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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2019Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 44.8

Home Win Probability

Cincinnati 99%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UConnUConn
00033
CincinnatiCincinnati
14243748

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-017-024-031-041-048-048-3
CincinnatiUConn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UCOCINUCOCINUCOCINUCOCINUCOCINUCOCINUCOCINUCOCINUCOCINUCOCINUCOCINUCOCINPUNT410ydTD462ydPUNT417ydTD765ydPUNT415ydFG1344ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT37ydPUNT517ydTD771ydPUNT34ydTD570ydTO634ydTD555ydEND112ydFG1156ydPUNT6-1ydTO18ydDOWNS621ydTD1193ydFG1652ydPUNT33ydDOWNS624ydEND39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UConn and Cincinnati
StatisticUConnCincinnati
Passing10-2316-28
Pass Yards70200
Rush Yards148307
Total Yards218507
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-1411-16
Penalties9-712-20
Possession32:2627:34

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UConn
passing
Mike Beaudry
6/9, 35 YDS
rushing
Kevin Mensah
24 CAR, 115 YDS
receiving
Ardell Brown
3 REC, 29 YDS
defense
Cincinnati
passing
Desmond Ridder
13/23, 136 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Gerrid Doaks
13 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Josiah Deguara
5 REC, 45 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Bryan Wright
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the UConn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

MENSAH, Kevin rush for 10 yards to the UCONN43, out-of-bounds (BRYANT, Coby), PENALTY UCONN holding (VAN DEMARK, Rya) 10 yards to the UCONN23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete

3rd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Art Thompkins run for 9 yds to the UConn 32

4th & 11Punt+3 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 33 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 3 yds to the Cincy 38

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Tre Tucker run for 19 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 11 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 18 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Kevin Mensah run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 9 yds to the Cincy 41

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Cincy 41

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Jay Rose) to the Cincy 46

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.67

Jack Zergiotis sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 49

4th & 11Punt0 yds

TEAM punt, downed at the Cincy 35

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the Cincy 36

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Cincy 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.57

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 9 yds to the UConn 45 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, tripping (Omar Fortt) to the UConn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Warren II run for 5 yds to the UConn 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Lorenz Metz) to the UConn 40

3rd & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +3.01

Desmond Ridder run for 34 yds to the UConn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Michael Warren II run for 6 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 13 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Art Thompkins run for 2 yds to the UConn 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Ardell Brown

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 39 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 7 yds to the Cincy 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Desmond Ridder run for 6 yds to the Cincy 34

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Cincy 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.64

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 6 yds to the Cincy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the Cincy 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Malick Mbodj

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Gerrid Doaks run for 9 yds to the UConn 39

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Gerrid Doaks run for 8 yds to the UConn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 2 yds Josiah Deguara fumbled, forced by Tyler Coyle, recovered by Cincy

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd to the UConn 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah Deguara

4th & 7Field Goal Good+45 ydsPPA +0.58

Cole Smith 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 28

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 31

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.54

Jack Zergiotis sacked by Bryan Wright and Myjai Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the UConn 25

4th & 12Punt+13 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 38 , Ryan Montgomery returns for 13 yds to the Cincy 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Cincy 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 43 yds, downed at the UConn 12

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Kevin Mensah run for 7 yds to the UConn 19

2nd & 3Penalty0 yds

ZERGIOTIS, Jack pass complete to ROSS, Cameron for 7 yards to the UCONN26 (WARD, Taj), PENALTY CIN offside off-setting, PENALTY UCONN holding off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UConn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 45 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 3 yds to the Cincy 29

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.72

Michael Warren II run for 19 yds to the UConn 48 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, personal foul (Jeremy Lucien) to the UConn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.14

Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

RIDDER, Desmond sacked for loss of 9 yards to the UCONN32 (HARRIS, Dillon), fumble by RIDDER, Desmond recovered by UCONN SWENSON, Ian at UCONN33, PENALTY UCONN tripping (HARRIS, Dillon) 11 yards to the UCONN12, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the UConn 10

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the UConn 5

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.71

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Michael Warren II run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 29

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UConn 24

2nd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Jay Rose for 8 yds to the UConn 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+4 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 30 , Ryan Montgomery returns for 4 yds to the Cincy 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 5 yds to the Cincy 35

2nd & 5Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.06

Gerrid Doaks run for 53 yds to the UConn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Gerrid Doaks run for 8 yds to the UConn 4

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the UConn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete to Kevin Mensah

2nd & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.28

Art Thompkins run for 30 yds to the Cincy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jack Zergiotis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jack Zergiotis pass complete to Ardell Brown for 5 yds to the Cincy 30

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Jack Zergiotis sacked by Curtis Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 31

4th & 6Pass Interception Return-38 ydsPPA -2.26

Jack Zergiotis pass intercepted Darrick Forrest return for 38 yds to the Cincy 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.41

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 23 yds to the UConn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 12 yds to the UConn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 5 yds to the UConn 15

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.95

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 15 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.94

Kevin Mensah run for 12 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 33

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 37

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Cincy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.57

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 20 yds to the UConn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 5 yds to the UConn 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael Warren II

3rd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Desmond Ridder run for 17 yds to the UConn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the UConn 15

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.42

Sam Crosa 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, false start (Cam DeGeorge) to the UConn 35

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Jay Rose for 1 yd to the UConn 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.88

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Ardell Brown for 11 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kevin Mensah run for no gain to the Cincy 49

2nd & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.38

Mike Beaudry sacked by Curtis Brooks for a loss of 14 yards to the CINCINNATI 37 CONNECTICUT Penalty, intentional grounding (Mike Beaudry) to the UConn 37

3rd & 24Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Art Thompkins for 2 yds to the UConn 39

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Luke Magliozzi punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -0.61

Gerrid Doaks run for 7 yds to the Cincy 28 Gerrid Doaks fumbled, forced by Myles Bell, recovered by UConn Jackson Mitchell

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Cincy 27

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.59

Kevin Mensah run for 11 yds to the Cincy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the Cincy 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mike Beaudry pass incomplete to Cameron Ross

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Cincy 7

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.10

Mike Beaudry run for no gain to the Cincy 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Cincy 8

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Gerrid Doaks run for 7 yds to the Cincy 15

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.62

Gerrid Doaks run for 6 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.72

Ben Bryant pass complete to Josh Whyle for 32 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Ben Bryant pass complete to Blue Smith for 8 yds to the UConn 39

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.18

Gerrid Doaks run for 16 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.01

Ben Bryant sacked by Travis Jones and Kevon Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the UConn 28

2nd & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.98

Ben Bryant pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 24 yds to the UConn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds to the UConn 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Leonard Taylor, broken up by Tyler Coyle

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Ryan Montgomery run for 2 yds for a TD (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 33

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Mike Beaudry run for 7 yds to the UConn 40

3rd & 4Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.73

Mike Beaudry run for 2 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, personal foul (Justin Harris) to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Mike Beaudry run for 3 yds to the Cincy 40

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the Cincy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Cincy 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Cincy 24

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the Cincy 23

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Cincy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mike Beaudry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Art Thompkins run for 7 yds to the Cincy 13

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the Cincy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the Cincy 5

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

CONNECTICUT Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 10

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the Cincy 6

3rd & 6Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.27

Mike Beaudry sacked by Joel Dublanko for a loss of 8 yards to the Cincy 14 CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 14Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA +0.10

Clayton Harris 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Cincy 28

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Ben Bryant run for 2 yds to the Cincy 30

4th & 7Punt+11 yds

James Smith punt for 43 yds , Quayvon Skanes returns for 11 yds to the UConn 38

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Art Thompkins run for 4 yds to the UConn 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.51

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Cameron Ross for 11 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Mike Beaudry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Art Thompkins for 9 yds to the Cincy 38

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Art Thompkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 39

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -2.00

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Art Thompkins for 1 yd to the Cincy 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Michael Kopaygorodsky run for 7 yds to the Cincy 45

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Michael Kopaygorodsky run for no gain to the Cincy 45

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jake Sopko run for 2 yds to the Cincy 47

Situational Analysis

UConn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
55%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
53%
30 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
78%
9 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays