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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2019Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

East Carolina by 10.6

Home Win Probability

East Carolina 71%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Gardner-Webb
07209
East CarolinaEast Carolina
171471048

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-010-017-017-724-738-738-941-948-9
East CarolinaGardner-Webb

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ECGARECGARECGARECGARECGARECGARGARECGARECGARECGARECGARECGARECGARECTD869ydPUNT4-13ydFG845ydPUNT3-5ydTD1060ydTD1075ydTD1087ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT743ydTO314ydTD21ydEND24ydTO434ydTD220ydPUNT639ydSAF2-1ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT538ydPUNT66ydTO729ydPUNT417ydFG1146ydPUNT33ydTD876ydPUNT618ydEND436yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Gardner-Webb and East Carolina
StatisticGardner-WebbEast Carolina
Passing11-2319-31
Pass Yards147209
Rush Yards39365
Total Yards186574
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-137-12
Penalties4-417-40
Possession26:2233:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Gardner-Webb
passing
Jordan Smith
11/23, 147 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jayln Cagle
12 CAR, 40 YDS
receiving
Izaiah Gathings
4 REC, 83 YDS
defense
East Carolina
passing
Holton Ahlers
18/29, 195 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Darius Pinnix
21 CAR, 134 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Blake Proehl
7 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 9 yds to the ECaro 40

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.69

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Darius Pinnix Jr. for 24 yds to the GrdWb 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GrdWb 40

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Hussein Howe run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 36

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Anthony Watley) to the GrdWb 41

2nd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Darius Pinnix Jr. for 8 yds to the GrdWb 33

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 12 yds to the GrdWb 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 14 yds to the GrdWb 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Holton Ahlers run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayln Cagle run for 10 yds to the GrdWb 35 GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, Offensive holding (Chuma Awanna) to the GrdWb 25

1st & 10Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.27

Jordan Smith sacked by Kendall Futrell for a loss of 13 yards to the GrdWb 12

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Jordan Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Jameson Turner, broken up by Xavier Smith

4th & 23Punt-5 yds

Jack Pawloski punt for 35 yds , Tyler Snead returns for a loss of 5 yards to the ECaro 48

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.31

Holton Ahlers run for 27 yds to the GrdWb 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 24

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 13 yds to the GrdWb 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. Johnson, broken up by Cameron McCutcheon

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 7

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Blake Proehl, broken up by A.J. Keene

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.84

Jake Verity 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Jayln Cagle run for a loss of 5 yards to the GrdWb 20

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jordan Smith run for no gain to the GrdWb 20

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Chuma Awanna, broken up by Ja'Quan McMillian

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Jack Pawloski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 11 yds to the GrdWb 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 10 yds to the GrdWb 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.38

Jsi Hatfield run for 15 yds to the GrdWb 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Holton Ahlers run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 16

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 14

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.27

Holton Ahlers run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 6

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 3

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.55

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayln Cagle run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Jordan Smith pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 9 yds to the GrdWb 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Jordan Smith pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jayln Cagle run for 8 yds to the ECaro 42

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Jordan Smith run for 2 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Jordan Smith pass complete to A.J. Alexander for 9 yds to the ECaro 31

2nd & 1Penalty0 yds

SMITH, J. deep pass incomplete to GATHINGS, I., PENALTY GWU ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY ECU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jayln Cagle run for no gain to the ECaro 31

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Jayln Cagle run for 4 yds to the ECaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.80

Jordan Smith pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 25 yds to the ECaro 2 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Davondre Robinson) to the ECaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

A.J. Moses run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kurt Everett KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Hussein Howe run for 1 yd to the ECaro 14

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Hussein Howe run for 5 yds to the ECaro 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 6 yds to the ECaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 8 yds to the ECaro 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.69

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Deondre Farrier for 22 yds to the GrdWb 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.79

Holton Ahlers run for 21 yds to the GrdWb 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 8 yds to the GrdWb 16

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 13 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jordan Smith pass complete to A.J. Alexander for 1 yd to the GrdWb 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

A.J. Moses run for no gain to the GrdWb 26

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Smith sacked by Bruce Bivens for a loss of 8 yards to the GrdWb 18

4th & 17Punt-3 yds

Jack Pawloski punt for 58 yds , Tyler Snead returns for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 21

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Jsi Hatfield run for 12 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds to the ECaro 36

2nd & 7Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.58

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 23 yds to the GrdWb 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.52

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 15 yds to the GrdWb 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GrdWb 31

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Mydreon Vines

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GrdWb 36

2nd & 20Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Demetrius Mauney for no gain to the GrdWb 36

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Mydreon Vines, broken up by Kobe Rodgers

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

A.J. Moses run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 7

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.32

Jordan Smith pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 22 yds to the GrdWb 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

SMITH, J. deep out pass complete to GATHINGS, I. for 36 yards to the ECU35 (McMILLIAN, Ja'Q), PENALTY GWU holding (CLARK, D.) 10 yards to the GWU19, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Interception Return-32 ydsPPA +0.08

Jordan Smith pass intercepted Ja'Quan McMillian return for 32 yds to the GrdWb 1

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Hussein Howe run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jayln Cagle run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jayln Cagle run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 29

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jayln Cagle run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Jordan Smith pass complete to Chuma Awanna for 11 yds to the GrdWb 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Jordan Smith run for 8 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down EAST CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (14 Yards) to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return-25 ydsPPA -3.31

Jordan Smith pass intercepted Gerard Stringer return for 41 yds to the GrdWb 7 GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, personal foul (Darius Clark) to the GrdWb 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for no gain to the GrdWb 20

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 20 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jayln Cagle run for no gain to the GrdWb 19

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jayln Cagle run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 20

3rd & 9Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.83

Jordan Smith pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 37 yds to the ECaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, false start (Izaiah Gathings) to the ECaro 48

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jordan Smith run for 6 yds to the ECaro 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Izaiah Gathings

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Jayln Cagle

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jack Pawloski punt for 41 yds, downed at the ECaro 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. Johnson

2nd & 10Safety+1 ydsPPA -1.77

Team Safety

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Dexter Brown run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 44

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Chuma Awanna

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.99

Jordan Smith sacked by Alex Turner for a loss of 10 yards to the GrdWb 34

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jack Pawloski punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 6 yds to the ECaro 31

2nd & 4Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.39

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 26 yds to the GrdWb 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for a loss of 3 yards to the GrdWb 46

2nd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 9 yds to the GrdWb 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Mydreon Vines, broken up by Cameron McCutcheon

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jonn Young punt for 35 yds, downed at the GrdWb 2

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Dexter Brown run for no gain to the GrdWb 2

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Dexter Brown run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 8

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jordan Smith pass complete to Devron Harper for 7 yds to the GrdWb 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Dexter Brown run for no gain to the GrdWb 15

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Smith sacked by Alex Turner for a loss of 7 yards to the GrdWb 8

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Izaiah Gathings, broken up by Xavier Smith

4th & 17Punt+5 yds

Jack Pawloski punt for 45 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 5 yds to the GrdWb 48

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.87

Holton Ahlers run for 18 yds to the GrdWb 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Zech Byrd for 3 yds to the GrdWb 27

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 22

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.31

Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AHLERS, Holton crossing pass complete to JOHNSON, C.J. for 19 yards to the GWU0, clock 00:51, PENALTY ECU ineligible downfield on pass (HERRIN, Cortez) 5 yards to the GWU24, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Holton Ahlers run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 25

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Darius Pinnix Jr. for 6 yds to the GrdWb 19

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return-2 ydsPPA -3.59

Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Deonte Grier return for 2 yds to the GrdWb 2

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.32

Jayln Cagle run for 12 yds to the GrdWb 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Devron Harper

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jordan Smith run for no gain to the GrdWb 14

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jordan Smith pass complete to A.J. Alexander for 5 yds to the GrdWb 19

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jack Pawloski punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 43

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Demetrius Mauney run for 8 yds to the GrdWb 49

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Demetrius Mauney run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Jeremy Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.67

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Mydreon Vines for 13 yds to the GrdWb 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Mydreon Vines

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Demetrius Mauney run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.90

Holton Ahlers pass complete to Demetrius Mauney for 18 yds to the GrdWb 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 7

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Demetrius Mauney run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 5

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.88

Holton Ahlers sacked by Jameson Turner and Quinton Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the GrdWb 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.36

Jake Verity 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Narii Gaither run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 29

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Narii Gaither run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Chuma Awanna

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jack Pawloski punt for 48 yds, downed at the ECaro 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Demetrius Mauney run for no gain to the ECaro 24

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.86

Demetrius Mauney run for 14 yds to the ECaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Demetrius Mauney run for 5 yds to the ECaro 43

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Demetrius Mauney run for 6 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.87

Reid Herring pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 14 yds to the GrdWb 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Reid Herring pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.29

Demetrius Mauney run for 27 yds to the GrdWb 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Reid Herring run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jake Verity KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jordan Smith pass incomplete to Devron Harper, broken up by Warren Saba

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jordan Smith run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Jordan Smith pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 10 yds to the GrdWb 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Smith run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 45

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Narii Gaither run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 47

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.37

Jordan Smith sacked by Aaron Ramseur for a loss of 4 yards to the GrdWb 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jack Pawloski punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Demetrius Mauney run for 4 yds to the ECaro 24

2nd & 6Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.38

Demetrius Mauney run for 23 yds to the ECaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Demetrius Mauney run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 48

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Demetrius Mauney run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 44

Situational Analysis

Gardner-Webb

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th

East Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
57%
37 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
71%
14 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play