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← Back to GamesAug 30, 2019Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 5.2

Home Win Probability

South Florida 34%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Aug 30, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
72114749
South FloridaSouth Florida
00000

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-210-280-350-420-49
South FloridaWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISSFWISSFWISSFSFWISSFWISSFWISSFSFWISSFWISSFWISSFWISSFWISSFWISSFWISSFWISTD877ydPUNT610ydPUNT619ydPUNT616ydPUNT98ydTD2-5ydPUNT3-7ydTD455ydTO517ydTO26ydPUNT32ydTD1180ydUncategorized00ydPUNT38ydTD364ydPUNT410ydPUNT35ydTO46ydMISS45ydDOWNS520ydTD440ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT65ydTO213ydTD332ydMISS849ydEND416yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and South Florida
StatisticWisconsinSouth Florida
Passing19-2616-33
Pass Yards201131
Rush Yards23426
Total Yards435157
Turnovers13
3rd Down6-133-14
Penalties4-409-45
Possession35:0025:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Jack Coan
19/26, 201 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jonathan Taylor
16 CAR, 135 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jonathan Taylor
2 REC, 48 YDS, 2 TD
defense
South Florida
passing
Blake Barnett
13/30, 109 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jordan McCloud
3 CAR, 17 YDS
receiving
Jordan Cronkrite
3 REC, 23 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 26

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 33

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

A.J. Taylor run for 5 yds to the Wisc 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.75

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 13 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Jack Coan pass complete to John Chenal for 12 yds to the SFla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

Jonathan Taylor 37 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 8 yds to the SFla 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SFla 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Jordan Cronkrite run for 2 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Jernard Phillips

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jordan Cronkrite run for no gain to the SFla 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 12

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Jonathan Taylor run for 10 yds to the Wisc 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Nakia Watson run for 9 yds to the Wisc 31

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Logan Bruss) to the Wisc 28

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jack Coan pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Wisc 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Eddie McDoom

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jordan Cronkrite run for 5 yds to the SFla 15

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (William Atterbury) to the SFla 10

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Blake Barnett pass complete to Jernard Phillips for 12 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SFla 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 3 yds to the SFla 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Mitchell Wilcox

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 34 yds, downed at the Wisc 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 6 yds to the Wisc 49

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Quintez Cephus

4th & 1Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.30

Jonathan Taylor run for 3 yds to the SOUFLA 48 WISCONSIN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jason Erdmann) to the Wisc 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Coan pass incomplete to John Chenal

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.19

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 12 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jonathan Taylor run for 7 yds to the SFla 44

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.66

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 46

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.85

Jack Coan sacked by Greg Reaves for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 48

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 31 yds, downed at the SFla 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Trevon Sands run for 1 yd to the SFla 22

2nd & 9Fumble Return Touchdown-16 ydsPPA -7.18

Matt Henningsen 16 Yd Fumble Return (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 20

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Jeremiah Stafford) to the SFla 15

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Stanley Clerveaux

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Blake Barnett pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 3 yds to the SFla 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 37 yds , Jack Dunn returns for no gain to the Wisc 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the SFla 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 13 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Adam Krumholz

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.73

Jonathan Taylor 36 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Barnett, Blake pass complete to St. Felix, Randall for 8 yards to the SOUFLA34, PENALTY SOUFLA ineligible downfield on pass (Wilcox, Mitchell) 5 yards to the SOUFLA21, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Blake Barnett pass complete to Bryce Miller for 1 yd to the SFla 22

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Blake Barnett pass complete to Bryce Miller for 9 yds to the SFla 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.13

Blake Barnett pass complete to Mitchell Wilcox for 11 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Trevon Sands run for 1 yd to the SFla 43

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return-10 ydsPPA -1.51

Blake Barnett pass intercepted Eric Burrell return for 16 yds to the SFla 44

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Jonathan Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 45

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -2.39

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds Jake Ferguson fumbled, forced by Patrick Macon, recovered by SFla KJ Sails , return for 5 yds to the SFla 43

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.38

Blake Barnett sacked by Matt Henningsen for a loss of 8 yards to the SFla 35

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Jernard Phillips

3rd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.36

Blake Barnett pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 10 yds to the SFla 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jonathan Taylor run for 1 yd to the Wisc 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 5 yds to the Wisc 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.25

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 16 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jonathan Taylor run for 6 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Jack Coan pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 9 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Coan pass complete to Jack Dunn for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Jack Coan pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 8 yds to the SFla 36

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the SFla 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jack Coan run for 4 yds to the SFla 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.61

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 17 yds to the SFla 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 12

1st & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Jonathan Taylor 12 Yd pass from Jack Coan (Collin Larsh Kick)

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Blake Barnett pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 8 yds to the SFla 33

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Jernard Phillips

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Stanley Clerveaux

4th & 2Punt+31 yds

Spencer Shrader punt for 36 yds, downed at the SOUFLA 31 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 36

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Jonathan Taylor run for 17 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Jack Coan pass complete to A.J. Taylor for 9 yds to the SFla 38

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +2.60

Jonathan Taylor 38 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Blake Barnett run for 10 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Eddie McDoom

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Blake Barnett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

4th & 10Punt+8 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 42 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 8 yds to the Wisc 43 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 36

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.86

Jack Coan sacked by Kirk Livingstone for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 29

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 8 yds to the Wisc 37

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jack Coan run for 4 yds to the Wisc 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 48 yds, downed at the SFla 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Blake Barnett run for 1 yd to the SFla 12

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 7

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.53

Blake Barnett pass complete to Trevon Sands for 13 yds to the SFla 20

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Trevon Sands run for no gain to the SFla 20

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA +0.12

Trevon Sands run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 17 Trevon Sands fumbled, recovered by SFla Trevon Sands

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Nakia Watson run for 8 yds to the SFla 9

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Nakia Watson run for no gain to the SFla 9

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.66

Nakia Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 12

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Collin Larsh 30 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Blake Barnett pass complete to Jordan Cronkrite for 12 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Blake Barnett pass incomplete to Jordan Cronkrite

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Blake Barnett run for 7 yds to the SFla 39

4th & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Spencer Shrader run for 1 yd to the SFla 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jack Coan pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the SFla 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.87

Jack Coan pass complete to Danny Davis III for 11 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Nakia Watson 27 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 13

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Jordan Cronkrite run for 1 yd to the SFla 14

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Barnett pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Blake Barnett pass complete to Bryce Miller for 6 yds to the SFla 20

4th & 8Punt+13 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 43 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jack Coan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.51

Jack Coan pass complete to Garrett Groshek for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 47

3rd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jack Coan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 46

4th & 14Punt+17 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 38 yds , KJ Sails returns for 17 yds to the SFla 33

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.70

Blake Barnett sacked by Jaylan Franklin for a loss of 8 yards to the SFla 25

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Trevon Sands run for 3 yds to the SFla 28

3rd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Blake Barnett run for 1 yd to the SFla 29

4th & 14Punt+41 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 54 yds , Jack Dunn returns for 41 yds to the SFla 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Jack Coan pass complete to Quintez Cephus for 9 yds to the SFla 33

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Jack Coan run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 34

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

John Chenal run for 2 yds to the SFla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Bradrick Shaw run for no gain to the SFla 32

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.29

Jack Coan sacked by Patrick Macon for a loss of 7 yards to the SFla 39

3rd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the SFla 37

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Anthony Lotti punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Bentlee Sanders at the SFla 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Blake Barnett pass complete to DeVontres Dukes for 13 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.73

Blake Barnett pass intercepted Collin Wilder return for no gain to the SFla 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nakia Watson run for no gain to the SFla 32

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.92

Nakia Watson run for 17 yds to the SFla 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Bradrick Shaw 15 Yd Run (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kelley Joiner Jr. run for no gain to the SFla 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kevin Purlett for 15 yds to the SFla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Sean Atkins for 1 yd to the SFla 41

2nd & 9Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.48

Jordan McCloud run for 19 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

McCloud, Jordan pass sacked for loss of 11 yards to the SOUFLA49 (Franklin, Jaylan), PENALTY WISCONSIN personal foul (Franklin, Jaylan) 15 yards to the WISCONSIN25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUFLA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 6 yds to the Wisc 19

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.26

Jordan McCloud sacked by Izayah Green-May for a loss of 6 yards to the Wisc 25

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jordan McCloud run for 4 yds to the Wisc 21

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 26

4th & 11Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Coby Weiss 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Nakia Watson run for 8 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Wisc 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nakia Watson run for no gain to the Wisc 42

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
19 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
33%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays