 46

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.46

Kyle Porter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Houst 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.27

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 9 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Navy 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian Trahan, broken up by Jackson Perkins

4th & 5Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.26

Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 33 yds to the Navy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Patrick Carr run for 3 yds to the Navy 5

3rd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 6

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+23 yds

Dalton Witherspoon 23 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CAROTHERS, J rush option left for 60 yards to the HOU20 (OWENS, Gervarri), PENALTY NAVY holding (FORNEY, David) 10 yards to the NAVY10, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Malcolm Perry run for 7 yds to the Navy 17

2nd & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Myles Fells run for 11 yds to the Navy 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 29

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson, broken up by Kevin Brennan

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Clayton Tune run for 3 yds to the Navy 26

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.55

Clayton Tune pass complete to Courtney Lark for 26 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 9 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Keoni-Kordell Makekau, broken up by Damarion Williams

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Mark Walker run for 13 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Jamale Carothers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 47

2nd & 11Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.70

Malcolm Perry run for 29 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Ford Higgins) to the Houst 29

1st & 15Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.16

Jamale Carothers run for 29 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 8 yds to the Houst 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Patrick Carr run for 6 yds to the Houst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Houst 40

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return+1 ydsPPA -1.24

Clayton Tune pass intercepted Micah Farrar return for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 15

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Jamale Carothers run for 8 yds to the Navy 23

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Keoni-Kordell Makekau, broken up by Grant Stuard

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 24

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA +0.06

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 24

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.32

Clayton Tune pass intercepted, touchback. Kevin Brennan return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the Navy 24

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.87

Jamale Carothers run for 7 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 32

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

CJ Williams run for 5 yds to the Navy 37

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.92

Myles Fells run for 7 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.75

Malcolm Perry run for 36 yds to the Houst 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the Houst 18

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.82

Tyreek King-El run for 18 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Houst 36

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Clayton Tune run for 6 yds to the Houst 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.27

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 16 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Terry Mark

3rd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.59

Patrick Carr run for 19 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Navy 23

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kyle Porter run for no gain to the Navy 23

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Kyle Porter run for 1 yd to the Navy 22

4th & 9Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +4.26

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 22 yds for a TD (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

CJ Williams run for 6 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.93

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Jamale Carothers for 47 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the Houst 19

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.61

Jamale Carothers run for 19 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 7 yds to the Houst 21

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Clayton Tune run for 7 yds to the Houst 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.14

Clayton Tune pass intercepted Evan Fochtman return for no gain to the Navy 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Nelson Smith run for 7 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.34

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.51

Nelson Smith run for 17 yds to the Houst 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

N/A

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

N/A

Situational Analysis

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
64%
25 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
46%
28 plays
2nd
100%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play