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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2019Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 12.5

Home Win Probability

Navy 74%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South FloridaSouth Florida
03003
NavyNavy
71401435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-021-021-328-335-3
NavySouth Florida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFNAVSFPUNT35ydPUNT36ydPUNT729ydTD891ydPUNT515ydTD367ydPUNT30ydTD959ydPUNT933ydTO311ydFG45ydTO410ydTO519ydEND1-1ydTO836ydDOWNS734ydPUNT36ydPUNT1037ydTD876ydPUNT37ydTD1080ydMISS1059ydPUNT36ydEND36yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Florida and Navy
StatisticSouth FloridaNavy
Passing15-301-4
Pass Yards11423
Rush Yards150434
Total Yards264457
Turnovers13
3rd Down7-189-12
Penalties8-656-45
Possession29:1030:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Florida
passing
Kirk Rygol
4/7, 64 YDS
rushing
Jordan Cronkrite
17 CAR, 76 YDS
receiving
Jacob Mathis
2 REC, 34 YDS
defense
Navy
passing
CJ Williams
1/1, 23 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Malcolm Perry
22 CAR, 188 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
OJ Davis
1 REC, 23 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 5 yds to the SFla 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Miller for no gain to the SFla 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 34 yds, downed at the Navy 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Malcolm Perry run for 3 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 42

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 15

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Jordan McCloud run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 21 Jordan McCloud fumbled, recovered by SFla Jordan McCloud , return for 8 yds to the SFla 21

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Jordan Cronkrite run for 10 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the SFla 35

2nd & 6Penalty+5 yds

McCLOUD, Jordan pass complete to PHILLIPS, J for no gain to the USF35 (TUITELE, Tama), PENALTY NAVY offside (SPRINGER, Jacob) 5 yards to the USF40, NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Trevon Sands run for 9 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Marcus Norman) to the SFla 44

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jordan McCloud run for no gain to the SFla 44

2nd & 15Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordan McCloud sacked by Jacob Springer for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 42

3rd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 2 yds to the SFla 44

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 9

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 8

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Malcolm Perry run for 10 yds to the Navy 18

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.53

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

CJ Williams run for 4 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

CJ Williams run for 3 yds to the Navy 29

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.09

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Myles Fells run for 1 yd to the Navy 33

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.29

Malcolm Perry run for 67 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 9 yds to the SFla 27

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SFla 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SFla 28

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 30

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 3 yds to the SFla 33

4th & 5Punt+12 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 46 yds , Garrett Winn returns for 12 yds to the Navy 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 34

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Jamale Carothers run for 8 yds to the Navy 42

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +5.48

Jamale Carothers run for 58 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Cronkrite run for 5 yds to the SFla 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+17 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 41 yds , Garrett Winn returns for 17 yds to the Navy 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Ryan Mitchell

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the Navy 49

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.45

Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the SFla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 7 yds to the SFla 39

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.00

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the SFla 34

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the SFla 28

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.50

Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

CJ Williams pass complete to OJ Davis for 23 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the SFla 23

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Cronkrite run for 5 yds to the SFla 28

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.67

Trevon Sands run for 1 yd to the SFla 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 5 yds to the SFla 37

3rd & 2Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.68

Jordan McCloud run for 20 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Miller for no gain to the Navy 43

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Trevon Sands, broken up by Diego Fagot

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

SCHNEIDER, T punt 41 yards to the NAVY2, downed, PENALTY USF illegal formation 5 yards to the NAVY48, NO PLAY.

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 9

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Tazh Maloy run for 7 yds to the Navy 16

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Tazh Maloy run for 4 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-37 ydsPPA -0.61

Malcolm Perry pass intercepted KJ Sails return for 22 yds to the Navy 42 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (Greg Reaves) to the Navy 21

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jordan McCloud sacked by J'arius Warren for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 23

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the Navy 22

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Eddie McDoom for 6 yds to the Navy 16

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 ydsPPA -0.52

Spencer Shrader 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 65Penalty+15 yds

NAVY Penalty, personal foul (Jackson Pittman) to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 24

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Mychal Cooper run for 10 yds to the Navy 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Jamale Carothers run for 1 yd to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.76

Malcolm Perry pass intercepted Nick Roberts return for no gain to the SFla 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Jordan McCloud run for 7 yds to the SFla 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.58

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 4 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Jordan McCloud run for 8 yds to the Navy 48

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.59

Jordan McCloud pass intercepted Chelen Garnes return for no gain to the Navy 22

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

SHRADER, S kickoff 62 yards to the NAVY3, fair catch by WARREN, Chance, PENALTY USF offside (GRAY, T) 5 yards to the USF30, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Tazh Maloy run for 12 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PERRY, Malcolm rush for 2 yards to the NAVY39 (LIVINGSTONE, K;SAILS, KJ), PENALTY NAVY illegal shift 5 yards to the NAVY32, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Malcolm Perry run for 6 yds to the Navy 40

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.56

Malcolm Perry run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Malcolm Perry run for 9 yds to the SFla 41

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jamale Carothers run for no gain to the SFla 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.74

Malcolm Perry run for 2 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -3.86

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 39 Malcolm Perry fumbled, recovered by SFla Greg Reaves

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SFla 39

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the SFla 43

3rd & 6Rush+25 ydsPPA +3.22

Jordan Cronkrite run for 25 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 5 yds to the Navy 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.75

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 33

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the Navy 33

4th & 4Punt+55 yds

Owen White punt for 45 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the NAVY 22 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the SFla 12

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 11 yds to the SFla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan McCloud run for 3 yds to the SFla 26

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 1 yd to the SFla 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.95

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 11 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the SFla 42

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce Miller, broken up by Walter Little

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Trevon Sands run for 10 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Jordan McCloud sacked by Jacob Springer for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 48

2nd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.44

Jordan McCloud sacked by Jacob Springer for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 38 Jordan McCloud fumbled, recovered by SFla Marcus Norman , return for 0 yards

3rd & 24Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.34

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 11 yds to the SFla 49

4th & 13Punt+7 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 34 yds , Garrett Winn returns for 7 yds to the Navy 24

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Kendel Wright) to the Navy 19

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Malcolm Perry run for 10 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Nelson Smith run for 8 yds to the Navy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Peter Nestrowitz) to the Navy 32

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

CJ Williams run for 6 yds to the Navy 38

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Nelson Smith run for 10 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Malcolm Perry run for 4 yds to the NAVY 48 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, personal foul (KJ Sails) to the SFla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the SFla 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the SFla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Malcolm Perry run for 21 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Cronkrite run for 4 yds to the SFla 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Cronkrite run for 3 yds to the SFla 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

4th & 3Punt+47 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 47 yds , Garrett Winn returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 20

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

CJ Williams run for 11 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

CJ Williams run for 9 yds to the Navy 40

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Jamale Carothers run for 9 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jamale Carothers run for 3 yds to the SFla 48

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 5 yds to the SFla 43

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jamale Carothers run for 2 yds to the SFla 39

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

PERRY, Malcolm rush for no gain to the USF39 (GREEN, Blake), PENALTY NAVY holding (NESTROWITZ, P) 10 yards to the USF49, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.99

Malcolm Perry run for 18 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the SFla 26

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.76

Tazh Maloy run for 26 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SFla 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.12

Kirk Rygol pass complete to Bryce Miller for 28 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Kirk Rygol pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Trevon Sands run for 2 yds to the Navy 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.58

Kirk Rygol pass complete to Jacob Mathis for 24 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Kirk Rygol pass complete to Jacob Mathis for 10 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Trevon Sands run for 3 yds to the Navy 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kirk Rygol pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (Mitchell Wilcox) to the Navy 12

3rd & 12Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.23

Kirk Rygol sacked by Austin Talbert-Loving and Paul Carothers for a loss of 4 yards to the Navy 16

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Spencer Shrader 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaac Ruoss run for 1 yd to the Navy 21

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.31

Perry Olsen run for no gain to the Navy 21 Perry Olsen fumbled, recovered by Navy

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Tyreek King-El run for 5 yds to the Navy 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Owen White punt for 53 yds, downed at the SFla 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Kirk Rygol pass incomplete, broken up by Mike Flowers

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for 4 yds to the SFla 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kirk Rygol pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 2 yds to the SFla 27

Situational Analysis

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
27 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
100%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th