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← Back to GamesOct 12, 2019Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Cincinnati by 4.2

Home Win Probability

Houston 40%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CincinnatiCincinnati
14701738
HoustonHouston
377623

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-1410-1410-2117-2117-2823-2823-3123-38
HoustonCincinnati

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CINHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUCINHOUHOUCINTD575ydPUNT519ydTO313ydFG46ydTD175ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT514ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydTD666ydPUNT31ydTO10ydTD335ydDOWNS539ydPUNT616ydTO746ydTD485ydPUNT418ydPUNT36ydMISS948ydTO413ydTD734ydTD972ydFG1048ydTD32ydTO1165ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Cincinnati and Houston
StatisticCincinnatiHouston
Passing14-2410-30
Pass Yards263234
Rush Yards131190
Total Yards394424
Turnovers15
3rd Down5-135-15
Penalties12-847-69
Possession29:4030:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Cincinnati
passing
Desmond Ridder
14/24, 263 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Michael Warren II
17 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Rashad Medaris
3 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Houston
passing
Clayton Tune
9/27, 184 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Kyle Porter
16 CAR, 107 YDS
receiving
Marquez Stevenson
3 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 7 yds to the Cincy 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.79

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 44 yds to the Houst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds to the Houst 20

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Houst 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Desmond Ridder run for 13 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian Trahan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.80

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 14 yds to the Houst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Patrick Carr

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Houst 39

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive offside (Elijah Ponder) to the Houst 44

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Patrick Carr run for a loss of 2 yards to the Houst 42

4th & 5Punt+9 yds

Dane Roy punt for 48 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 9 yds to the HOUSTON 49 CINCINNATI Penalty, illegal block (Leonard Taylor) to the Cincy 9

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Michael Warren II run for 9 yds to the Cincy 18

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.25

Desmond Ridder run for 4 yds to the Cincy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-11 ydsPPA -0.73

Desmond Ridder pass intercepted Damarion Williams return for 11 yds to the Cincy 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Bryson Smith run for 4 yds to the Cincy 16

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Clayton Tune pass complete to Bryson Smith for 2 yds to the Cincy 14

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson, broken up by Arquon Bush

4th & 4Field Goal Good+31 ydsPPA -0.69

Dalton Witherspoon 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 75 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Kyle Porter run for no gain to the Houst 37

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Kyle Porter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Houst 34

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Clayton Tune pass incomplete, broken up by Myjai Sanders

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Dane Roy punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 5

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Cincy 9

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Trent Cloud for 10 yds to the Cincy 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Thomas Geddis

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Cincy 19

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Bryson Smith at the Houst 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryson Smith run for 3 yds to the Houst 46

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Patrick Carr run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, false start (Keenan Murphy) to the Houst 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Logan Holgorsen pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Dane Roy punt for 53 yds, downed at the Cincy 2

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Gerrid Doaks run for 5 yds to the Cincy 7

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Cincy 11

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.30

Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 10

4th & 2Punt+3 yds

James Smith punt for 59 yds , Bryson Smith returns for 3 yds to the Houst 34

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.72

Clayton Tune sacked by Myjai Sanders for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 27

2nd & 17Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.18

Logan Holgorsen run for 14 yds to the Houst 41

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.50

Kyle Porter run for 3 yds to the Houst 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Terrell Brown run for 3 yds to the Houst 47

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryson Smith run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +5.22

Bryson Smith pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 50 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 7 yds to the Cincy 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Malick Mbodj

3rd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.80

Desmond Ridder sacked by Isaiah Chambers and Olivier Charles-Pierre for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 44 yds , Bryson Smith returns for no gain to the Houst 30

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.31

Logan Holgorsen pass intercepted Ja'von Hicks return for no gain to the Houst 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 12 yds to the Houst 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Michael Warren II run for 8 yds to the Houst 15

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.20

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josiah Deguara for 15 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.98

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 37 yds to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Terrell Brown run for 2 yds to the Cincy 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Christian Trahan

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Cincy 36

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.53

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 9 yds to the Cincy 45

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Malick Mbodj) to the Cincy 40

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Michael Warren II run for no gain to the Cincy 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.30

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Malick Mbodj for 8 yds to the Cincy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Michael Warren II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 46

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Houst 48

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Houst 48

4th & 6Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Bryson Smith at the Houst 9

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kyle Porter run for 6 yds to the Houst 15

2nd & 4Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.37

Patrick Carr run for 20 yds to the Houst 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Patrick Carr run for no gain to the Houst 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.44

Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 35 yds to the Cincy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TUNE, Clayton overthrow pass incomplete to BRADLEY, Tre'vo, PENALTY HOU holding (WOOTEN III, Dix) 10 yards to the CIN40, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Bryson Smith

2nd & 20Penalty-5 yds

HOUSTON Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 45

2nd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton

3rd & 25Pass Interception Return-22 ydsPPA -0.20

Clayton Tune pass intercepted Ja'von Hicks return for 22 yds to the Cincy 23 HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined

0th & 25End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Bryson Smith run for 6 yds to the Houst 21

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.37

Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Houst 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Terrell Brown run for 5 yds to the Houst 31

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.91

Clayton Tune pass complete to Marquez Stevenson for 69 yds for a TD, (Dalton Witherspoon KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

RIDDER, Desmond overthrow pass incomplete to MEDARIS, Rashad, PENALTY HOU pass interference (VAUGHN, Garriso) 15 yards to the HOU40, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Michael Warren II run for 7 yds to the Houst 33 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (Josiah Deguara) to the Houst 43

1st & 13Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Lorenz Metz) to the Houst 48

1st & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Trent Cloud

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Houst 47

3rd & 17Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.07

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 15 yds to the Houst 32

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Lorenz Metz) to the Houst 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

James Smith punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Bryson Smith at the Houst 11

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.54

Clayton Tune pass complete to Kyle Porter for a loss of 5 yards to the Houst 6

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton

3rd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.11

Bryson Smith run for 11 yds to the Houst 17

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Dane Roy punt for 54 yds , Tre Tucker returns for 2 yds to the Cincy 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Michael Warren II run for 2 yds to the Cincy 33

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Cincy 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.98

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 36 yds to the Houst 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Gerrid Doaks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Rashad Medaris for 10 yds to the Houst 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Michael Warren II run for 6 yds to the Houst 15

2nd & 4Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.07

Michael Warren II run for a loss of 6 yards to the Houst 21

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Josiah Deguara, broken up by Garrison Vaughn

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+38 yds

Sam Crosa 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Logan Hall N/A return for no gain to the Houst 21

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.14

Kyle Porter run for 9 yds to the Houst 30

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Houst 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Clayton Tune run for no gain to the Houst 32

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Terrell Brown run for 2 yds to the Houst 34 Terrell Brown fumbled, forced by Joel Dublanko, recovered by Cincy Ja'von Hicks , return for no gain to the Houst 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Michael Warren II run for 13 yds to the Houst 21 CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (Malick Mbodj) to the Houst 31

1st & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.26

Michael Warren II run for a loss of 4 yards to the Houst 35

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.35

Desmond Ridder sacked by David Anenih for a loss of 7 yards to the Houst 42

3rd & 18Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.57

Desmond Ridder run for 14 yds to the Houst 28 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Amaud Willis-Dalton) to the Houst 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Desmond Ridder run for no gain to the Houst 14

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Michael Warren II run for 3 yds to the Houst 11

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.96

Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Warren II for 11 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Kyle Porter run for 8 yds to the Houst 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton, broken up by Curtis Brooks

3rd & 2Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.26

Kyle Porter run for 33 yds to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Cincy 26

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Terrell Brown run for no gain to the Cincy 26

3rd & 5Penalty+4 yds

BROWN, Terrell rush up middle for loss of 4 yards to the CIN30 (BROWN, Marcus;SANDERS, Myjai), PENALTY CIN substitution infraction 4 yards to the CIN22, NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.29

Kyle Porter run for 11 yds to the Cincy 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Terrell Brown run for 5 yds to the Cincy 6

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kyle Porter run for no gain to the Cincy 6

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.78

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 6 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Cincy 32

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

CINCINNATI Penalty, false start (Jakari Robinson) to the Cincy 27

1st & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.91

Michael Warren II run for 11 yds to the Cincy 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce, broken up by Gervarrius Owens

3rd & 9Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.53

Desmond Ridder run for 13 yds to the HOUSTON 49 for a 1ST down HOUSTON Penalty, Defensive holding (Grant Stuard) to the Houst 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

RIDDER, Desmond overthrow pass incomplete to DEGUARA, Josiah, PENALTY CIN illegal shift 5 yards to the HOU44, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Michael Warren II run for 4 yds to the Houst 40

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Alec Pierce

3rd & 11Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.54

Desmond Ridder run for 18 yds to the Houst 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Gerrid Doaks run for 6 yds to the Houst 16

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Houst 15

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Rashad Medaris, broken up by Garrison Vaughn

4th & 3Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.72

Sam Crosa 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyle Porter run for 2 yds to the Houst 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson

3rd & 8Interception Return Touchdown-2 ydsPPA -6.82

Clayton Tune pass intercepted for a TD Perry Young return for 2 yds for a TD, (Sam Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TUNE, Clayton overthrow pass incomplete to SINGLETON, Jere, PENALTY CIN pass interference (BRYANT, Coby) 15 yards to the HOU34, 1ST DOWN HOU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Clayton Tune pass complete to Tre'von Bradley for 17 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Clayton Tune pass complete to Christian Trahan for 9 yds to the Cincy 40

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

TUNE, Clayton middle pass complete to STEVENSON, Marq for no gain to the CIN40 (BUSH, Arquon), PENALTY HOU holding (TRAHAN, Christi) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Cincy 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Bryson Smith

4th & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.32

Kyle Porter run for 19 yds to the Cincy 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Clayton Tune run for 5 yds to the Cincy 21

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson, broken up by Malik Vann

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Clayton Tune pass incomplete to Marquez Stevenson

4th & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.22

Kyle Porter run for 5 yds to the Cincy 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.43

Clayton Tune pass intercepted, touchback. Coby Bryant return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

N/A

Situational Analysis

Cincinnati

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Houston

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
30%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play