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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2019Week 13
SMUSMU
28
-Final
35
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 0.4

Home Win Probability

Navy 50%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
SMUSMU
7140728
NavyNavy
73101535

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-710-1410-2117-2120-2128-2128-2835-28
NavySMU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVSMUNAVTO850ydMISS1151ydPUNT36ydTD865ydTD00ydFG1151ydTD1275ydPUNT3-15ydTD242ydDOWNS737ydPUNT514ydEND14ydTD1375ydPUNT3-5ydFG973ydPUNT34ydTD1076ydTD685ydDOWNS815ydPUNT34ydTD370ydDOWNS1163ydEND736yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing SMU and Navy
StatisticSMUNavy
Passing16-299-15
Pass Yards251162
Rush Yards93378
Total Yards344540
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-136-17
Penalties4-355-31
Possession20:2039:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

SMU
passing
Shane Buechele
16/28, 251 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Xavier Jones
18 CAR, 61 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Rashee Rice
3 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Navy
passing
Malcolm Perry
9/15, 162 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Malcolm Perry
38 CAR, 195 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ryan Mitchell
3 REC, 48 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

James Proche run for 2 yds to the SMU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 2 yds to the SMU 29

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

BUECHELE, Shane pass incomplete to PROCHE, James, PENALTY NAVY offside defense (PERKINS, J) 5 yards to the SMU34, NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Xavier Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 35

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.81

Shane Buechele pass complete to Tyler Page for 31 yds to the Navy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the Navy 29

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.76

Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the Navy 25 Xavier Jones fumbled, forced by Mike Flowers, recovered by Navy Jackson Pittman

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 10 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the Navy 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tazh Maloy run for 4 yds to the Navy 49

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 49

4th & 1Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.17

Jamale Carothers run for 22 yds to the SMU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the SMU 27

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

CJ Williams run for 3 yds to the SMU 24

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Bijan Nichols 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Page pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 6 yds to the SMU 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Trevor Denbow punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tazh Maloy run for 7 yds to the Navy 42

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 44

3rd & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.32

CJ Williams run for 21 yds to the SMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 9 yds to the SMU 26

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.26

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the SMU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the SMU 22

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.84

Chance Warren run for 22 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

NAVY Penalty, personal foul (-12 Yards) to the Navy 13

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Tazh Maloy run for 9 yds to the Navy 22

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Tazh Maloy run for no gain to the Navy 22

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 22

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.88

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Keoni-Kordell Makekau for 32 yds to the SMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the SMU 40

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.66

Malcolm Perry run for 14 yds to the SMU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the SMU 23

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the SMU 22

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the SMU 19

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (David Forney) to the SMU 24

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 ydsPPA +0.33

Bijan Nichols 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.95

Shane Buechele pass complete to Kylen Granson for 30 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JONES, Xavier rush for 11 yards to the NAVY30 (BRENNAN, Kevin), PENALTY SMU holding (BECKER, Ryan) 10 yards to the SMU49, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 14 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Shane Buechele pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Shane Buechele pass complete to Ryan Becker for 3 yds to the Navy 34

4th & 3Penalty+4 yds

BUECHELE, Shane pass incomplete to GRANSON, Kylen, PENALTY NAVY pass interference (SPRINGER, Jacob) 4 yards to the NAVY30, 1ST DOWN SMU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Ke'Mon Freeman run for 3 yds to the Navy 27

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ke'Mon Freeman run for 5 yds to the Navy 22

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ke'Mon Freeman run for no gain to the Navy 22

4th & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Xavier Jones run for 11 yds to the Navy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the Navy 9

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Shane Buechele run for 1 yd to the Navy 8

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.90

Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 8 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the Navy 19

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.43

Malcolm Perry sacked by Zach Abercrumbia and Patrick Nelson for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 12

3rd & 16Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.06

Malcolm Perry sacked by Tyeson Neals for a loss of 9 yards to the Navy 3

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.87

Shane Buechele pass complete to CJ Sanders for 33 yds to the Navy 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Xavier Jones run for 9 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the Navy 25

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 13 yds to the Navy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.81

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 23 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jamale Carothers run for 5 yds to the SMU 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the SMU 32

3rd & 3Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.26

CJ Williams run for a loss of 6 yards to the SMU 38

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Chance Warren

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 8 yds to the SMU 46

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Shane Buechele run for 3 yds to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson, broken up by Chelen Garnes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Shane Buechele pass complete to CJ Sanders for 3 yds to the Navy 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Tyler Page

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Trevor Denbow punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the Navy 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

CJ Williams run for 8 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 8 yds to the Navy 44

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.53

CJ Williams run for 3 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the SMU 45

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the SMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the SMU 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.72

Malcolm Perry pass complete to CJ Williams for 33 yds to the SMU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the SMU 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the SMU 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd to the SMU 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to CJ Sanders

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

SMU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 42

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James Proche

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Trevor Denbow punt for 42 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 20 yds to the Navy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Malcolm Perry run for 12 yds to the SMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 10 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the SMU 36

2nd & 8Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.98

Malcolm Perry run for 24 yds to the SMU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the SMU 9

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the SMU 6

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 7

4th & 5Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.89

Bijan Nichols 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Shane Buechele run for 4 yds to the SMU 38

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James Proche

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Rashee Rice

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Trevor Denbow punt for 39 yds , Garrett Winn returns for 1 yd to the Navy 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

CJ Williams run for 7 yds to the Navy 31

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.22

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Malcolm Perry sacked by Turner Coxe and Pono Davis for a loss of 3 yards to the Navy 31

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.54

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 15 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Nelson Smith run for 15 yds to the SMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 9 yds to the SMU 30

2nd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA -0.22

Malcolm Perry run for 17 yds to the SMU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Ford Higgins) to the SMU 18

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the SMU 13

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Nelson Smith

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.17

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 13 yds for a TD Timeout NAVY, clock 14:19 (Malcolm Perry pass to CJ Williams for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.77

Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 13 yds to the SMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Xavier Jones run for 7 yds to the SMU 35

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Xavier Jones run for 2 yds to the SMU 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the SMU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Shane Buechele run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 39

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +6.08

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 61 yds for a TD (Kevin Robledo KICK)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.09

CJ Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the SMU 49

2nd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Malcolm Perry run for 9 yds to the SMU 40

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 2 yds to the SMU 38

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.35

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Chance Warren for 8 yds to the SMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the SMU 28

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the SMU 28

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the SMU 29

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.09

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to CJ Williams, broken up by Trevor Denbow

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Xavier Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the SMU 26

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Shane Buechele pass complete to Rashee Rice for 7 yds to the SMU 33

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to Kylen Granson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Trevor Denbow punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Garrett Winn at the Navy 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Jamale Carothers

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

CJ Williams run for no gain to the Navy 30

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +7.02

Malcolm Perry run for 70 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK) SMU Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Xavier Jones run for 1 yd to the SMU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.71

Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 12 yds to the SMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shane Buechele pass complete to James Proche for 5 yds to the SMU 43

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Xavier Jones run for 4 yds to the SMU 47

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.32

Xavier Jones run for 5 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Shane Buechele run for 15 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Shane Buechele pass complete to CJ Sanders for 15 yds to the Navy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the Navy 15

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Xavier Jones run for 3 yds to the Navy 12

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James Proche

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.77

Shane Buechele pass incomplete to James Proche, broken up by Cameron Kinley

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the Navy 20

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 21

2nd & 12Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Malcolm Perry run for 10 yds to the Navy 31

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 31

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

SMU Penalty, offside defense (Rodney Clemons) to the Navy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SMU Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the SMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 49

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 48

Situational Analysis

SMU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
49%
35 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
38%
13 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
38%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays