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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2019Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Navy by 5.3

Home Win Probability

Navy 60%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Holy Cross
07007
NavyNavy
101414745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-017-017-731-738-745-7
NavyHoly Cross

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVHCNAVHCNAVHCNAVHCNAVHCHCNAVHCNAVHCNAVHCNAVHCNAVTD975ydPUNT3-3ydFG825ydPUNT939ydTO515ydMISS827ydTD780ydTD1275ydTD775ydEND1-1ydTO3-5ydTD520ydDOWNS950ydTD775ydPUNT527ydTD780ydPUNT418ydPUNT821ydPUNT39ydEND1465yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Holy Cross and Navy
StatisticHoly CrossNavy
Passing16-296-9
Pass Yards167103
Rush Yards64428
Total Yards231531
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-128-12
Penalties3-153-25
Possession23:5536:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Holy Cross
passing
Connor Degenhardt
16/29, 167 YDS
rushing
Miles Alexander
12 CAR, 40 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Derek Mountain
4 REC, 62 YDS
defense
Navy
passing
Malcolm Perry
6/9, 103 YDS
rushing
Nelson Smith
15 CAR, 96 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Mychal Cooper
2 REC, 48 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

CJ Williams run for 3 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Malcolm Perry run for 12 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Chance Warren for 12 yds to the HCrss 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the HCrss 35

2nd & 4Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.28

Myles Fells run for 31 yds to the HCrss 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the HCrss 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Miles Alexander run for a loss of 4 yards to the HCrss 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete to Tenio Ayeni

3rd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Connor Degenhardt run for 1 yd to the HCrss 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Cody Wilkinson punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 48

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Malcolm Perry run for 5 yds to the HCrss 47

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

CJ Williams run for 8 yds to the HCrss 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the HCrss 36

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Myles Fells run for 9 yds to the HCrss 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the HCrss 24

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.01

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 3 yards to the HCrss 27

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+44 ydsPPA +0.83

Bijan Nichols 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Miles Alexander run for 3 yds to the HCrss 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.09

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Derek Mountain for 32 yds to the HCrss 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Miles Alexander for a loss of 3 yards to the HCrss 44

3rd & 13Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.64

Connor Degenhardt sacked by Cameron Kinley for a loss of 6 yards to the HCrss 38

4th & 19Penalty+15 yds

Wilkinson,Cody punt 33 yards to the NAVY29, SPRINGER, Jacob return to the NAVY29, fumble by SPRINGER, Jacob recovered by HC Hicks,Josh at NAVY27, PENALTY NAVY personal foul (BROWN, Tony) 15 yards to the NAVY47, 1ST DOWN HC, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Connor Degenhardt run for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 49

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete to Tenio Ayeni, broken up by Michael McMorris

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Cody Wilkinson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jacob Springer at the Navy 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

CJ Williams run for no gain to the Navy 18

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.48

Tazh Maloy run for 14 yds to the Navy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Malcolm Perry run for 9 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.28

Malcolm Perry sacked by Corey Stefanik for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 33 Malcolm Perry fumbled, recovered by HCrss Noah Johnson , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Peter Oliver run for no gain to the Navy 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Tenio Ayeni for 10 yds to the Navy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Derek Mountain for 6 yds to the Navy 17

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Peter Oliver run for 4 yds to the Navy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Peter Oliver run for 4 yds to the Navy 9

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Connor Degenhardt run for 3 yds to the Navy 6

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete to Spencer Gilliam

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+24 yds

Derek Ng 24 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

CJ Williams run for 6 yds to the Navy 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 28

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.70

CJ Williams run for 11 yds to the Navy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Myles Fells run for 16 yds to the HCrss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the HCrss 40

2nd & 5Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.81

Tazh Maloy run for 24 yds to the HCrss 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

CJ Williams run for 16 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Miles Alexander run for no gain to the HCrss 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Tenio Ayeni for 6 yds to the HCrss 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Dominik Thomas for 8 yds to the HCrss 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Miles Alexander run for 6 yds to the HCrss 45

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

HOLY CROSS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the HCrss 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.46

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Spencer Gilliam for 18 yds to the Navy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Connor Degenhardt run for 8 yds to the Navy 34

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Miles Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 35

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.90

Miles Alexander run for 5 yds to the Navy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Tenio Ayeni for 5 yds to the Navy 25

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.12

Miles Alexander run for 5 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Tenio Ayeni for 4 yds to the Navy 16

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.64

Miles Alexander run for 16 yds for a TD, (Derek Ng KICK)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

CJ Williams run for 16 yds to the Navy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

HOLY CROSS Penalty, Defensive offside (Matt Cedeno) to the Navy 46

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.62

Malcolm Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the Navy 45

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 3 yds to the Navy 48

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.78

Malcolm Perry run for 7 yds to the HCrss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.54

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 44 yds to the HCrss 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Malcolm Perry run for no gain to the HCrss 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Malcolm Perry run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the HCrss 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Miles Alexander run for 2 yds to the HCrss 27

2nd & 8Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.74

Connor Degenhardt sacked by Evan Fochtman for a loss of 6 yards to the HCrss 21

3rd & 14Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor Degenhardt sacked by Nizaire Cromartie for a loss of 7 yards to the HCrss 20 Connor Degenhardt fumbled, recovered by Navy Nizaire Cromartie , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Tazh Maloy run for 8 yds to the HCrss 12

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Ryan Mitchell for 4 yds to the HCrss 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

CJ Williams run for 5 yds to the HCrss 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the HCrss 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Tenio Ayeni for 7 yds to the HCrss 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Connor Degenhardt run for 7 yds to the HCrss 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Miles Alexander run for 4 yds to the HCrss 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Tenio Ayeni for 8 yds to the Navy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.92

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Derek Mountain for 18 yds to the Navy 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Miles Alexander run for 1 yd to the Navy 30

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete to Tenio Ayeni, broken up by Elan Nash

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

HOLY CROSS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Navy 35

4th & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.98

Connor Degenhardt run for 10 yds to the Navy 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

CJ Williams run for 8 yds to the Navy 33

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.40

CJ Williams run for 18 yds to the HCrss 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the HCrss 45

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Keoni-Kordell Makekau run for 6 yds to the HCrss 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.63

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Keoni-Kordell Makekau for 29 yds to the HCrss 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Malcolm Perry run for 8 yds to the HCrss 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Isaac Ruoss run for 2 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete to Ayir Asante

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.55

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Ayir Asante for 18 yds to the HCrss 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Connor Degenhardt run for 3 yds to the Navy 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Derek Mountain for 6 yds to the Navy 43

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Peter Oliver run for no gain to the Navy 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Cody Wilkinson punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Mychal Cooper for 4 yds to the Navy 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to Ryan Mitchell

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.56

Tazh Maloy run for 9 yds to the Navy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Malcolm Perry pass complete to Chance Warren for 10 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Malcolm Perry pass incomplete to CJ Williams

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Nelson Smith run for 8 yds to the HCrss 49

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +4.80

Nelson Smith run for 49 yds for a TD, (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.55

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Jack Jewell for 18 yds to the HCrss 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete to Tenio Ayeni, broken up by Dave Tolentino

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete to Jack Jewell

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete to Spencer Gilliam

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Cody Wilkinson punt for 34 yds, downed at the Navy 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyger Goslin run for 3 yds to the Navy 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaac Ruoss run for 1 yd to the Navy 29

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.60

Isaac Ruoss run for 6 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Isaac Ruoss run for 1 yd to the Navy 36

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Tyreek King-El run for 11 yds to the Navy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Tyreek King-El run for 6 yds to the HCrss 47

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.68

Tyger Goslin run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCrss 47 Tyger Goslin fumbled,

3rd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Perry Olsen run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCrss 49

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, DL (-5 Yards) to the Navy 46

4th & 11Punt+45 yds

Owen White punt for 45 yds , Jon Jon Roberts returns for a loss of 1 yard to the HCrss 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Miles Alexander run for 3 yds to the HCrss 11

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Connor Degenhardt pass incomplete to Spencer Gilliam

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Connor Degenhardt pass complete to Tenio Ayeni for 6 yds to the HCrss 17

4th & 1Punt-7 yds

Cody Wilkinson punt for 50 yds , Jacob Springer returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Navy 26

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Garrett Winn run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

James Harris II run for 4 yds to the HCrss 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

James Harris II run for 2 yds to the HCrss 44

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

James Harris II run for no gain to the HCrss 44

4th & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.63

Garrett Winn run for 6 yds to the HCrss 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

James Harris II run for 2 yds to the HCrss 36

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Tyger Goslin run for a loss of 2 yards to the HCrss 38

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Justin Smith run for 9 yds to the HCrss 29

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Garrett Winn run for 3 yds to the HCrss 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

James Harris II run for 2 yds to the HCrss 24

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Perry Olsen run for 2 yds to the HCrss 22

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Dalen Morris run for 9 yds to the HCrss 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyger Goslin run for a loss of 3 yards to the HCrss 16

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

James Harris II run for 7 yds to the HCrss 9

Situational Analysis

Holy Cross

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
58%
33 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play